EC Vitoria vs Cruzeiro EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitória vs Cruzeiro EC — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitória 24 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
- Cruzeiro EC 24 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 24 | 51 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 23 | 45 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 24 | 44 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 24 | 41 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro EC | 24 | 39 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 24 | 37 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 23 | 35 |
| 8 | Coritiba FBC | 24 | 34 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 23 | 33 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 24 | 32 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 23 | 30 |
| 12 | EC Vitoria | 24 | 29 |
| 13 | Sao Paulo FC | 23 | 27 |
| 14 | Santos FC | 23 | 26 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 24 | 25 |
| 16 | Gremio FBPA | 23 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 23 | 24 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 24 | 23 |
| 19 | CR Vasco da Gama | 23 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 23 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Jun | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | Santos FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | EC Bahia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 May | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 May | Ceará SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun | EC Vitoria | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Jun | SE Palmeiras | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 May | Fortaleza EC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 18 May | CA Mineiro | H | 0–0 | D |
| 11 May | SC Recife | A | 4–0 | W |
| 04 May | CR Flamengo | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | Cruzeiro EC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #5 |
| 29 | Points | 39 |
| 24 | Played | 24 |
| 8 / 5 / 11 | W / D / L | 11 / 6 / 7 |
| 23 | Scored | 34 |
| 35 | Conceded | 33 |
| -12 | GD | +1 |
| 1.21 | PPG | 1.63 |
| 33% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
42%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
25%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
EC Vitoria are 12th (29 pts). Cruzeiro EC are 5th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
1/9
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/2
76+
3/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/2
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Cruzeiro EC
| Matheus Pereira | 6 G | 2 A |
| Kaio Jorge | 6 G | |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Barradao. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Leonardo Jardim will be considering his options from the bench.
- 20' It looks surprising EC Vitoria does not make any changes. Gabriel Baralhas has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 30' Cruzeiro EC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Renato Kayzer made 253 appearances and scored 36 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Cruzeiro EC that had 253 games and scored 214 goals.
- 43' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Matheus Pereira.
- 44' A moment of madness from Carlos Eduardo on 44 minutes earns him a card. Cruzeiro EC will be frustrated.
- 45' Lucas Romero is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
- 45' EC Vitoria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Maykon is hanging Jamerson on the field on 45 minute.
- 46' Another change for Cruzeiro EC made on 46 minute. Kaio Jorge leaves to be changed by Yannick Bolasie.
- 51' Cruzeiro EC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Christian scoring 1 goals.
- 56' It’s high time Thiago Carpini made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 59' EC Vitoria make a change. Lucas Braga trudges off to be replaced by Carlinhos on 59 minutes.
- 60' A tactical swap from EC Vitoria — Willian Oliveira on, Ronald off on 60 minutes.
- 65' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Vitoria and Cruzeiro EC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 70' With 0 assists to his name this season, Claudinho is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Vitoria.
- 74' Cruzeiro EC ring the changes. Matheus Pereira has done his job and it is now time for Marquinhos to step up.
- 77' EC Vitoria player sees a card in front of him.
- 78' The EC Vitoria manager makes a substitution. Renato Kayzer departs to be replaced by Leo Augusto.
- 83' Kaiki Bruno has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 253 appearances.
- 88' The travelling Cruzeiro EC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Willian Oliveira argues furiously but the card stands.
- It finishes all square. EC Vitoria and Cruzeiro EC share the spoils 0-0.
Lineups
EC Vitória Lineups
Starting XI
- 83
- 79
- 43
- 11
- 3
- 8
- 22
- 44
- 1
- 30
- 2
Bench
- 33
- 6
- 38
- 7
- 35
- 29
- 42
- 26
- 76
- 99
- 66
Coach
Thiago Carpini
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 29
- 16
- 1
- 15
- 12
-
10
Matheus Pereira ↓ Marquinhos 74'
-
19
Kaio Jorge ↓ Yannick Bolasie 46'
- 94
- 25
- 21
- 6
Bench
- 23
-
11
Yannick Bolasie ↑ 46'
- 5
- 9
-
7
Marquinhos ↑ 74'
- 75
- 26
- 34
- 41
- 70
- 36
- 35
Coach
Leonardo Jardim
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kaio Jorge | 3 |
| Fred | 2 |
| Juan Dinenno | 2 |
| Neilton | 1 |
| Manoel | 1 |
| Christian | 1 |
| Neilton | 1 |
| Kaua Moraes | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitória Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.82
EC Vitória xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47
Cruzeiro EC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
EC Vitória or Draw
53%
Draw or Cruzeiro EC
76%
EC Vitória or Cruzeiro EC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13.8%
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
10.6%
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 0
7.2%
0 – 3
5.1%
2 – 1
4.8%
1 – 3
4.3%
2 – 2
3.7%
2 – 0
3.3%
0 – 4
1.9%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitória
| Handicap | EC Vitória covers | Push | Cruzeiro EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 13% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +1 | 49% | 25% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 16% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitória keeps clean sheet
24%
✗
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
44%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.