SC Recife vs Cruzeiro EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Recife vs Cruzeiro EC — Serie A at Ilha do Retiro.
- SC Recife 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Cruzeiro EC 28 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 03 May | Fluminense FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Apr | Fortaleza EC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Apr | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Apr | RB Bragantino | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Apr | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | SC Recife | A | 4–0 | W |
| 04 May | CR Flamengo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Apr | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Apr | EC Bahia | H | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
29%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
3/6
31-45
6/5
46-60
5/2
61-75
6/2
76+
10/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
| Matheus Pereira | 9 G | 4 A |
| Kaio Jorge | 7 G | 1 A |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. SC Recife host Cruzeiro EC — let the battle begin!
- 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SC Recife and Cruzeiro EC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 8' Brilliant from the ! Igor Carius makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 8.
- 13' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kaio Jorge, as he is very good at scoring at Ilha do Retiro with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 18' Kaio Jorge is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 6 goals this season for the .
- 23' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 28' Brazil international Pablo Felipe has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 33' The 25-year-old Christian has been sensational this season — 4 goals and 4 assists is a remarkable return.
- 38' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 43' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SC Recife and Cruzeiro EC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 46' What a moment for Matheus Pereira! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
- 46' Another substitution for SC Recife to replace Carlos Alberto by Rodrigo Atencio on 46 minute.
- 51' Chico has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 53' Matheus Pereira doubles the advantage! 1-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 58' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 58 minutes.
- 62' Kaio Jorge makes way for Gabriel Barbosa at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cruzeiro EC.
- 67' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 69' A tactical swap from SC Recife — Romarinho on, Chrystian Barletta off on 69 minutes.
- 74' Lautaro Diaz is replacing Matheus Pereira for the Cruzeiro EC side.
- 75' A change in the Cruzeiro EC ranks — Carlos Eduardo exits the field as Walace enters on 75.
- 80' Caique Franca is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Cruzeiro EC tonight.
- 85' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 87' Dalbert Henrique has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 87.
- Cruzeiro EC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
SC Recife Lineups
Starting XI
- 92
-
16
Igor Carius ↓ Dalbert Henrique 75'
- 33
- 27
- 44
- 17
- 22
-
37
Du Queiroz ↓ ze Lucas 69'
- 6
-
30
Chrystian Barletta ↓ Romarinho 69'
- 14
Bench
- 25
-
29
Dalbert Henrique ↑ 75'
-
91
Romarinho ↑ 69'
- 8
- 11
- 12
- 3
- 59
-
20
Rodrigo Atencio ↑ 46'
- 38
-
32
Diogo Hereda ↑ 46'
-
58
ze Lucas ↑ 69'
Coach
Pepa
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 1
- 23
- 15
-
10
Matheus Pereira ↓ Lautaro Diaz 74'
-
19
Kaio Jorge ↓ Gabriel Barbosa 62'
- 94
-
25
Lucas Villalba ↓ Jonathan 74'
- 88
-
21
Carlos Eduardo ↓ Walace 75'
- 6
Bench
- 11
-
12
William ↑ 62'
-
5
Walace ↑ 75'
-
9
Gabriel Barbosa ↑ 62'
- 75
-
26
Lautaro Diaz ↑ 74'
-
34
Jonathan ↑ 74'
- 41
- 99
- 70
- 36
- 35
Coach
Leonardo Jardim
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Matheus Pereira | 2 |
| Gabriel Barbosa | 1 |
| Derik Lacerda | 1 |
| Dede | 1 |
| Giorgian De Arrascaeta | 1 |
| Dede | 1 |
| Giorgian De Arrascaeta | 1 |
| Kaio Jorge | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Recife Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.73
SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59
Cruzeiro EC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cruzeiro EC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
SC Recife or Draw
46%
Draw or Cruzeiro EC
81%
SC Recife or Cruzeiro EC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Cruzeiro EC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
14.7%
1 – 1
12.2%
0 – 2
12%
0 – 0
12%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 3
6.2%
1 – 0
6.1%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.3%
2 – 0
2.5%
0 – 4
Actual
Asian Handicap — SC Recife
| Handicap | SC Recife covers | Push | Cruzeiro EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| +0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +1 | 44% | 26% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 18% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
48%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.