EC Bahia vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Estadio Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Sao Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | CA Paranaense | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | Clube do Remo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Sep | RB Bragantino | A | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Aug | SC Internacional | H | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Aug | EC Vitoria | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | Chapecoense AF | A | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Sep | CA Mineiro | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | Chapecoense AF | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | Coritiba FBC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Sao Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #11 |
| 46 | Points | 36 |
| 28 | Played | 27 |
| 12 / 10 / 6 | W / D / L | 10 / 6 / 11 |
| 43 | Scored | 32 |
| 35 | Conceded | 30 |
| +8 | GD | +2 |
| 1.64 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 43% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
26%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 6 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Willian Jose | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Ferreira | 2 |
| Clayson | 1 |
| Erick | 1 |
| Robert Arboleda | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
1.58
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
73%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
54%
EC Bahia or Sao Paulo FC
73%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
8.1%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Sao Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 21% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
31%
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
21%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.