Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

3 1
Full Time
Sun 30 Jun 2024 · 19:00 UTC Morumbi 49,037 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jonathan Calleri 30' 1–0
Ferreira 32' 2–0
2–1 49' Gilberto
Luciano 65' 3–1
Ferreira 33' Y
Y 44' Kanu
Luciano 65' Y
Alisson 86' Y
Luiz Gustavo 89' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs EC BahiaSerie A at Morumbi.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jun EC Bahia H 3–1 W
27 Jun Criciúma EC H 2–1 W
23 Jun CR Vasco da Gama A 1–4 L
19 Jun Cuiaba EC H 0–1 L
16 Jun SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–2 D
13 Jun SC Internacional A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jun Sao Paulo FC A 1–3 L
27 Jun CR Vasco da Gama H 2–1 W
23 Jun Cruzeiro EC H 4–1 W
20 Jun CR Flamengo A 1–2 L
16 Jun Criciúma EC A 2–2 D
14 Jun Fortaleza EC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC EC Bahia
#8 Position #6
25 Points 26
18 Played 17
7 / 4 / 7 W / D / L 7 / 5 / 5
23 Scored 25
20 Conceded 23
+3 GD +2
1.39 PPG 1.53
39% Win % 41%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
35% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
1/
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Sao Paulo FC and EC Bahia is underway.
  • 5' Sao Paulo FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Bahia backline.
  • 10' EC Bahia has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 15' Sao Paulo FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' Thaciano needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 25' Gabriel Xavier has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 21 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 30' The Argentina Jonathan Calleri breaks the deadlock on 30 minutes. 1-0!
  • 32' What composure from Ferreira! The Brazil international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 33' Ferreira is having his name booked by the referee on 33.
  • 38' Lucas Moura is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
  • 43' EC Bahia looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Erick scoring 1 goals.
  • 44' Kanu has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 44.
  • 49' Gilberto adds to his 0 season tally! EC Bahia lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 54' Brazil international Marcos Felipe has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 59' Sao Paulo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 61' Gabriel Teixeira has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jean Lucas on 61 minute.
  • 65' Luciano makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and Sao Paulo FC are in front.
  • 65' Luciano has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 65.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Carlos De Pena. He replaces Everton Ribeiro on 69 minute.
  • 70' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Everaldo departs to be replaced by Oscar Estupinan.
  • 75' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Bahia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 80' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Welington is replaced by Patryck on 84 minute.
  • 86' That is a card for Sao Paulo FC. Alisson will be fuming at that decision.
  • 89' Luiz Gustavo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 89.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Luciano as he leaves the pitch. Juan Santos steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Sao Paulo FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.64 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC52% Draw26% EC Bahia22%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
78%
Draw or EC Bahia
48%
Sao Paulo FC or EC Bahia
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC36% Draw46% EC Bahia18%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
9.1%
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
36%
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.