Sao Paulo FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sao Paulo FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Morumbi.
- Sao Paulo FC 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun | EC Bahia | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Jun | Criciúma EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jun | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–4 | L |
| 19 Jun | Cuiaba EC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jun | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Jun | SC Internacional | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Jun | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Jun | CR Flamengo | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Jun | Criciúma EC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Jun | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Sao Paulo FC | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #6 |
| 25 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 17 |
| 7 / 4 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 5 |
| 23 | Scored | 25 |
| 20 | Conceded | 23 |
| +3 | GD | +2 |
| 1.39 | PPG | 1.53 |
| 39% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Sao Paulo FC and EC Bahia is underway.
- 5' Sao Paulo FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Bahia backline.
- 10' EC Bahia has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
- 15' Sao Paulo FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 20' Thaciano needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 25' Gabriel Xavier has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 21 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 30' The Argentina Jonathan Calleri breaks the deadlock on 30 minutes. 1-0!
- 32' What composure from Ferreira! The Brazil international strokes it home. 2-0.
- 33' Ferreira is having his name booked by the referee on 33.
- 38' Lucas Moura is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
- 43' EC Bahia looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Erick scoring 1 goals.
- 44' Kanu has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 44.
- 49' Gilberto adds to his 0 season tally! EC Bahia lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
- 54' Brazil international Marcos Felipe has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 59' Sao Paulo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 61' Gabriel Teixeira has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jean Lucas on 61 minute.
- 65' Luciano makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and Sao Paulo FC are in front.
- 65' Luciano has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 65.
- 69' The supporters are chanting for Carlos De Pena. He replaces Everton Ribeiro on 69 minute.
- 70' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Everaldo departs to be replaced by Oscar Estupinan.
- 75' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Bahia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 80' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 84' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Welington is replaced by Patryck on 84 minute.
- 86' That is a card for Sao Paulo FC. Alisson will be fuming at that decision.
- 89' Luiz Gustavo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 89.
- 90' The crowd applauds Luciano as he leaves the pitch. Juan Santos steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Sao Paulo FC players.
Lineups
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 10
- 93
- 5
- 2
- 7
- 16
- 9
- 28
- 47
- 6
Bench
- 33
- 35
- 8
- 17
- 11
- 36
- 15
- 27
- 4
- 50
- 31
- –
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
EC Bahia Lineups
4-1-3-2Starting XI
- 16
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Gabriel Teixeira 61'
- 10
- 2
- 22
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Ademir Santos 70'
-
9
Everaldo ↓ Oscar Estupinan 70'
- 19
- 46
- 3
Bench
- 20
-
7
Ademir Santos ↑ 70'
- 15
-
29
Oscar Estupinan ↑ 70'
- 40
- 21
-
14
Carlos De Pena ↑ 69'
- 33
-
11
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 61'
- 23
- 5
- 66
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 6 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Willian Jose | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Ferreira | 2 |
| Wellington Rato | 1 |
| Clayson | 1 |
| Erick | 1 |
Head to Head
Sao Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.64
Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sao Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Sao Paulo FC or Draw
78%
Draw or EC Bahia
48%
Sao Paulo FC or EC Bahia
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
9.1%
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC
| Handicap | Sao Paulo FC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 23% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

