Thursday , 17 September 2026

Burnley FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2026-27
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC Turf Moor

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
Burnley FC 2 games · Avg 0.0 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep Swansea City AFC A 1–3 L
08 Sep Wrexham AFC A 1–1 D
05 Sep Bristol City FC H 1–2 L
02 Sep Middlesbrough FC H 1–1 D
29 Aug Norwich City FC A 1–4 L
23 Aug West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep Birmingham City FC H 1–2 L
09 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC H 0–1 L
05 Sep West Ham United FC A 0–3 L
01 Sep Portsmouth FC A 2–0 W
29 Aug Swansea City AFC H 0–3 L
22 Aug Cardiff City FC H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Burnley FC Derby County FC
#24 Position #22
3 Points 4
7 Played 7
0 / 3 / 4 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 5
8 Scored 6
16 Conceded 13
-8 GD -7
0.43 PPG 0.57
0% Win % 14%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
14% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Burnley FC are 24th (3 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burnley FC
0-15
/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
/4
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/
61-75
1/2
76+
/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burnley FC
Zian Flemming 2 G
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Predictions

1.27 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

Burnley FC42% Draw29% Derby County FC29%

Both Teams to Score

Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.32

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Derby County FC
58%
Burnley FC or Derby County FC
71%

Half-Time Result

Burnley FC28% Draw51% Derby County FC21%

Correct Score

1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 22% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
36%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.