Burnley FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burnley FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Turf Moor.
- Burnley FC 7 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 7 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham United FC | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Swansea City AFC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough FC | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 7 | 12 |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic FC | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | Southampton FC | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Birmingham City FC | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Stoke City FC | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Bristol City FC | 6 | 10 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 7 | 9 |
| 13 | Millwall FC | 6 | 9 |
| 14 | Sheffield United FC | 7 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | Lincoln City FC | 6 | 8 |
| 17 | Watford FC | 7 | 8 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 6 | 7 |
| 19 | Wrexham AFC | 7 | 7 |
| 20 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 7 | 7 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 7 | 4 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 7 | 4 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 7 | 3 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 7 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | Swansea City AFC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Sep | Wrexham AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Sep | Bristol City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Sep | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | Norwich City FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 23 Aug | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | Birmingham City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Sep | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Sep | West Ham United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Sep | Portsmouth FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | Swansea City AFC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | Cardiff City FC | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Burnley FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #24 | Position | #22 |
| 3 | Points | 4 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 0 / 3 / 4 | W / D / L | 1 / 1 / 5 |
| 8 | Scored | 6 |
| 16 | Conceded | 13 |
| -8 | GD | -7 |
| 0.43 | PPG | 0.57 |
| 0% | Win % | 14% |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
Burnley FC this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Burnley FC are 24th (3 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (4 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burnley FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
–/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burnley FC
| Zian Flemming | 2 G |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
H2H
Burnley FC Form
Derby County FC Form
2026-09-12
Derby County FC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
L
2026-09-09
Derby County FC
0–1
West Bromwich Albion FC
L
2026-09-05
West Ham United FC
3–0
Derby County FC
L
2026-09-01
Portsmouth FC
0–2
Derby County FC
W
2026-08-29
Derby County FC
0–3
Swansea City AFC
L
2026-08-22
Derby County FC
2–2
Cardiff City FC
D
Predictions
1.27
Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Burnley FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Burnley FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Derby County FC
58%
Burnley FC or Derby County FC
71%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Burnley FC
| Handicap | Burnley FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 22% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 18% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
36%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

