Derby County FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 6 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- Birmingham City FC 6 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Swansea City AFC | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | Charlton Athletic FC | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | Middlesbrough FC | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Bristol City FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Millwall FC | 5 | 9 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 6 | 9 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 6 | 9 |
| 11 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 5 | 8 |
| 12 | Watford FC | 6 | 8 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 6 | 7 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 6 | 7 |
| 15 | Birmingham City FC | 6 | 7 |
| 16 | Stoke City FC | 6 | 7 |
| 17 | Portsmouth FC | 5 | 6 |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 6 | 5 |
| 19 | Lincoln City FC | 5 | 5 |
| 20 | Cardiff City FC | 6 | 4 |
| 21 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 6 | 4 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 6 | 4 |
| 23 | Burnley FC | 6 | 3 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 6 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Sep | West Ham United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Sep | Portsmouth FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | Swansea City AFC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | Cardiff City FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Aug | Charlton Athletic FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep | Norwich City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Sep | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Sep | Southampton FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Aug | Wrexham AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | Bristol City FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Aug | Sheffield United FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Birmingham City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #22 | Position | #15 |
| 4 | Points | 7 |
| 6 | Played | 6 |
| 1 / 1 / 4 | W / D / L | 1 / 4 / 1 |
| 5 | Scored | 8 |
| 11 | Conceded | 8 |
| -6 | GD | +0 |
| 0.67 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 17% | Win % | 17% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
17%
Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season
Birmingham City FC this season
Derby County FC are 22nd (4 pts). Birmingham City FC are 15th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/1
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Birmingham City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
| Bobby Clark | 1 G | 1 A |
Birmingham City FC
| Phil Neumann | 2 G |
| Demarai Gray | 1 G |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lukas Jutkiewicz | 4 |
| Colin Kazim-Richards | 3 |
| Ivan Sunjic | 2 |
| Graeme Shinnie | 2 |
| Krystian Bielik | 2 |
| Martyn Waghorn | 2 |
| Scott Hogan | 2 |
| Luke Plange | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
2026-09-09
Derby County FC
0–1
West Bromwich Albion FC
L
2026-09-05
West Ham United FC
3–0
Derby County FC
L
2026-09-01
Portsmouth FC
0–2
Derby County FC
W
2026-08-29
Derby County FC
0–3
Swansea City AFC
L
2026-08-22
Derby County FC
2–2
Cardiff City FC
D
2026-08-15
Charlton Athletic FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
Birmingham City FC Form
2026-09-09
Norwich City FC
2–1
Birmingham City FC
L
2026-09-06
Birmingham City FC
2–2
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
D
2026-09-01
Birmingham City FC
1–1
Southampton FC
D
2026-08-28
Wrexham AFC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
W
2026-08-22
Birmingham City FC
2–2
Bristol City FC
D
2026-08-15
Sheffield United FC
0–0
Birmingham City FC
D
Predictions
0.93
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.58
Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
73%
Derby County FC or Birmingham City FC
72%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 1
11.9%
0 – 0
10.2%
0 – 2
9.8%
1 – 2
9.1%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 3
5.1%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 2
4.3%
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Birmingham City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 13% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +1 | 49% | 24% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
22%
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
40%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.