Derby County FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 12 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
- Birmingham City FC 12 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee John Busby
- Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
- Assistant 2 Hugh Gilroy (England)
6 games this season
🟨 3.2/game
⚽ 10.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough FC | 12 | 25 |
| 2 | Swansea City AFC | 12 | 23 |
| 3 | West Ham United FC | 12 | 22 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 12 | 21 |
| 6 | Southampton FC | 12 | 20 |
| 7 | Birmingham City FC | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 12 | 20 |
| 9 | Stoke City FC | 12 | 20 |
| 10 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 12 | 18 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 12 | 18 |
| 12 | Portsmouth FC | 12 | 18 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 12 | 16 |
| 14 | Millwall FC | 12 | 15 |
| 15 | Bristol City FC | 12 | 15 |
| 16 | Lincoln City FC | 12 | 15 |
| 17 | Cardiff City FC | 12 | 14 |
| 18 | Wrexham AFC | 12 | 14 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 12 | 14 |
| 20 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 12 | 14 |
| 21 | Norwich City FC | 12 | 12 |
| 22 | Watford FC | 12 | 11 |
| 23 | Burnley FC | 12 | 8 |
| 24 | Derby County FC | 12 | 7 |
| 25 | Preston North End FC | 12 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | Birmingham City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Sep | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Sep | West Ham United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Sep | Portsmouth FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | Swansea City AFC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | Cardiff City FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | Derby County FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Sep | Norwich City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Sep | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Sep | Southampton FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Aug | Wrexham AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | Bristol City FC | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Birmingham City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #24 | Position | #7 |
| 7 | Points | 20 |
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 1 / 4 / 7 | W / D / L | 5 / 5 / 2 |
| 10 | Scored | 20 |
| 21 | Conceded | 12 |
| -11 | GD | +8 |
| 0.58 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 8% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
73%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
8%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season
Birmingham City FC this season
Derby County FC are 24th (7 pts). Birmingham City FC are 7th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
2/5
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/3
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Birmingham City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
3/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Birmingham City FC
| Liam Millar | 4 G | 3 A |
| August Priske | 4 G | 1 A |
| Demarai Gray | 3 G | |
| Phil Neumann | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Derby County FC and Birmingham City FC is underway.
- 5' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Birmingham City FC backline.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Derby County FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Birmingham City FC winning 100% of all matches.
- 19' That is a card for Derby County FC. Mohammed Fuseini will be fuming at that decision.
- 21' The referee has no hesitation. Alex Cochrane is booked for Birmingham City FC — card on 21.
- 26' James Beadle has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 31' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 36' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Chris Davies will be considering his options from the bench.
- 40' What a moment for Bobby Clark! That strike on 40 puts his side firmly in control.
- 42' A goal from the Spain international Carlos Vicente! He fires home on 42 to make it 1-1!
- 44' That looks like a foul for a card for August Priske.
- 49' The travelling Birmingham City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 54' Derby County FC ring the changes. Henrik Meister has done his job and it is now time for Oscar Fraulo to step up.
- 59' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Seung-Ho Paik suffering a number of foals already.
- 60' Birmingham City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Seung-Ho Paik is hanging Jhon Solis on the field on 60 minute.
- 64' Seung-Ho Paik is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 69' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 73' A tactical swap from Birmingham City FC — Luis Vazquez on, August Priske off on 73 minutes.
- 74' Another change for Birmingham City FC made on 74 minute. Liam Millar leaves to be changed by Ethan Laird.
- 79' A quiet spell here at Pride Park Stadium. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 84' Birmingham City FC have won 430 goals from 393 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 85' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace David Ozoh by Corey Blackett-Taylor on 85 minute.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Lars-Jorgen Salvesen. He replaces Charlie Taylor on 90 minute.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Carlos Vicente.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 18
- 23
- 9
- 11
-
44
Eiran Cashin ↓ Ryan Hedges 85'
- 8
- 16
- 1
- 4
- 6
-
19
Henrik Meister ↓ Oscar Fraulo 54'
Bench
-
26
Ryan Hedges ↑ 85'
- 20
-
33
Corey Blackett-Taylor ↑ 85'
- 24
- 31
-
15
Lars-Jorgen Salvesen ↑ 90'
- 28
-
29
Oscar Fraulo ↑ 54'
- 22
Coach
John Eustace
Birmingham City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 26
- 5
-
17
Liam Millar ↓ Ethan Laird 74'
- 24
- 20
- 28
- 4
- 1
-
14
Jhon Solis ↓ Seung-Ho Paik 60'
-
9
August Priske ↓ Luis Vazquez 73'
-
7
Carlos Vicente ↓ Dael Fry 90'
Bench
-
23
Dael Fry ↑ 90'
- 21
- 33
- 3
- 27
-
2
Ethan Laird ↑ 74'
-
32
Luis Vazquez ↑ 73'
-
8
Seung-Ho Paik ↑ 60'
-
25
Kristoffer Lund ↑ 90'
Coach
Chris Davies
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lukas Jutkiewicz | 4 |
| Colin Kazim-Richards | 3 |
| Krystian Bielik | 2 |
| Martyn Waghorn | 2 |
| Scott Hogan | 2 |
| Ivan Sunjic | 2 |
| Graeme Shinnie | 2 |
| Richard Keogh | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
2026-09-12
Derby County FC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
L
2026-09-09
Derby County FC
0–1
West Bromwich Albion FC
L
2026-09-05
West Ham United FC
3–0
Derby County FC
L
2026-09-01
Portsmouth FC
0–2
Derby County FC
W
2026-08-29
Derby County FC
0–3
Swansea City AFC
L
2026-08-22
Derby County FC
2–2
Cardiff City FC
D
Birmingham City FC Form
2026-09-12
Derby County FC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
W
2026-09-09
Norwich City FC
2–1
Birmingham City FC
L
2026-09-06
Birmingham City FC
2–2
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
D
2026-09-01
Birmingham City FC
1–1
Southampton FC
D
2026-08-28
Wrexham AFC
1–2
Birmingham City FC
W
2026-08-22
Birmingham City FC
2–2
Bristol City FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.86
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82
Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Birmingham City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
47%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
79%
Derby County FC or Birmingham City FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
11.8%
1 – 1
11.6%
0 – 2
11.1%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 3
6.6%
1 – 3
5.7%
1 – 0
5%
2 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 4
3%
1 – 4
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Birmingham City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| +0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +1 | 41% | 24% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +2 | 66% | 18% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
43%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

