Friday , 16 October 2026

Cuiaba EC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 2
Full Time
Sun 30 Apr 2023 · 21:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cuiaba EC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Apr Gremio FBPA H 1–2 L
22 Apr RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
15 Apr SE Palmeiras A 1–2 L
13 Nov Coritiba FBC H 2–1 W
10 Nov CA Mineiro A 0–3 L
06 Nov SE Palmeiras H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Apr Cuiaba EC A 2–1 W
23 Apr Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
16 Apr Santos FC H 1–0 W
10 Dec CA Mineiro H 4–3 W
05 Dec SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–1 D
02 Dec Sao Paulo FC H 3–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Cuiaba EC and Grêmio FBPA has kicked off!
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 9' The deadlock is broken! Vinicius gets on the scoresheet on 9 minutes.
  • 10' Vinicius makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and Gremio FBPA are in front.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ivo Vieira will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Cuiaba EC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 29' What a strike from Marllon! The score is 1-2.
  • 34' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' Poor challenge from Patric Calmon. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 37' The referee has no hesitation. Mila is booked for Gremio FBPA — Yellow card on 37.
  • 40' The referee has no hesitation. Bruno Alves is booked for Gremio FBPA — Yellow card on 40.
  • 45' It’s a booking for Cuiaba EC player. Raniele gets a Yellow card.
  • 50' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 55' The travelling Grêmio FBPA supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 59' Nathan is replacing Franco Cristaldo for the Gremio FBPA side.
  • 61' The Cuiaba EC bench stirs into life. Pablo Ceppelini is withdrawn and Ronald gets his opportunity.
  • 64' The crowd applauds Vinicius as he leaves the pitch. Everton steps in for Gremio FBPA.
  • 68' Everton adds to his 0 season tally! Gremio FBPA lead 1-3 — and this changes everything.
  • 70' A change in the Cuiaba EC ranks — Jonathan Cafu exits the field as Wellington Silva enters on 70.
  • 75' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Ronald.
  • 76' The Cuiaba EC bench stirs into life. Matheusinho is withdrawn and Matheus Alexandre gets his opportunity.
  • 80' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Fabio departs to be replaced by Thomas Luciano.
  • 82' Gabriel Chapeco has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 82.
  • 87' Pablo Ceppelini needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Diogo Barbosa. He receives a Yellow card.
  • The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2 Cuiaba EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Cuiaba EC or Gremio FBPA 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cuiaba EC33% Draw29% Gremio FBPA38%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Cuiaba EC or Draw
62%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
67%
Cuiaba EC or Gremio FBPA
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cuiaba EC25% Draw49% Gremio FBPA26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Cuiaba EC

Handicap Cuiaba EC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Cuiaba EC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.