Friday , 16 October 2026

Gremio FBPA vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2021 REGULAR SEASON

Thu 2 Dec 2021 · 23:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec Sao Paulo FC H 3–0 W
26 Nov EC Bahia A 1–3 L
24 Nov CR Flamengo H 2–2 D
20 Nov Chapecoense AF A 3–1 W
16 Nov RB Bragantino H 3–0 W
13 Nov America FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec Gremio FBPA A 0–3 L
28 Nov SC Recife H 2–0 W
25 Nov CA Paranaense H 0–0 D
17 Nov SE Palmeiras A 2–0 W
14 Nov CR Flamengo H 0–4 L
11 Nov Fortaleza EC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA Sao Paulo FC
#18 Position #10
31 Points 39
30 Played 30
7 / 10 / 13 W / D / L 11 / 6 / 13
32 Scored 35
40 Conceded 35
-8 GD +0
1.03 PPG 1.30
23% Win % 37%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 10th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
4/4
31-45
5/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
6/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A
Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 1 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Gremio FBPA launch into their encounter with Sao Paulo FC.
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Gremio FBPA must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' Sao Paulo FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Marcos Antonio scoring 1 goals.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rogério Ceni will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 23' Magnificent from Thiago Santos! That is 8 goals in 396 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 28' Gremio FBPA currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 33' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 38' Juanfran is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sao Paulo FC tonight.
  • 43' It’s high time Vágner Mancini made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Martin Nicolas Benitez as he leaves the pitch. Igor Vinicius steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
  • 51' Sao Paulo FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 56' Jonathan Calleri has been relatively quiet despite scoring 64 goals in his last 274 appearances.
  • 60' A moment of madness from Emiliano Rigoni on 60 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
  • 62' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Miguel Borja comes on to replace Diego Souza.
  • 67' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Gremio FBPA side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 68' GOAL! Diogo Barbosa fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 70' Igor Gomes makes way for Gabriel Neves at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
  • 73' Lizeiro is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rodrigo Nestor at the 73 minute mark.
  • 74' That is a Yellow card for Gremio FBPA. Douglas Costa will be fuming at that decision.
  • 74' Jhonata Robert gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Douglas Costa and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' Darlan Mendes is replacing Ferreira for the Gremio FBPA side.
  • 84' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sao Paulo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 85' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Gabriel Chapeco.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Miranda. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Gremio FBPA to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.55 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA50% Draw27% Sao Paulo FC23%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
77%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
50%
Gremio FBPA or Sao Paulo FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gremio FBPA35% Draw48% Sao Paulo FC17%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
11.7%
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
39% ✗
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.