Thursday , 2 July 2026

Club Atletico de Madrid vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 14:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Club Atletico de Madrid vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Javier Alberola Rojas

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Real Madrid CF H 5–2 W
24 Sep Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 3–2 W
21 Sep RCD Mallorca A 1–1 D
17 Sep Liverpool FC A 2–3 L
13 Sep Villarreal CF H 2–0 W
30 Aug Deportivo Alaves A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Club Atletico de Madrid A 2–5 L
23 Sep Levante UD A 4–1 W
20 Sep RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 2–0 W
16 Sep Olympique de Marseille H 2–1 W
13 Sep Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 2–1 W
30 Aug RCD Mallorca H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Club Atletico de Madrid Real Madrid CF
#4 Position #2
69 Points 86
38 Played 38
21 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 27 / 5 / 6
62 Scored 77
44 Conceded 35
+18 GD +42
1.82 PPG 2.26
55% Win % 71%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Club Atletico de Madrid are 4th (69 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Real Madrid CF gets underway.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 5-2.

Lineups

Club Atletico de Madrid Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.08 Club Atletico de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.92 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Club Atletico de Madrid or Real Madrid CF 77% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Club Atletico de Madrid43% Draw23% Real Madrid CF34%
Actual: Club Atletico de Madrid win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

Club Atletico de Madrid or Draw
67%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
57%
Club Atletico de Madrid or Real Madrid CF
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Club Atletico de Madrid33% Draw38% Real Madrid CF29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted
5 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
8.1%
2 – 1
7.4%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 2
6.8%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 2
4.8%
2 – 3
4.5%
1 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.5%
1 – 0
3.4%
3 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Club Atletico de Madrid

Handicap Club Atletico de Madrid covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 13% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 18% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 16% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 11% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Club Atletico de Madrid keeps clean sheet
16%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.