Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Olympique de Marseille, Champions League 2025-26 LEAGUE STAGE

UEFA Champions League · 2025-26
Real Madrid CF
2 – 1
Full Time
Olympique de Marseille
Tue 16 Sep 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Olympique de Marseille — Champions League .

Match Details

  • Referee Irfan Peljto
6 games this season 🟨 0.2/game ⚽ 2.7 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Arsenal FC 8 24
2 FC Bayern München 8 21
3 Liverpool FC 8 18
4 Tottenham Hotspur FC 8 17
5 FC Barcelona 8 16
6 Chelsea FC 8 16
7 Sporting Clube de Portugal 8 16
8 Manchester City FC 8 16
9 Real Madrid CF 8 15
10 FC Internazionale Milano 8 15
11 Paris Saint-Germain FC 8 14
12 Newcastle United FC 8 14
13 Juventus FC 8 13
14 Club Atletico de Madrid 8 13
15 Atalanta BC 8 13
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 12
17 Borussia Dortmund 8 11
18 PAE Olympiakos SFP 8 11
19 Club Brugge KV 8 10
20 Galatasaray SK 8 10
21 AS Monaco FC 8 10
22 Qarabag Agdam FK 8 10
23 FK Bodø/Glimt 8 9
24 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 8 9
25 Olympique de Marseille 8 9
26 Paphos FC 8 9
27 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 8 9
28 PSV 8 8
29 Athletic Club 8 8
30 SSC Napoli 8 8
31 FC København 8 8
32 AFC Ajax 8 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 4
34 SK Slavia Praha 8 3
35 Villarreal CF 8 1
36 FK Kairat 8 1

Head-to-Head

1
Real Madrid CF 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals Olympique de Marseille
Last 5 meetings
2025-09-16 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Olympique de Marseille

Recent Form

Real Madrid CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Olympique de Marseille H 2–1 W
13 Sep Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 2–1 W
30 Aug RCD Mallorca H 2–1 W
24 Aug Real Oviedo A 3–0 W
19 Aug CA Osasuna H 1–0 W
09 Jul Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–4 L
Olympique de Marseille
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
12 Sep FC Lorient H 4–0 W
31 Aug Olympique Lyonnais A 0–1 L
23 Aug Paris FC H 5–2 W
15 Aug Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–1 L
17 May Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 4–2 W

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Olympique de Marseille
#9 Position #25
15 Points 9
8 Played 8
5 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 0 / 5
21 Scored 11
12 Conceded 14
+9 GD -3
1.88 PPG 1.13
63% Win % 38%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
13% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season

Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). Olympique de Marseille are 25th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

Olympique de Marseille Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.48 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 Olympique de Marseille xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 66% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF66% Draw20% Olympique de Marseille14%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
85%
Draw or Olympique de Marseille
34%
Real Madrid CF or Olympique de Marseille
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF50% Draw37% Olympique de Marseille13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
8.4%
3 – 0
7.8%
1 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
7.5%
4 – 0
4.8%
4 – 1
4.7%
0 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
3.7%
1 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Olympique de Marseille covers
-2.5 27% — 73%
-2 27% 20% 53%
-1.5 47% — 53%
-1 47% 21% 31%
-0.5 69% — 31%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.