Thursday , 1 October 2026

Carrarese Calcio vs Spezia Calcio, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2025-26
Mon 6 Apr 2026 · 17:30 UTC Stadio dei Marmi 5,062 HT 45' · FT 45'
Nicolo Calabrese 17' 1–0
Mattia Finotto 23' 2–0
2–1 49' Mattia Valoti
Fabio Abiuso 63' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Carrarese Calcio vs Spezia Calcio — Serie B at Stadio dei Marmi.

Match Details

  • Referee Gianluca Manganiello
  • Assistant 1 Federico Fontani (Italy)
  • Assistant 2 Francesco Cortese (Italy)
3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 4.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr Spezia Calcio H 3–1 W
22 Mar SSC Bari A 3–0 W
18 Mar UC Sampdoria H 2–0 W
14 Mar SS Juve Stabia A 1–1 D
08 Mar Palermo FC H 0–1 L
04 Mar US Catanzaro H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr Carrarese Calcio A 1–3 L
21 Mar SS Juve Stabia A 1–3 L
17 Mar Empoli FC H 1–1 D
13 Mar Modena FC 2018 A 0–3 L
07 Mar AC Monza H 4–2 W
03 Mar Padova Calcio A 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Carrarese Calcio this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Carrarese Calcio
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/3
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Carrarese Calcio
Fabio Abiuso 1 G
Pietro Pinelli 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stadio dei Marmi!
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' Carrarese Calcio are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Emanuele Adamo suffering a number of foals already.
  • 16' Giovanni Bonfanti catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 16.
  • 17' Carrarese Calcio is taking the lead after the goal scored by Nicolo Calabrese on 17.
  • 22' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 23' Mattia Finotto is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 28' Spezia Calcio fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 33' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 38' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 43' Emanuele Zuelli has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 190 appearances.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ales Mateju on 45.
  • 46' The Spezia Calcio bench stirs into life. Ales Mateju is withdrawn and Gianluca Lapadula gets his opportunity.
  • 49' Mattia Valoti has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 49 minutes.
  • 54' With 0 assists to his name this season, Marco Bleve is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Carrarese Calcio.
  • 59' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mattia Finotto on 59.
  • 63' Fabio Abiuso is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 68' Luca Vignali has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 69' Poor challenge from Luca Vignali. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 70' The crowd applauds Mattia Finotto as he leaves the pitch. Filippo Distefano steps in for Carrarese Calcio.
  • 75' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 79' It is a substitution in Carrarese Calcio team. Luis Hasa is replaced by Nicolas Schiavi on 79 minute.
  • 84' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 85' It’s gonna be a card for Mattia Valoti.
  • 85' Alessandro Bellemo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alessandro Romano on 85 minute.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Spezia Calcio player. Emanuele Adamo gets a card.
  • 3-1 the final result. Spezia Calcio will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.79 Carrarese Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Carrarese Calcio51% Draw24% Spezia Calcio25%
Actual: Carrarese Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Carrarese Calcio or Draw
75%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
49%
Carrarese Calcio or Spezia Calcio
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Carrarese Calcio35% Draw43% Spezia Calcio22%
Actual: Carrarese Calcio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
7.4%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Carrarese Calcio

Handicap Carrarese Calcio covers Push Spezia Calcio covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 21% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Carrarese Calcio keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.