Sunday , 16 August 2026

Carrarese Calcio vs Spezia Calcio, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2025-26
Mon 6 Apr 2026 · 17:30 UTC Stadio dei Marmi 5,062 HT 45' · FT 45'
Nicolo Calabrese 17' 1–0
Mattia Finotto 23' 2–0
2–1 49' Mattia Valoti
Fabio Abiuso 63' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Carrarese Calcio vs Spezia CalcioSerie B at Stadio dei Marmi.

Match Details

  • Referee Gianluca Manganiello
  • Assistant 1 Federico Fontani (Italy)
  • Assistant 2 Francesco Cortese (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr Spezia Calcio H 3–1 W
22 Mar SSC Bari A 3–0 W
18 Mar UC Sampdoria H 2–0 W
14 Mar SS Juve Stabia A 1–1 D
08 Mar Palermo FC H 0–1 L
04 Mar US Catanzaro H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr Carrarese Calcio A 1–3 L
21 Mar SS Juve Stabia A 1–3 L
17 Mar Empoli FC H 1–1 D
13 Mar Modena FC 2018 A 0–3 L
07 Mar AC Monza H 4–2 W
03 Mar Padova Calcio A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Carrarese Calcio Spezia Calcio
#16 Position #7
0 Points 35
0 Played 38
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 8 / 11 / 19
0 Scored 43
0 Conceded 59
+0 GD -16
PPG 0.92
Win % 21%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Carrarese Calcio are 16th (0 pts). Spezia Calcio are 7th (35 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Carrarese Calcio is hosting Spezia Calcio for another epic battle.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 16' A meaty challenge results in booking for Giovanni Bonfanti on 16.
  • 17' The deadlock is broken! Nicolo Calabrese gets on the scoresheet on 17 minutes.
  • 22' Carrarese Calcio looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Mattia Finotto scoring 1 goals.
  • 23' A stunning finish from Mattia Finotto — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 28' It looks like no one’s ball. Carrarese Calcio is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 33' Emanuele Adamo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 38' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Carrarese Calcio side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 43' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 45' Ales Mateju was booked on 45.
  • 46' Gianluca Lapadula has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ales Mateju on 46 minute.
  • 49' Brilliant from the ! Mattia Valoti makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 49.
  • 54' Carrarese Calcio has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 59' Controversy at the stadium! Mattia Finotto argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 63' GOAL! Fabio Abiuso fires home to make it 3-1!
  • 68' Luis Hasa has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 519 appearances.
  • 69' A moment of madness from Luca Vignali on 69 minutes earns him a card. Spezia Calcio will be frustrated.
  • 70' It is a substitution in Carrarese Calcio team. Mattia Finotto is replaced by Filippo Distefano on 70 minute.
  • 75' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Spezia Calcio needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 79' The whistle greets Luis Hasa as he departs to be replaced by Nicolas Schiavi.
  • 84' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 85' Mattia Valoti picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 85' Spezia Calcio manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alessandro Bellemo is hanging Alessandro Romano on the field on 85 minute.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Emanuele Adamo on 90 minutes earns him a card. Spezia Calcio will be frustrated.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.15 Carrarese Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Carrarese Calcio47% Draw31% Spezia Calcio22%
Actual: Carrarese Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 1.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Carrarese Calcio or Draw
78%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
53%
Carrarese Calcio or Spezia Calcio
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Carrarese Calcio28% Draw55% Spezia Calcio17%
Actual: Carrarese Calcio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.1%
1 – 0
15.5%
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 1
10%
2 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.5%
2 – 2
3%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Carrarese Calcio

Handicap Carrarese Calcio covers Push Spezia Calcio covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 24% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 16% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Carrarese Calcio keeps clean sheet
47%
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.