Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Spezia Calcio vs Carrarese Calcio, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2024-25
Sun 22 Sep 2024 · 13:00 UTC Stadio Alberto Picco 10,354 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 5' Leonardo Cerri
Francesco Esposito 24' 1–1
Salvatore Esposito pen 48' 2–1
Francesco Esposito 61' 3–1
3–2 74' Filippo Oliana
Petko Hristov 82' 4–2

Overview

Match Preview

Spezia Calcio vs Carrarese Calcio — Serie B at Stadio Alberto Picco.

Match Details

  • Referee Antonio Rapuano
  • Assistant 1 Alessio Berti
  • Assistant 2 Andrea Zingarelli

Head-to-Head

2
2
Spezia Calcio 4 games · Avg 4.0 goals Carrarese Calcio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Sep Carrarese Calcio H 4–2 W
14 Sep US Cremonese A 1–1 D
01 Sep AC Cesena H 2–1 W
28 Aug Cosenza Calcio A 0–0 D
24 Aug Frosinone Calcio H 2–1 W
17 Aug AC Pisa 1909 A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Sep Spezia Calcio A 2–4 L
15 Sep US Sassuolo Calcio H 0–2 L
01 Sep US Catanzaro A 1–3 L
27 Aug FC Südtirol H 2–0 W
24 Aug US Cremonese A 0–1 L
18 Aug AC Cesena A 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Carrarese Calcio this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Carrarese Calcio
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/3
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Carrarese Calcio
Fabio Abiuso 1 G
Pietro Pinelli 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.35 Spezia Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 Carrarese Calcio xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Spezia Calcio60% Draw21% Carrarese Calcio19%
Actual: Spezia Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Spezia Calcio or Draw
81%
Draw or Carrarese Calcio
40%
Spezia Calcio or Carrarese Calcio
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Spezia Calcio44% Draw38% Carrarese Calcio18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 1
8.7%
3 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
6.9%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 0
5.4%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 2
4.7%
4 – 1
4.1%
0 – 0
3.7%
4 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Spezia Calcio

Handicap Spezia Calcio covers Push Carrarese Calcio covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 17% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 21% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 12% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Carrarese Calcio keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.