Carrarese Calcio vs Spezia Calcio, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Carrarese Calcio vs Spezia Calcio — Serie B at Stadio dei Marmi.
- Carrarese Calcio 38 games · 44 pts (2025/26)
- Spezia Calcio 38 games · 35 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Simone Sozza
- Assistant 1 Alberto Tegoni
- Assistant 2 Fabrizio Lombardo
10 games this season
🟨 1.2/game
⚽ 4.9 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venezia FC | 38 | 82 |
| 2 | Frosinone Calcio | 38 | 81 |
| 3 | AC Monza | 38 | 76 |
| 4 | Palermo FC | 38 | 72 |
| 5 | US Catanzaro | 38 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena FC 2018 | 38 | 55 |
| 7 | SS Juve Stabia | 38 | 51 |
| 8 | Calcio Avellino SSD | 38 | 49 |
| 9 | Mantova 1911 SSD | 38 | 46 |
| 10 | Padova Calcio | 38 | 46 |
| 11 | AC Cesena | 38 | 46 |
| 12 | Carrarese Calcio | 38 | 44 |
| 13 | UC Sampdoria | 38 | 44 |
| 14 | ACD Virtus Entella | 38 | 42 |
| 15 | Empoli FC | 38 | 41 |
| 16 | FC Sudtirol | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | SSC Bari | 38 | 40 |
| 18 | AC Reggiana | 38 | 37 |
| 19 | Spezia Calcio | 38 | 35 |
| 20 | Delfino Pescara 1936 | 38 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan | Spezia Calcio | H | 0–4 | L |
| 13 Jan | AC Pisa 1909 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Dec | AC Cesena | H | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Dec | UC Sampdoria | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Dec | Cosenza Calcio | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Dec | Brescia Calcio | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan | Carrarese Calcio | A | 4–0 | W |
| 12 Jan | SS Juve Stabia | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Dec | SSC Bari | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Dec | Mantova 1911 SSD | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Dec | US Catanzaro | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Dec | UC Sampdoria | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Carrarese Calcio | Spezia Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #19 |
| 44 | Points | 35 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 10 / 14 / 14 | W / D / L | 8 / 11 / 19 |
| 47 | Scored | 43 |
| 52 | Conceded | 59 |
| -5 | GD | -16 |
| 1.16 | PPG | 0.92 |
| 26% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
Carrarese Calcio this season
Carrarese Calcio this season
16%
Clean Sheets
Spezia Calcio this season
Spezia Calcio this season
Carrarese Calcio are 12th (44 pts). Spezia Calcio are 19th (35 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Carrarese Calcio
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Spezia Calcio
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/4
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
4/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Carrarese Calcio host Spezia Calcio — let the battle begin!
- 5' It’s high time Luca D'Angelo made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Leandro Chichizola suffering a number of foals already.
- 19' Rachid Kouda has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 19.
- 20' Against the run of play, Francesco Esposito has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 23' The Carrarese Calcio bench stirs into life. Marco Bleve is withdrawn and Niccolo Chiorra gets his opportunity.
- 28' Nicolas Schiavi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Carrarese Calcio tonight.
- 33' Filippo Bandinelli is replacing Adam Nagy for the Spezia Calcio side.
- 34' Spezia Calcio player sees a card in front of him.
- 37' That looks like a foul for a card for Filippo Oliana.
- 42' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 46' The whistle greets Mattia Finotto as he departs to be replaced by Leonardo Cerri.
- 49' The deadlock is broken! Francesco Esposito gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
- 50' Rachid Kouda has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 50 minutes.
- 52' The referee calls foul for Nicolas Schiavi. He receives a card.
- 53' Another substitution for Carrarese Calcio to replace Manuel Cicconi by Niccolo Belloni on 53 minute.
- 58' Salvatore Elia has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 58 minutes.
- 60' The whistle greets Stiven Shpendi as he departs to be replaced by Riccardo Palmieri.
- 63' It is a substitution in Spezia Calcio team. Duccio Degl'Innocenti is replaced by Pietro Candelari on 63 minute.
- 68' Carrarese Calcio have won 45 goals from 76 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 73' It looks surprising Spezia Calcio does not make any changes. Emanuele Zuelli has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 74' The Spezia Calcio bench stirs into life. Francesco Esposito is withdrawn and Antonio Colak gets his opportunity.
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Giuseppe Aurelio. He replaces Arkadiusz Reca on 75 minute.
- 80' Carrarese Calcio are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Spezia Calcio backline.
- 85' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Spezia Calcio that had 228 games and scored 244 goals.
- 86' Luca Vignali has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 86.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Spezia Calcio take all three points.
Lineups
Carrarese Calcio Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 18
-
32
Mattia Finotto ↓ Leonardo Cerri 46'
- 3
- 4
-
1
Marco Bleve ↓ Niccolo Chiorra 23'
- 17
- 9
- 19
- 6
- 72
- 11
Bench
- 21
-
77
Niccolo Belloni ↑ 53'
- 13
- 82
- 25
-
24
Niccolo Chiorra ↑ 23'
-
20
Samuel Giovane ↑ 46'
-
90
Leonardo Cerri ↑ 46'
-
8
Riccardo Palmieri ↑ 60'
- 29
- 44
Coach
Nicola Antonio Calabro
Spezia Calcio Lineups
3-5-1-1Starting XI
- 7
- 23
- 13
-
8
Adam Nagy ↓ Filippo Bandinelli 33'
- 55
- 5
- 37
- 32
- 6
-
80
Rachid Kouda ↓ Diego Falcinelli 63'
- 9
Bench
-
11
Diego Falcinelli ↑ 63'
-
25
Filippo Bandinelli ↑ 33'
-
31
Giuseppe Aurelio ↑ 75'
- 4
-
17
Antonio Colak ↑ 74'
- 65
-
36
Pietro Candelari ↑ 63'
- 12
- 44
- 82
- 22
Coach
Luca D'Angelo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Francesco Esposito | 4 |
| Rachid Kouda | 1 |
| Mattia Valoti | 1 |
| Mattia Finotto | 1 |
| Nicolo Calabrese | 1 |
| Fabio Abiuso | 1 |
| Petko Hristov | 1 |
| Salvatore Esposito | 1 |
Head to Head
Carrarese Calcio Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29
Carrarese Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.92
Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Spezia Calcio win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
Carrarese Calcio or Draw
53%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
73%
Carrarese Calcio or Spezia Calcio
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Spezia Calcio win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–4 not predicted0 – 4Actual
1 – 1
10.8%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
7.4%
0 – 1
7.1%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 3
5.9%
0 – 0
5.6%
0 – 3
4.6%
1 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
3.9%
2 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Carrarese Calcio
| Handicap | Carrarese Calcio covers | Push | Spezia Calcio covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +1 | 49% | 21% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 16% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Carrarese Calcio keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

