Saturday , 14 November 2026

Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FC, Europe 2025-26 SEMI FINALS

UEFA Europa League · 2025-26
Thu 30 Apr 2026 · 19:00 UTC City Ground, Nottingham 29,790 HT 45' · FT 45'
Chris Wood pen 71' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FC — Europe at City Ground, Nottingham.

Match Details

  • Referee Joao Pedro Pinheiro
  • Assistant 1 Bruno Jesus (Portugal)
  • Assistant 2 Luciano Maia
10 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 10.2 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Apr Aston Villa FC H 1–0 W
24 Apr Sunderland AFC A 5–0 W
19 Apr Burnley FC H 4–1 W
16 Apr FC Porto H 1–0 W
12 Apr Aston Villa FC H 1–1 D
09 Apr FC Porto A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Apr Nottingham Forest FC A 0–1 L
25 Apr Fulham FC A 0–1 L
19 Apr Sunderland AFC H 4–3 W
16 Apr Bologna FC 1909 H 4–0 W
12 Apr Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
09 Apr Bologna FC 1909 A 3–1 W

Season Stats

Nottingham Forest FC Aston Villa FC
#13 Position #2
14 Points 21
8 Played 8
4 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 1
15 Scored 14
7 Conceded 6
+8 GD +8
1.75 PPG 2.63
50% Win % 88%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Nottingham Forest FC are 13th (14 pts). Aston Villa FC are 2nd (21 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Nottingham Forest FC is hosting Aston Villa FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Nottingham Forest FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nottingham Forest FC and Aston Villa FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 15' Ola Aina has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 20' A quiet spell here at City Ground, Nottingham. Nottingham Forest FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 25' Nottingham Forest FC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Aston Villa FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Emiliano Martinez, as he is very good at scoring at City Ground, Nottingham with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 35' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 40' Aston Villa FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
  • 45' Ollie Watkins has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 50' The 29-year-old Matty Cash has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 55' Lamare Bogarde has so much to prove this time. He replaces Amadou Onana on 55 minute.
  • 60' Nottingham Forest FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Liam Delap scoring 1 goals.
  • 65' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 70' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Morgan Gibbs-White made 354 appearances and scored 44 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 71' GOAL! Chris Wood scores on 71.
  • 75' The whistle greets Ola Aina as he departs to be replaced by Zach Abbott.
  • 78' The referee calls foul for Youri Tielemans. He receives a card.
  • 78' Douglas Luiz is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lucas Digne at the 78 minute mark.
  • 79' Jadon Sancho is ready to make an impact after coming on for John McGinn at the 79 minute mark.
  • 84' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 89' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 90' Fresh legs for Nottingham Forest FC! Ryan Yates comes on to replace Igor Jesus.
  • Aston Villa FC will have plenty to reflect on. Nottingham Forest FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.29 Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC45% Draw29% Aston Villa FC26%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
55%
Nottingham Forest FC or Aston Villa FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC29% Draw51% Aston Villa FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap Nottingham Forest FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✗
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.