Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FC, Europe 2025-26 SEMI FINALS

UEFA Europa League · 2025-26
Thu 30 Apr 2026 · 19:00 UTC City Ground, Nottingham 29,790 HT 45' · FT 45'
Chris Wood pen 71' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FCEurope at City Ground, Nottingham.

Match Details

  • Referee Joao Pedro Pinheiro
  • Assistant 1 Bruno Jesus (Portugal)
  • Assistant 2 Luciano Maia
20 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 5.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Apr Aston Villa FC H 1–0 W
24 Apr Sunderland AFC A 5–0 W
19 Apr Burnley FC H 4–1 W
16 Apr FC Porto H 1–0 W
12 Apr Aston Villa FC H 1–1 D
09 Apr FC Porto A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Apr Nottingham Forest FC A 0–1 L
25 Apr Fulham FC A 0–1 L
19 Apr Sunderland AFC H 4–3 W
16 Apr Bologna FC 1909 H 4–0 W
12 Apr Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
09 Apr Bologna FC 1909 A 3–1 W

Season Stats

Nottingham Forest FC Aston Villa FC
#13 Position #2
14 Points 21
8 Played 8
4 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 1
15 Scored 14
7 Conceded 6
+8 GD +8
1.75 PPG 2.63
50% Win % 88%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
44% Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season
60% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Nottingham Forest FC are 13th (14 pts). Aston Villa FC are 2nd (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
/
31-45
/1
46-60
/1
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aston Villa FC
0-15
/
16-30
2/
31-45
5/
46-60
3/
61-75
/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Nottingham Forest FC and Aston Villa FC is underway.
  • 5' It looks surprising Nottingham Forest FC does not make any changes. Youri Tielemans has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Aston Villa FC winning 50% of all matches.
  • 30' Nottingham Forest FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
  • 35' It’s high time Vítor Pereira made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nottingham Forest FC that had 372 games and scored 433 goals.
  • 45' Aston Villa FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker John McGinn scoring 2 goals.
  • 50' It looks like no one’s ball. Nottingham Forest FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 55' Time for substitution for Aston Villa FC. Amadou Onana is replaced by Lamare Bogarde.
  • 60' The travelling Aston Villa FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 65' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 70' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Aston Villa FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 71' Nottingham Forest FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Chris Wood on 71.
  • 75' Time for substitution for Nottingham Forest FC. Ola Aina is replaced by Zach Abbott.
  • 78' Aston Villa FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 78.
  • 78' Another substitution for Aston Villa FC to replace Lucas Digne by Douglas Luiz on 78 minute.
  • 79' It is a substitution in Aston Villa FC team. John McGinn is replaced by Jadon Sancho on 79 minute.
  • 84' Lamare Bogarde needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 89' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 90' The Nottingham Forest FC manager makes a substitution. Igor Jesus departs to be replaced by Ryan Yates.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.29 Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC45% Draw29% Aston Villa FC26%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
55%
Nottingham Forest FC or Aston Villa FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC29% Draw51% Aston Villa FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap Nottingham Forest FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.