Saturday , 14 November 2026

Burnley FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sun 27 Aug 2023 · 13:00 UTC Turf Moor 21,591 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 8' Matty Cash
0–2 20' Matty Cash
Lyle Foster 47' 1–2
1–3 61' Moussa Diaby

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Salisbury
  • Assistant 1 Ian Hussin
  • Assistant 2 Derek Eaton
5 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 8.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Aug Aston Villa FC H 1–3 L
11 Aug Manchester City FC H 0–3 L
08 May Cardiff City FC H 3–0 W
29 Apr Bristol City FC A 2–1 W
25 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–0 W
22 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Aug Burnley FC A 3–1 W
20 Aug Everton FC H 4–0 W
12 Aug Newcastle United FC A 1–5 L
28 May Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–1 W
20 May Liverpool FC A 1–1 D
13 May Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

90% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
Nicolas Jackson 6 G 1 A
Johan Manzambi 2 G 3 A
Alysson 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Burnley FC and Aston Villa FC is underway.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Burnley FC and Aston Villa FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 8' Aston Villa FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Matty Cash on 8.
  • 13' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jhon Duran is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Aston Villa FC.
  • 18' Burnley FC is showing some good football. However, Burnley FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' Assisted by Moussa Diaby with the perfectly-timed delivery and Matty Cash makes no mistake. 0-2!
  • 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 30' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 35' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 39' Josh Cullen was booked on 39.
  • 44' The 25-year-old Zeki Amdouni has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 45' Burnley FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 46' Benson Manuel makes way for Johann Berg Gudmundsson at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burnley FC.
  • 47' What composure from Lyle Foster! The South Africa international strokes it home. 1-2.
  • 52' Aston Villa FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 57' Bertrand Traore has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 61' Brilliant from the ! Moussa Diaby makes it 1-3 with a superb finish on 61.
  • 66' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 68' Aaron Ramsey gets the nod from Burnley FC. He replaces Sander Berge and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 73' Time for substitution for Aston Villa FC. Moussa Diaby is replaced by Nicolo Zaniolo.
  • 78' Burnley FC have won 421 goals from 356 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 81' Bertrand Traore has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Digne on 81 minute.
  • 86' Jhon Duran is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ollie Watkins at the 86 minute mark.
  • Burnley FC will have plenty to reflect on. Aston Villa FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.45 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC or Aston Villa FC 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC34% Draw27% Aston Villa FC39%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
66%
Burnley FC or Aston Villa FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC27% Draw45% Aston Villa FC28%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.9%
0 – 1
6.9%
0 – 0
6.9%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
Actual
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 18% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 19% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.