Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Burnley FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sun 27 Aug 2023 · 13:00 UTC Turf Moor 21,591 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 8' Matty Cash
0–2 20' Matty Cash
Lyle Foster 47' 1–2
1–3 61' Moussa Diaby

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Salisbury
  • Assistant 1 Ian Hussin
  • Assistant 2 Derek Eaton
3 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 8.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Aug Aston Villa FC H 1–3 L
11 Aug Manchester City FC H 0–3 L
08 May Cardiff City FC H 3–0 W
29 Apr Bristol City FC A 2–1 W
25 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–0 W
22 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Aug Burnley FC A 3–1 W
20 Aug Everton FC H 4–0 W
12 Aug Newcastle United FC A 1–5 L
28 May Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–1 W
20 May Liverpool FC A 1–1 D
13 May Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

90% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Burnley FC and Aston Villa FC has kicked off!
  • 5' James Trafford is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Burnley FC so far.
  • 8' Brilliant from the ! Matty Cash makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 8.
  • 13' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 18' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' Matty Cash makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and Aston Villa FC are in front.
  • 25' Pau Torres has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 30' Over 30 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 35' Both keepers have barely been tested. Burnley FC and Aston Villa FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 39' That is a Yellow card for Burnley FC. Josh Cullen will be fuming at that decision.
  • 44' Jacob Bruun Larsen needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 4 Yellow cards this season.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sander Berge on 45.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Benson Manuel as he leaves the pitch. Johann Berg Gudmundsson steps in for Burnley FC.
  • 47' What a moment for Lyle Foster! That strike on 47 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 52' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 57' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Burnley FC and Aston Villa FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 61' A stunning finish from Moussa Diaby — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 66' The energy levels are beginning to show. Vincent Kompany might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 68' The crowd applauds Sander Berge as he leaves the pitch. Aaron Ramsey steps in for Burnley FC.
  • 73' Another substitution for Aston Villa FC to replace Moussa Diaby by Nicolo Zaniolo on 73 minute.
  • 78' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 78 minutes.
  • 81' It is a substitution in Aston Villa FC team. Lucas Digne is replaced by Bertrand Traore on 81 minute.
  • 86' The Aston Villa FC bench stirs into life. Ollie Watkins is withdrawn and Jhon Duran gets his opportunity.
  • 1-3 the final result. Burnley FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.45 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC or Aston Villa FC 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC34% Draw27% Aston Villa FC39%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
66%
Burnley FC or Aston Villa FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC27% Draw45% Aston Villa FC28%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.9%
0 – 1
6.9%
0 – 0
6.9%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
Actual
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 18% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 19% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.