Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burnley FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sun 27 Aug 2023 · 13:00 UTC Turf Moor 21,591 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 8' Matty Cash
0–2 20' Matty Cash
Lyle Foster 47' 1–2
1–3 61' Moussa Diaby

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Aston Villa FCPremier League at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Salisbury
  • Assistant 1 Ian Hussin
  • Assistant 2 Derek Eaton

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Aug Aston Villa FC H 1–3 L
11 Aug Manchester City FC H 0–3 L
08 May Cardiff City FC H 3–0 W
29 Apr Bristol City FC A 2–1 W
25 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–0 W
22 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Aug Burnley FC A 3–1 W
20 Aug Everton FC H 4–0 W
12 Aug Newcastle United FC A 1–5 L
28 May Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–1 W
20 May Liverpool FC A 1–1 D
13 May Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Burnley FC Aston Villa FC
#2 Position #11
22 Points 0
38 Played 0
4 / 10 / 24 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
38 Scored 0
75 Conceded 0
-37 GD +0
0.58 PPG
11% Win %

Key Stats

90% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Burnley FC are 2nd (22 pts). Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Burnley FC get us underway at Turf Moor.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 8' The Poland Matty Cash breaks the deadlock on 8 minutes. 0-1!
  • 13' Boubacar Kamara has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 18' Burnley FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 18.
  • 20' Magnificent from Matty Cash! That is 21 goals in 372 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 25' Luca Koleosho is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Aston Villa FC tonight.
  • 30' Aston Villa FC have won 497 goals from 355 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 35' Burnley FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 39' A moment of madness from Josh Cullen on 39 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Burnley FC will be frustrated.
  • 44' Burnley FC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Aston Villa FC's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Sander Berge on 45 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Burnley FC will be frustrated.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Benson Manuel as he leaves the pitch. Johann Berg Gudmundsson steps in for Burnley FC.
  • 47' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Lyle Foster makes it 1-2.
  • 52' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Youri Tielemans suffering a number of foals already.
  • 57' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 61' What a moment for Moussa Diaby! That strike on 61 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 66' It is a cagey affair so far. Burnley FC in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Aston Villa FC's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 68' The whistle greets Sander Berge as he departs to be replaced by Aaron Ramsey.
  • 73' Fresh legs for Aston Villa FC! Nicolo Zaniolo comes on to replace Moussa Diaby.
  • 78' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 81' Fresh legs for Aston Villa FC! Bertrand Traore comes on to replace Lucas Digne.
  • 86' Another change for Aston Villa FC made on 86 minute. Ollie Watkins leaves to be changed by Jhon Duran.
  • Another three points for Aston Villa FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.8 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 73% + Aston Villa FC or Draw 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC28% Draw34% Aston Villa FC38%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
72%
Burnley FC or Aston Villa FC
66%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC18% Draw58% Aston Villa FC24%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
19.1%
0 – 1
15.1%
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
11.8%
0 – 2
7.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 1
5.2%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
2.8%
0 – 3
2.6%
1 – 3
Actual
3 – 1
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 18% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 23% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
45%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.