Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Leeds United FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Fri 1 May 2026 · 19:00 UTC Elland Road 36,265 HT 45' · FT 45'
Anton Stach 8' 1–0
Noah Okafor 52' 2–0
3–1 71' Loum Tchaouna

Overview

Match Preview

Leeds United FC vs Burnley FC — Premier League at Elland Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Bramall
  • Assistant 1 Constantine Hatzidakis
  • Assistant 2 Craig Taylor
4 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 8.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 May Burnley FC H 3–1 W
26 Apr Chelsea FC A 0–1 L
22 Apr AFC Bournemouth A 2–2 D
18 Apr Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 3–0 W
13 Apr Manchester United FC A 2–1 W
05 Apr West Ham United FC A 6–4 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 May Leeds United FC A 1–3 L
22 Apr Manchester City FC H 0–1 L
19 Apr Nottingham Forest FC A 1–4 L
11 Apr Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–2 L
21 Mar Fulham FC A 1–3 L
14 Mar AFC Bournemouth H 0–0 D

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Leeds United FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Leeds United FC
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 2 G 1 A
Jayden Bogle 2 G
Anton Stach 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Leeds United FC launch into their encounter with Burnley FC.
  • 5' Burnley FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 8' Leeds United FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Anton Stach on 8.
  • 13' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 5-4-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 18' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Daniel Farke will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 23' It looks like no one’s ball. Burnley FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 27' Pascal Struijk picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 32' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 35' A meaty challenge results in booking for Bashir Humphreys on 35.
  • 37' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Loum Tchaouna on 37 minutes.
  • 40' Poor challenge from Joe Rodon. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 45' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Leeds United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 48' The referee shows Leeds United FC player a card on 48.
  • 52' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Noah Okafor makes no mistake. 2-0!
  • 56' Dominic Calvert-Lewin has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 56 minutes.
  • 61' It’s high time Daniel Farke made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 66' Burnley FC have won 412 goals from 350 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 71' Loum Tchaouna does the damage! The net is bulging and Burnley FC surge ahead!
  • 75' Controversy at the stadium! Ethan Ampadu argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 80' The energy levels are beginning to show. Scott Parker might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 85' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 88' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Hannibal Mejbri.
  • The points are shared — Leeds United FC 3-1 Burnley FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.9 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Leeds United FC to win 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC59% Draw23% Burnley FC18%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Burnley FC
41%
Leeds United FC or Burnley FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC41% Draw44% Burnley FC15%
Actual: Leeds United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 0
9.9%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
7.3%
3 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
3.1%
4 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 18% 66%
-1.5 34% — 66%
-1 34% 23% 43%
-0.5 57% — 43%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.