Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Burnley FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 11 Apr 2026 · 14:00 UTC Turf Moor 20,408 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 43' Mats Wieffer
0–2 89' Mats Wieffer

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC — Premier League at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Bramall
  • Assistant 1 Constantine Hatzidakis
  • Assistant 2 Marc Perry
4 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 8.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–2 L
21 Mar Fulham FC A 1–3 L
14 Mar AFC Bournemouth H 0–0 D
03 Mar Everton FC A 0–2 L
28 Feb Brentford FC H 3–4 L
21 Feb Chelsea FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Burnley FC A 2–0 W
21 Mar Liverpool FC H 2–1 W
14 Mar Sunderland AFC A 1–0 W
04 Mar Arsenal FC H 0–1 L
01 Mar Nottingham Forest FC H 2–1 W
21 Feb Brentford FC A 2–0 W

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Brighton & Hove Albion FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
5/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
2/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Pascal Gross 3 G 3 A
Charalampos Kostoulas 2 G 1 A
Jack Hinshelwood 2 G
Malick Yalcouye 2 G
Maxim De Cuyper 1 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.96 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC27% Draw30% Brighton & Hove Albion FC43%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
73%
Burnley FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC19% Draw51% Brighton & Hove Albion FC30%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
12.4%
0 – 1
12.3%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 3
3.8%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 16% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 23% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.