Sunday , 16 August 2026

Nottingham Forest FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 19 Apr 2026 · 13:00 UTC City Ground, Nottingham 29,458 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 45+2' Zian Flemming
Morgan Gibbs-White 62' 1–1
Morgan Gibbs-White 69' 2–1
Morgan Gibbs-White 77' 3–1
Igor Jesus 90+8' 4–1
Y 75' Florentino
Y 80' Kyle Walker

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Burnley FCPremier League at City Ground, Nottingham.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Kirk (England)
  • Assistant 1 Marc Perry
  • Assistant 2 Simon Long

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr Burnley FC H 4–1 W
16 Apr FC Porto H 1–0 W
12 Apr Aston Villa FC H 1–1 D
09 Apr FC Porto A 1–1 D
22 Mar Tottenham Hotspur FC A 3–0 W
19 Mar FC Midtjylland A 5–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr Nottingham Forest FC A 1–4 L
11 Apr Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–2 L
21 Mar Fulham FC A 1–3 L
14 Mar AFC Bournemouth H 0–0 D
03 Mar Everton FC A 0–2 L
28 Feb Brentford FC H 3–4 L

Season Stats

Nottingham Forest FC Burnley FC
#23 Position #2
0 Points 22
0 Played 38
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 4 / 10 / 24
0 Scored 38
0 Conceded 75
+0 GD -37
PPG 0.58
Win % 11%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Nottingham Forest FC are 23rd (0 pts). Burnley FC are 2nd (22 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.26 Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.43 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 76% + Under — clean sheet likely 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC59% Draw29% Burnley FC12%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes26% 0% No74%
Avg goals/match: 1.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 79%
21%
± 1.5 50%
50%
± 2.5 24%
76%
± 3.5 10%
90%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
88%
Draw or Burnley FC
41%
Nottingham Forest FC or Burnley FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nottingham Forest FC35% Draw57% Burnley FC8%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
22.2%
0 – 0
20.9%
2 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
10.6%
0 – 1
6.6%
2 – 1
6.3%
3 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
2.8%
1 – 2
2%
4 – 0
1.8%
0 – 2
1.5%
2 – 2
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap Nottingham Forest FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 17% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 29% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 9% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
65%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.