Nottingham Forest FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nottingham Forest FC vs Burnley FC — Premier League at City Ground, Nottingham.
- Nottingham Forest FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Burnley FC 38 games · 22 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Thomas Kirk (England)
- Assistant 1 Marc Perry
- Assistant 2 Simon Long
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham United FC | 38 | 39 |
| 2 | Burnley FC | 38 | 22 |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 38 | 20 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Coventry City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Ipswich Town FC | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Arsenal FC | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Manchester City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Manchester United FC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Aston Villa FC | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Liverpool FC | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | AFC Bournemouth | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Sunderland AFC | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Brentford FC | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Chelsea FC | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Fulham FC | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Newcastle United FC | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Everton FC | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | Leeds United FC | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Crystal Palace FC | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | Nottingham Forest FC | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | Burnley FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 16 Apr | FC Porto | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Aston Villa FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Apr | FC Porto | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Mar | Tottenham Hotspur FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | FC Midtjylland | A | 5–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 11 Apr | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Mar | Fulham FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Mar | AFC Bournemouth | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Mar | Everton FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Feb | Brentford FC | H | 3–4 | L |
Season Stats
| Nottingham Forest FC | Burnley FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #23 | Position | #2 |
| 0 | Points | 22 |
| 0 | Played | 38 |
| 0 / 0 / 0 | W / D / L | 4 / 10 / 24 |
| 0 | Scored | 38 |
| 0 | Conceded | 75 |
| +0 | GD | -37 |
| – | PPG | 0.58 |
| – | Win % | 11% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Nottingham Forest FC are 23rd (0 pts). Burnley FC are 2nd (22 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Nottingham Forest FC to score. At the same time, Burnley FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burnley FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Matz Sels made 118 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 20' It looks surprising Burnley FC does not make any changes. Murillo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Chimuanya Ugochukwu suffering a number of foals already.
- 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 42' Time for substitution for Nottingham Forest FC. Murillo is replaced by Jair Paula.
- 46' It is a substitution in Nottingham Forest FC team. Dilane Bakwa is replaced by Igor Jesus on 46 minute.
- 47' Burnley FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Zian Flemming on 45.
- 52' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 57' Quilindschy Hartman needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 62' What an equalizer from Morgan Gibbs-White!
- 64' The supporters are chanting for Lyle Foster. He replaces Marcus Edwards on 64 minute.
- 69' What a strike from Morgan Gibbs-White! The score is 2-1.
- 74' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burnley FC that had 342 games and scored 404 goals.
- 75' It’s a booking for Burnley FC player. Florentino gets a card.
- 76' Time for substitution for Burnley FC. Chimuanya Ugochukwu is replaced by Jacob Bruun Larsen.
- 77' What a strike from Morgan Gibbs-White! The score is 3-1.
- 80' It’s gonna be a card for Kyle Walker.
- 83' Another change for Burnley FC made on 83 minute. Florentino leaves to be changed by Josh Laurent.
- 84' Another substitution for Burnley FC to replace Zian Flemming by Armando Broja on 84 minute.
- 88' The Nottingham Forest FC manager makes a substitution. Omari Hutchinson departs to be replaced by Morato.
- 89' Nottingham Forest FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nicolas Dominguez is hanging Morgan Gibbs-White on the field on 89 minute.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 4-1.
Lineups
Nottingham Forest FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
11
Chris Wood ↓ Ryan Yates 76'
- 10
- 6
- 26
- 34
- 31
- 3
-
29
Dilane Bakwa ↓ Igor Jesus 46'
- 8
-
21
Omari Hutchinson ↓ Morato 88'
-
5
Murillo ↓ Jair Paula 42'
Bench
-
22
Ryan Yates ↑ 76'
- 27
- 9
-
16
Nicolas Dominguez ↑ 89'
-
4
Morato ↑ 88'
- 25
- 24
-
23
Jair Paula ↑ 42'
-
19
Igor Jesus ↑ 46'
Coach
Vítor Pereira
Burnley FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Marcus Edwards ↓ Lyle Foster 64'
- 20
- 2
- 1
-
19
Zian Flemming ↓ Armando Broja 84'
-
16
Florentino ↓ Josh Laurent 83'
-
11
Jaidon Anthony ↓ Loum Tchaouna 83'
- 8
- 5
- 3
- 18
Bench
-
7
Jacob Bruun Larsen ↑ 76'
- 4
-
9
Lyle Foster ↑ 64'
-
27
Armando Broja ↑ 84'
-
17
Loum Tchaouna ↑ 83'
- 13
- 12
-
29
Josh Laurent ↑ 83'
- 31
Coach
Scott Parker
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 3 |
| Chris Wood | 2 |
| Callum Hudson-Odoi | 1 |
| Zeki Amdouni | 1 |
| Josh Cullen | 1 |
| Igor Jesus | 1 |
| Zian Flemming | 1 |
Head to Head
Nottingham Forest FC Form
2026-04-19
Nottingham Forest FC
4–1
Burnley FC
W
2026-04-16
Nottingham Forest FC
1–0
FC Porto
W
2026-04-12
Nottingham Forest FC
1–1
Aston Villa FC
D
2026-04-09
FC Porto
1–1
Nottingham Forest FC
D
2026-03-22
Tottenham Hotspur FC
0–3
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2026-03-19
FC Midtjylland
1–5
Nottingham Forest FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.26
Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.43
Burnley FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 76% + Under — clean sheet likely 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nottingham Forest FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 1.69
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 1.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 2.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 3.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
| ± 4.5 | 3% |
|
97% |
Double Chance
Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
88%
Draw or Burnley FC
41%
Nottingham Forest FC or Burnley FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Burnley FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–1 not predicted4 – 1Actual
1 – 0
22.2%
0 – 0
20.9%
2 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
10.6%
0 – 1
6.6%
2 – 1
6.3%
3 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
2.8%
1 – 2
2%
4 – 0
1.8%
0 – 2
1.5%
2 – 2
1.4%
Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC
| Handicap | Nottingham Forest FC covers | Push | Burnley FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 17% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 29% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 9% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
65%
✗
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.