Nottingham Forest FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nottingham Forest FC vs Burnley FC — Premier League at City Ground, Nottingham.
- Nottingham Forest FC 10 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- Burnley FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Thomas Kirk (England)
- Assistant 1 Marc Perry
- Assistant 2 Simon Long
5 games this season
🟨 4.8/game
⚽ 14.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 10 | 27 |
| 2 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Manchester City FC | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool FC | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea FC | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton FC | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | AFC Bournemouth | 10 | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford FC | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | Leeds United FC | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa FC | 10 | 13 |
| 11 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 10 | 12 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 10 | 12 |
| 13 | Hull City AFC | 10 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich Town FC | 10 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham FC | 10 | 10 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest FC | 10 | 9 |
| 17 | Coventry City FC | 10 | 9 |
| 18 | Manchester United FC | 10 | 8 |
| 19 | Sunderland AFC | 10 | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace FC | 10 | 7 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | Burnley FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 16 Apr | FC Porto | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Aston Villa FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Apr | FC Porto | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Mar | Tottenham Hotspur FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | FC Midtjylland | A | 5–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 11 Apr | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Mar | Fulham FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Mar | AFC Bournemouth | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Mar | Everton FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Feb | Brentford FC | H | 3–4 | L |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
10%
Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season
Nottingham Forest FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nottingham Forest FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
2/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nottingham Forest FC
| Liam Delap | 3 G | |
| Dan Ndoye | 2 G | |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 1 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Nottingham Forest FC have kicked off against Burnley FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Burnley FC come into this ranked 19 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' Burnley FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 20' It’s high time Vítor Pereira made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Nottingham Forest FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 30' Burnley FC have won 420 goals from 354 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 35' Lyle Foster has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 42' The whistle greets Murillo as he departs to be replaced by Jair Paula.
- 46' Another change for Nottingham Forest FC made on 46 minute. Dilane Bakwa leaves to be changed by Igor Jesus.
- 47' Magnificent from Zian Flemming! That is 74 goals in 242 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 52' Burnley FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 57' Nottingham Forest FC currently sit 16 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 62' Morgan Gibbs-White adds to his 1 season tally! Nottingham Forest FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 64' The whistle greets Marcus Edwards as he departs to be replaced by Lyle Foster.
- 69' Nottingham Forest FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Morgan Gibbs-White on 69.
- 74' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 75' Florentino picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 76' Jacob Bruun Larsen has so much to prove this time. He replaces Chimuanya Ugochukwu on 76 minute.
- 77' Magnificent from Morgan Gibbs-White! That is 44 goals in 355 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 80' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kyle Walker on 80.
- 83' Josh Laurent gets the nod from Burnley FC. He replaces Florentino and will look to change the dynamic.
- 84' Fresh legs for Burnley FC! Armando Broja comes on to replace Zian Flemming.
- 88' It is a substitution in Nottingham Forest FC team. Omari Hutchinson is replaced by Morato on 88 minute.
- 89' The supporters are chanting for Nicolas Dominguez. He replaces Morgan Gibbs-White on 89 minute.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Nottingham Forest FC players.
Lineups
Nottingham Forest FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
11
Chris Wood ↓ Ryan Yates 76'
- 10
- 6
- 26
- 34
- 31
- 3
-
29
Dilane Bakwa ↓ Igor Jesus 46'
- 8
-
21
Omari Hutchinson ↓ Morato 88'
-
5
Murillo ↓ Jair Paula 42'
Bench
-
22
Ryan Yates ↑ 76'
- 27
- 9
-
16
Nicolas Dominguez ↑ 89'
-
4
Morato ↑ 88'
- 25
- 24
-
23
Jair Paula ↑ 42'
-
19
Igor Jesus ↑ 46'
Coach
Vítor Pereira
Burnley FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Marcus Edwards ↓ Lyle Foster 64'
- 20
- 2
- 1
-
19
Zian Flemming ↓ Armando Broja 84'
-
16
Florentino ↓ Josh Laurent 83'
-
11
Jaidon Anthony ↓ Loum Tchaouna 83'
- 8
- 5
- 3
- 18
Bench
-
7
Jacob Bruun Larsen ↑ 76'
- 4
-
9
Lyle Foster ↑ 64'
-
27
Armando Broja ↑ 84'
-
17
Loum Tchaouna ↑ 83'
- 13
- 12
-
29
Josh Laurent ↑ 83'
- 31
Coach
Scott Parker
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 3 |
| Chris Wood | 2 |
| Callum Hudson-Odoi | 1 |
| Zeki Amdouni | 1 |
| Josh Cullen | 1 |
| Igor Jesus | 1 |
| Zian Flemming | 1 |
Head to Head
Nottingham Forest FC Form
2026-04-19
Nottingham Forest FC
4–1
Burnley FC
W
2026-04-16
Nottingham Forest FC
1–0
FC Porto
W
2026-04-12
Nottingham Forest FC
1–1
Aston Villa FC
D
2026-04-09
FC Porto
1–1
Nottingham Forest FC
D
2026-03-22
Tottenham Hotspur FC
0–3
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2026-03-19
FC Midtjylland
1–5
Nottingham Forest FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.9
Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96
Burnley FC xG
I would bet for:
Nottingham Forest FC to win 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nottingham Forest FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Burnley FC
39%
Nottingham Forest FC or Burnley FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Burnley FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–1 not predicted4 – 1Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 0
10.2%
1 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
7.5%
3 – 0
6.3%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.6%
4 – 0
3%
3 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC
| Handicap | Nottingham Forest FC covers | Push | Burnley FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 18% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 23% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.