Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Burnley FC vs Manchester City FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Wed 22 Apr 2026 · 19:00 UTC Turf Moor 21,259 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 5' Erling Haaland

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Manchester City FC — Premier League at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Assistant 1 Steven Meredith (England)
  • Assistant 2 Craig Taylor
5 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 11.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr Manchester City FC H 0–1 L
19 Apr Nottingham Forest FC A 1–4 L
11 Apr Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–2 L
21 Mar Fulham FC A 1–3 L
14 Mar AFC Bournemouth H 0–0 D
03 Mar Everton FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr Burnley FC A 1–0 W
19 Apr Arsenal FC H 2–1 W
12 Apr Chelsea FC A 3–0 W
04 Apr Liverpool FC H 4–0 W
17 Mar Real Madrid CF H 1–2 L
14 Mar West Ham United FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

21% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
–/–
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester City FC
Erling Haaland 5 G
Rayan Cherki 3 G 2 A
Antoine Semenyo 2 G 3 A
Josko Gvardiol 1 G 2 A
Marc Guehi 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Turf Moor. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Burnley FC and Manchester City FC.
  • 5' What composure from Erling Haaland! The Norway international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Martin Dubravka made 344 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' Rayan Ait Nouri is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burnley FC tonight.
  • 25' The travelling Manchester City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 30' Manchester City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 35' Burnley FC are deployed in a 5-4-1 today, looking to exploit space against Manchester City FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 40' The energy levels are beginning to show. Pep Guardiola might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 45' Burnley FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 50' Rayan Cherki has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 4 goals to his name this season.
  • 55' Manchester City FC have won 1039 goals from 444 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 60' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Scott Parker will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 65' Manchester City FC make a change. Rayan Ait Nouri trudges off to be replaced by Nico Gonzalez on 65 minutes.
  • 70' Josh Laurent is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Manchester City FC so far.
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for Lyle Foster. He replaces Loum Tchaouna on 72 minute.
  • 77' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 82' Armando Broja has so much to prove this time. He replaces Zian Flemming on 82 minute.
  • 87' The crowd applauds Josh Laurent as he leaves the pitch. Marcus Edwards steps in for Burnley FC.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Burnley FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.76 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69 Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for: Manchester City FC to win 56% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC18% Draw26% Manchester City FC56%
Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
44%
Draw or Manchester City FC
82%
Burnley FC or Manchester City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC13% Draw47% Manchester City FC40%
Actual: Manchester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
12%
1 – 1
11.9%
0 – 0
10.6%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 3
6.6%
1 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 4
2.8%
2 – 0
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Manchester City FC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 11% 85%
-0.5 15% — 85%
+0.5 42% — 58%
+1 42% 25% 33%
+1.5 67% — 33%
+2 67% 18% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
47% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.