Saturday , 14 November 2026

Burnley FC vs Manchester City FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Wed 22 Apr 2026 · 19:00 UTC Turf Moor 21,259 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 5' Erling Haaland

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Manchester City FC — Premier League at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Assistant 1 Steven Meredith (England)
  • Assistant 2 Craig Taylor
7 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr Manchester City FC H 0–1 L
19 Apr Nottingham Forest FC A 1–4 L
11 Apr Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–2 L
21 Mar Fulham FC A 1–3 L
14 Mar AFC Bournemouth H 0–0 D
03 Mar Everton FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr Burnley FC A 1–0 W
19 Apr Arsenal FC H 2–1 W
12 Apr Chelsea FC A 3–0 W
04 Apr Liverpool FC H 4–0 W
17 Mar Real Madrid CF H 1–2 L
14 Mar West Ham United FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

21% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester City FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
6/2
61-75
3/1
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester City FC
Erling Haaland 9 G
Rayan Cherki 5 G 2 A
Antoine Semenyo 2 G 3 A
Josko Gvardiol 1 G 3 A
Marc Guehi 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Burnley FC get us underway at Turf Moor.
  • 5' Erling Haaland does the damage! The net is bulging and Manchester City FC surge ahead!
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Turf Moor. Manchester City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' Burnley FC are deployed in a 5-4-1 today, looking to exploit space against Manchester City FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 30' Zian Flemming has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 4 goals to his name this season.
  • 35' Bernardo Silva needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 40' Loum Tchaouna, a France forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 45' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 50' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 55' Burnley FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Manchester City FC backline.
  • 60' The home supporters are growing impatient. Burnley FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 65' Rayan Ait Nouri makes way for Nico Gonzalez at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from Manchester City FC.
  • 70' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Pep Guardiola will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 72' Lyle Foster is replacing Loum Tchaouna for the Burnley FC side.
  • 77' It is a cagey affair so far. Burnley FC in their 5-4-1 trying to find a way past Manchester City FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 82' The Burnley FC bench stirs into life. Zian Flemming is withdrawn and Armando Broja gets his opportunity.
  • 87' The supporters are chanting for Marcus Edwards. He replaces Josh Laurent on 87 minute.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.76 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69 Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for: Manchester City FC to win 56% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC18% Draw26% Manchester City FC56%
Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
44%
Draw or Manchester City FC
82%
Burnley FC or Manchester City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC13% Draw47% Manchester City FC40%
Actual: Manchester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
12%
1 – 1
11.9%
0 – 0
10.6%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 3
6.6%
1 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 4
2.8%
2 – 0
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Manchester City FC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 11% 85%
-0.5 15% — 85%
+0.5 42% — 58%
+1 42% 25% 33%
+1.5 67% — 33%
+2 67% 18% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
47% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.