Thursday , 2 July 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 30 Dec 2023 · 15:00 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Leon Bailey 28' 1–0
1–1 30' Zeki Amdouni
Moussa Diaby 42' 2–1
2–2 71' Lyle Foster
Douglas Luiz pen 89' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Burnley FCPremier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Stuart Attwell
  • Assistant 1 James Mainwaring
  • Assistant 2 Mark Scholes

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Burnley FC H 3–2 W
26 Dec Manchester United FC A 2–3 L
22 Dec Sheffield United FC H 1–1 D
17 Dec Brentford FC A 2–1 W
09 Dec Arsenal FC H 1–0 W
06 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Aston Villa FC A 2–3 L
26 Dec Liverpool FC H 0–2 L
23 Dec Fulham FC A 2–0 W
16 Dec Everton FC H 0–2 L
09 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–1 D
05 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Burnley FC
#11 Position #2
0 Points 22
0 Played 38
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 4 / 10 / 24
0 Scored 38
0 Conceded 75
+0 GD -37
PPG 0.58
Win % 11%

Key Stats

90% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts). Burnley FC are 2nd (22 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Aston Villa FC host Burnley FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' named a 4-4-1-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 17' Burnley FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hannes Delcroix is hanging Louis Beyer on the field on 17 minute.
  • 18' The referee calls foul for Ezri Konsa. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 23' The referee calls foul for Charlie Taylor. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 28' Leon Bailey does the damage! The net is bulging and Aston Villa FC surge ahead!
  • 30' Magnificent from Zeki Amdouni! That is 14 goals in 26 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 31' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Zeki Amdouni makes it 1-2.
  • 36' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Douglas Luiz suffering a number of foals already.
  • 41' Argentina international Emiliano Martinez has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 42' Sander Berge catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 42.
  • 42' Goal! Moussa Diaby scores his 63 goal in 520 matches.
  • 47' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Aston Villa FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 52' A quiet spell here at Villa Park. Aston Villa FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 56' Controversy at the stadium! Sander Berge argues furiously but the Red card stands.
  • 59' Aaron Ramsey gets the nod from Burnley FC. He replaces Zeki Amdouni and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 62' Pau Torres has so much to prove this time. He replaces Clement Lenglet on 62 minute.
  • 67' Aston Villa FC have won 497 goals from 355 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 71' Burnley FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Lyle Foster on 71.
  • 74' The whistle greets Johann Berg Gudmundsson as he departs to be replaced by Connor Roberts.
  • 79' Johann Berg Gudmundsson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 15 goals in his last 342 appearances.
  • 82' Another substitution for Aston Villa FC to replace Moussa Diaby by Jhon Duran on 82 minute.
  • 87' Aston Villa FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 87.
  • 88' Jacob Ramsey has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 88.
  • 89' What a strike from Douglas Luiz! The score is 3-3.
  • 90' Leander Dendoncker has so much to prove this time. He replaces Leon Bailey on 90 minute.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Emiliano Martinez on 90 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Aston Villa FC will be frustrated.
  • Burnley FC will have plenty to reflect on. Aston Villa FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.99 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.71 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 75% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC46% Draw32% Burnley FC22%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 1.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 79%
21%
± 1.5 51%
49%
± 2.5 25%
75%
± 3.5 10%
90%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Burnley FC
54%
Aston Villa FC or Burnley FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC25% Draw59% Burnley FC16%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
20.8%
1 – 0
16.6%
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 1
11.5%
2 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
2.7%
2 – 2
2.4%
3 – 1
2.2%
1 – 3
1.1%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 24% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 17% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 6% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
49%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
38%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.