Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 30 Dec 2023 · 15:00 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Leon Bailey 28' 1–0
1–1 30' Zeki Amdouni
Moussa Diaby 42' 2–1
2–2 71' Lyle Foster
Douglas Luiz pen 89' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Burnley FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Stuart Attwell
  • Assistant 1 James Mainwaring
  • Assistant 2 Mark Scholes
3 games this season 🟨 6.0/game ⚽ 15.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Burnley FC H 3–2 W
26 Dec Manchester United FC A 2–3 L
22 Dec Sheffield United FC H 1–1 D
17 Dec Brentford FC A 2–1 W
09 Dec Arsenal FC H 1–0 W
06 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Aston Villa FC A 2–3 L
26 Dec Liverpool FC H 0–2 L
23 Dec Fulham FC A 2–0 W
16 Dec Everton FC H 0–2 L
09 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–1 D
05 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

90% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Villa Park that hosts another battle between Aston Villa FC and Burnley FC.
  • 5' The 33-year-old Alex Moreno has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Josh Brownhill, as he is very good at scoring at Villa Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 17' A tactical swap from Burnley FC — Hannes Delcroix on, Louis Beyer off on 17 minutes.
  • 18' The referee shows Aston Villa FC player a Yellow card on 18.
  • 23' Burnley FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 28' A goal from the Jamaica international Leon Bailey! He fires home on 28 to make it 1-0!
  • 30' Brilliant from the ! Zeki Amdouni makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 30.
  • 31' Zeki Amdouni puts Burnley FC on the lead.
  • 36' Burnley FC is showing some good football. However, Burnley FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 41' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Vitinho made 362 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 42' Sander Berge is having his name booked by the referee on 42.
  • 42' Moussa Diaby doubles the advantage! 2-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 47' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 47 minutes.
  • 52' It looks surprising Aston Villa FC does not make any changes. Douglas Luiz has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 56' Sander Berge is having his name booked by the referee on 56.
  • 59' Aaron Ramsey gets the nod from Burnley FC. He replaces Zeki Amdouni and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 62' The whistle greets Clement Lenglet as he departs to be replaced by Pau Torres.
  • 67' With 0 assists to his name this season, Diego Carlos is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Burnley FC.
  • 71' Lyle Foster adds to his 0 season tally! Burnley FC lead 2-3 — and this changes everything.
  • 74' Connor Roberts gets the nod from Burnley FC. He replaces Johann Berg Gudmundsson and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 82' Another substitution for Aston Villa FC to replace Moussa Diaby by Jhon Duran on 82 minute.
  • 87' Aaron Ramsey needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 88' The referee calls foul for Jacob Ramsey. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 89' Douglas Luiz is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 90' Another substitution for Aston Villa FC to replace Leon Bailey by Leander Dendoncker on 90 minute.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Emiliano Martinez on 90.
  • Another three points for Aston Villa FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.64 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC51% Draw25% Burnley FC24%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Burnley FC
49%
Aston Villa FC or Burnley FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC33% Draw45% Burnley FC22%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8.3%
0 – 0
7.5%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.