Saturday , 14 November 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 30 Dec 2023 · 15:00 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Leon Bailey 28' 1–0
1–1 30' Zeki Amdouni
Moussa Diaby 42' 2–1
2–2 71' Lyle Foster
Douglas Luiz pen 89' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Burnley FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Stuart Attwell
  • Assistant 1 James Mainwaring
  • Assistant 2 Mark Scholes
6 games this season 🟨 5.2/game ⚽ 11.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Burnley FC H 3–2 W
26 Dec Manchester United FC A 2–3 L
22 Dec Sheffield United FC H 1–1 D
17 Dec Brentford FC A 2–1 W
09 Dec Arsenal FC H 1–0 W
06 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Aston Villa FC A 2–3 L
26 Dec Liverpool FC H 0–2 L
23 Dec Fulham FC A 2–0 W
16 Dec Everton FC H 0–2 L
09 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–1 D
05 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

90% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
Nicolas Jackson 6 G 1 A
Johan Manzambi 2 G 3 A
Alysson 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Aston Villa FC launch into their encounter with Burnley FC.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Emiliano Martinez made 427 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burnley FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 17' Fresh legs for Burnley FC! Hannes Delcroix comes on to replace Louis Beyer.
  • 18' Ezri Konsa catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 18.
  • 23' Charlie Taylor has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 23.
  • 28' What composure from Leon Bailey! The Jamaica international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 30' Brilliant from the ! Zeki Amdouni makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 30.
  • 31' Against the run of play, Zeki Amdouni has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 36' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 41' Burnley FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 42' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Sander Berge.
  • 42' Moussa Diaby is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 47' With 0 assists to his name this season, Hannes Delcroix is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Burnley FC.
  • 52' The home supporters are growing impatient. Aston Villa FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 56' A moment of madness from Sander Berge on 56 minutes earns him a Red card. Burnley FC will be frustrated.
  • 59' A change in the Burnley FC ranks — Zeki Amdouni exits the field as Aaron Ramsey enters on 59.
  • 62' A change in the Aston Villa FC ranks — Clement Lenglet exits the field as Pau Torres enters on 62.
  • 67' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 71' Sensational shot from Lyle Foster. Burnley FC is back in the lead.
  • 74' Another substitution for Burnley FC to replace Johann Berg Gudmundsson by Connor Roberts on 74 minute.
  • 79' It looks surprising Burnley FC does not make any changes. James Trafford has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 82' Time for substitution for Aston Villa FC. Moussa Diaby is replaced by Jhon Duran.
  • 87' John McGinn is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Burnley FC so far.
  • 88' Jacob Ramsey picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 89' Douglas Luiz adds to his 1 season tally! Aston Villa FC lead 3-3 — and this changes everything.
  • 90' Aston Villa FC ring the changes. Leon Bailey has done his job and it is now time for Leander Dendoncker to step up.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Aston Villa FC player. Emiliano Martinez gets a Yellow card.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Aston Villa FC 3-2 Burnley FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.64 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC51% Draw25% Burnley FC24%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Burnley FC
49%
Aston Villa FC or Burnley FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC33% Draw45% Burnley FC22%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8.3%
0 – 0
7.5%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.