Saturday , 14 November 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Europe 2025-26 SEMI FINALS

UEFA Europa League · 2025-26
Thu 7 May 2026 · 19:00 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Ollie Watkins 36' 1–0
Emiliano Buendia pen 58' 2–0
John McGinn 77' 3–0
John McGinn 80' 4–0
Y 18' Morato
Y 45' Jair Paula

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC — Europe at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Glenn Nyberg
  • Assistant 1 Mahbod Beigi
  • Assistant 2 Andreas Soderqvist (Sweden)
12 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 5.4 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 May Nottingham Forest FC H 4–0 W
03 May Tottenham Hotspur FC H 1–2 L
30 Apr Nottingham Forest FC A 0–1 L
25 Apr Fulham FC A 0–1 L
19 Apr Sunderland AFC H 4–3 W
16 Apr Bologna FC 1909 H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 May Aston Villa FC A 0–4 L
04 May Chelsea FC A 3–1 W
30 Apr Aston Villa FC H 1–0 W
24 Apr Sunderland AFC A 5–0 W
19 Apr Burnley FC H 4–1 W
16 Apr FC Porto H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Nottingham Forest FC
#2 Position #13
21 Points 14
8 Played 8
7 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 2
14 Scored 15
6 Conceded 7
+8 GD +8
2.63 PPG 1.75
88% Win % 50%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Aston Villa FC are 2nd (21 pts). Nottingham Forest FC are 13th (14 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Aston Villa FC and Nottingham Forest FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Nottingham Forest FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Liam Delap scoring 1 goals.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Aston Villa FC and Nottingham Forest FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 15' The 29-year-old Youri Tielemans has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 18' The referee calls foul for Morato. He receives a card.
  • 23' Igor Jesus has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 28' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Aston Villa FC and Nottingham Forest FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 33' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 36' A stunning finish from Ollie Watkins — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 41' Nottingham Forest FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 45' Jair Paula has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
  • 50' It’s high time Vítor Pereira made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 55' Nicolas Dominguez is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nottingham Forest FC tonight.
  • 58' What a moment for Emiliano Buendia! That strike on 58 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 63' Nottingham Forest FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 68' It looks surprising Nottingham Forest FC does not make any changes. Pau Torres has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 73' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nottingham Forest FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 77' What composure from John McGinn! The Scotland international strokes it home. 3-0.
  • 80' John McGinn with the second goal in the match!
  • 85' It looks like no one’s ball. Nottingham Forest FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 90' Omari Hutchinson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nottingham Forest FC so far.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Nottingham Forest FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.87 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC50% Draw25% Nottingham Forest FC25%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
50%
Aston Villa FC or Nottingham Forest FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC37% Draw43% Nottingham Forest FC20%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–0 not predicted
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.9%
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 0
6.2%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Nottingham Forest FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 22% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✗
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.