Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Europe 2025-26 SEMI FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC — Europe at Villa Park.
- Aston Villa FC 8 games · 21 pts (2025/26)
- Nottingham Forest FC 8 games · 14 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Glenn Nyberg
- Assistant 1 Mahbod Beigi
- Assistant 2 Andreas Soderqvist (Sweden)
16 games this season
🟨 1.4/game
⚽ 4.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympique Lyonnais | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa FC | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | FC Midtjylland | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Betis Balompie | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 17 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | KRC Genk | 8 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna FC 1909 | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 15 |
| 12 | Ferencvarosi TC | 8 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest FC | 8 | 14 |
| 14 | FC Viktoria Plzen | 8 | 14 |
| 15 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 14 |
| 16 | RC Celta de Vigo | 8 | 13 |
| 17 | PAOK Thessaloniki FC | 8 | 12 |
| 18 | Lille OSC | 8 | 12 |
| 19 | Fenerbahce SK | 8 | 12 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos AO | 8 | 12 |
| 21 | Celtic FC | 8 | 11 |
| 22 | PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 10 |
| 24 | SK Brann | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | BSC Young Boys | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | SK Sturm Graz | 8 | 7 |
| 27 | FCSB Bukarest | 8 | 7 |
| 28 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 7 |
| 29 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 8 | 6 |
| 30 | FC Basel 1893 | 8 | 6 |
| 31 | FC Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 6 |
| 32 | Rangers FC | 8 | 4 |
| 33 | OGC Nice | 8 | 3 |
| 34 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 1 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv FC | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 03 May | Tottenham Hotspur FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Apr | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Fulham FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Apr | Sunderland AFC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 16 Apr | Bologna FC 1909 | H | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May | Aston Villa FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 04 May | Chelsea FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Apr | Aston Villa FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Apr | Sunderland AFC | A | 5–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Burnley FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 16 Apr | FC Porto | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Aston Villa FC | Nottingham Forest FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #13 |
| 21 | Points | 14 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 7 / 0 / 1 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 2 |
| 14 | Scored | 15 |
| 6 | Conceded | 7 |
| +8 | GD | +8 |
| 2.63 | PPG | 1.75 |
| 88% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
60%
Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
Aston Villa FC this season
44%
Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season
Nottingham Forest FC this season
Aston Villa FC are 2nd (21 pts). Nottingham Forest FC are 13th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
5/–
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nottingham Forest FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Villa Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' It’s high time Vítor Pereira made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Omari Hutchinson, as he is very good at scoring at Villa Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 18' It’s gonna be a card for Morato.
- 23' Aston Villa FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 28' John McGinn needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
- 33' Lucas Digne has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 39 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 36' Ollie Watkins puts Aston Villa FC on the lead.
- 41' Aston Villa FC looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 4 matches with its main striker John McGinn scoring 2 goals.
- 45' The referee shows Nottingham Forest FC player a card on 45.
- 50' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 55' Aston Villa FC is showing some good football. However, Aston Villa FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 58' What a strike from Emiliano Buendia! The score is 2-0.
- 63' It looks surprising Nottingham Forest FC does not make any changes. Neco Williams has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 68' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 73' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 4 times this season with Aston Villa FC winning 50% of all matches.
- 77' What a strike from John McGinn! The score is 3-0.
- 80' What a strike from John McGinn! The score is 4-0.
- 85' It looks like no one’s ball. Aston Villa FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 90' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Morgan Rogers made 377 appearances and scored 31 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- With this win, Aston Villa FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Aston Villa FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 23
- 27
- 12
- 3
- 2
- 10
- 11
- 4
- 7
- 8
- 14
Bench
- 40
- 5
- 18
- 31
- 19
- 21
- 9
- 22
- 26
- 64
- 16
Coach
Unai Emery
Nottingham Forest FC Lineups
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 11
- 27
- 31
- 16
- 4
- 3
- 8
- 24
- 21
- 23
- 19
Bench
- 20
- 22
- 10
- 6
- 26
- 14
- 29
- 5
- 67
- 65
- 61
- 51
Coach
Vítor Pereira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tammy Abraham | 4 |
| John McGinn | 4 |
| Ollie Watkins | 3 |
| Lewis Grabban | 2 |
| Douglas Luiz | 2 |
| Ashley Young | 1 |
| Jhon Duran | 1 |
| Neco Williams | 1 |
Head to Head
Aston Villa FC Form
Nottingham Forest FC Form
2026-05-07
Aston Villa FC
4–0
Nottingham Forest FC
L
2026-05-04
Chelsea FC
1–3
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2026-04-30
Nottingham Forest FC
1–0
Aston Villa FC
W
2026-04-24
Sunderland AFC
0–5
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2026-04-19
Nottingham Forest FC
4–1
Burnley FC
W
2026-04-16
Nottingham Forest FC
1–0
FC Porto
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.87
Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Aston Villa FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Aston Villa FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
50%
Aston Villa FC or Nottingham Forest FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Aston Villa FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–0 not predicted4 – 0Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.9%
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 0
6.2%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC
| Handicap | Aston Villa FC covers | Push | Nottingham Forest FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 16% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 22% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.