Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Europe 2025-26 SEMI FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC — Europe at Villa Park.
- Aston Villa FC 8 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Nottingham Forest FC 8 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Glenn Nyberg
- Assistant 1 Mahbod Beigi
- Assistant 2 Andreas Soderqvist (Sweden)
10 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 4.8 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympique Lyonnais | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa FC | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | FC Midtjylland | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Betis Balompié | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 17 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | KRC Genk | 8 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna FC 1909 | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 15 |
| 12 | Ferencvárosi TC | 8 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest FC | 8 | 14 |
| 14 | FC Viktoria Plzen | 8 | 14 |
| 15 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 14 |
| 16 | RC Celta de Vigo | 8 | 13 |
| 17 | PAOK Thessaloniki FC | 8 | 12 |
| 18 | Lille OSC | 8 | 12 |
| 19 | Fenerbahçe SK | 8 | 12 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos AO | 8 | 12 |
| 21 | Celtic FC | 8 | 11 |
| 22 | PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 10 |
| 24 | SK Brann | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | BSC Young Boys | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | SK Sturm Graz | 8 | 7 |
| 27 | FCSB Bukarest | 8 | 7 |
| 28 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 7 |
| 29 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 8 | 6 |
| 30 | FC Basel 1893 | 8 | 6 |
| 31 | FC Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 6 |
| 32 | Rangers FC | 8 | 4 |
| 33 | OGC Nice | 8 | 3 |
| 34 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 1 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv FC | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 03 May | Tottenham Hotspur FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Apr | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Fulham FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Apr | Sunderland AFC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 16 Apr | Bologna FC 1909 | H | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May | Aston Villa FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 04 May | Chelsea FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Apr | Aston Villa FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Apr | Sunderland AFC | A | 5–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Burnley FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 16 Apr | FC Porto | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Aston Villa FC | Nottingham Forest FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #13 |
| 21 | Points | 14 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 7 / 0 / 1 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 2 |
| 14 | Scored | 15 |
| 6 | Conceded | 7 |
| +8 | GD | +8 |
| 2.63 | PPG | 1.75 |
| 88% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Aston Villa FC are 2nd (21 pts). Nottingham Forest FC are 13th (14 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Aston Villa FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' Morgan Rogers needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 18' That is a card for Nottingham Forest FC. Morato will be fuming at that decision.
- 23' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 28' Aston Villa FC is showing some good football. However, Aston Villa FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 33' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 36' Ollie Watkins puts Aston Villa FC on the lead.
- 41' Supporters expect more eagerness from Pau Torres, as he is very good at scoring at Villa Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 45' Nottingham Forest FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
- 50' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Unai Emery will be considering his options from the bench.
- 55' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 58' Magnificent from Emiliano Buendia! That is 42 goals in 376 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 63' Nottingham Forest FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 63.
- 68' Belgium international Youri Tielemans has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 73' The 33-year-old Lucas Digne has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 77' Brilliant from the ! John McGinn makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 77.
- 80' Magnificent from John McGinn! That is 36 goals in 361 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 85' Chris Wood has been relatively quiet despite scoring 89 goals in his last 350 appearances.
- 90' Igor Jesus, a Brazil , has 5 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 4-0 the final result. Nottingham Forest FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Aston Villa FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 23
- 27
- 12
- 3
- 2
- 10
- 11
- 4
- 7
- 8
- 14
Bench
- 40
- 5
- 18
- 31
- 19
- 21
- 9
- 22
- 26
- 64
- 16
Coach
Unai Emery
Nottingham Forest FC Lineups
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 11
- 27
- 31
- 16
- 4
- 3
- 8
- 24
- 21
- 23
- 19
Bench
- 20
- 22
- 10
- 6
- 26
- 14
- 29
- 5
- 67
- 65
- 61
- 51
Coach
Vítor Pereira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tammy Abraham | 4 |
| John McGinn | 4 |
| Ollie Watkins | 3 |
| Lewis Grabban | 2 |
| Douglas Luiz | 2 |
| Ashley Young | 1 |
| Jhon Duran | 1 |
| Neco Williams | 1 |
Head to Head
Aston Villa FC Form
Nottingham Forest FC Form
2026-05-07
Aston Villa FC
4–0
Nottingham Forest FC
L
2026-05-04
Chelsea FC
1–3
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2026-04-30
Nottingham Forest FC
1–0
Aston Villa FC
W
2026-04-24
Sunderland AFC
0–5
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2026-04-19
Nottingham Forest FC
4–1
Burnley FC
W
2026-04-16
Nottingham Forest FC
1–0
FC Porto
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.87
Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Aston Villa FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Aston Villa FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
50%
Aston Villa FC or Nottingham Forest FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Aston Villa FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–0 not predicted4 – 0Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.9%
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 0
6.2%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC
| Handicap | Aston Villa FC covers | Push | Nottingham Forest FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 16% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 22% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

