Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Europe 2025-26 SEMI FINALS

UEFA Europa League · 2025-26
Thu 7 May 2026 · 19:00 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Ollie Watkins 36' 1–0
Emiliano Buendia pen 58' 2–0
John McGinn 77' 3–0
John McGinn 80' 4–0
Y 18' Morato
Y 45' Jair Paula

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC — Europe at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Glenn Nyberg
  • Assistant 1 Mahbod Beigi
  • Assistant 2 Andreas Soderqvist (Sweden)
10 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 4.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 May Nottingham Forest FC H 4–0 W
03 May Tottenham Hotspur FC H 1–2 L
30 Apr Nottingham Forest FC A 0–1 L
25 Apr Fulham FC A 0–1 L
19 Apr Sunderland AFC H 4–3 W
16 Apr Bologna FC 1909 H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 May Aston Villa FC A 0–4 L
04 May Chelsea FC A 3–1 W
30 Apr Aston Villa FC H 1–0 W
24 Apr Sunderland AFC A 5–0 W
19 Apr Burnley FC H 4–1 W
16 Apr FC Porto H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Nottingham Forest FC
#2 Position #13
21 Points 14
8 Played 8
7 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 2
14 Scored 15
6 Conceded 7
+8 GD +8
2.63 PPG 1.75
88% Win % 50%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Aston Villa FC are 2nd (21 pts). Nottingham Forest FC are 13th (14 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Aston Villa FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' Morgan Rogers needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 18' That is a card for Nottingham Forest FC. Morato will be fuming at that decision.
  • 23' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 28' Aston Villa FC is showing some good football. However, Aston Villa FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 33' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 36' Ollie Watkins puts Aston Villa FC on the lead.
  • 41' Supporters expect more eagerness from Pau Torres, as he is very good at scoring at Villa Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 45' Nottingham Forest FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
  • 50' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Unai Emery will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 55' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 58' Magnificent from Emiliano Buendia! That is 42 goals in 376 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 63' Nottingham Forest FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 63.
  • 68' Belgium international Youri Tielemans has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 73' The 33-year-old Lucas Digne has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 77' Brilliant from the ! John McGinn makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 77.
  • 80' Magnificent from John McGinn! That is 36 goals in 361 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 85' Chris Wood has been relatively quiet despite scoring 89 goals in his last 350 appearances.
  • 90' Igor Jesus, a Brazil , has 5 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 4-0 the final result. Nottingham Forest FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.87 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC50% Draw25% Nottingham Forest FC25%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
50%
Aston Villa FC or Nottingham Forest FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC37% Draw43% Nottingham Forest FC20%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–0 not predicted
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.9%
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 0
6.2%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Nottingham Forest FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 22% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✗
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.