Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Europe 2025-26 SEMI FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC — Europe at Villa Park.
- Aston Villa FC 8 games · 21 pts (2025/26)
- Nottingham Forest FC 8 games · 14 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Glenn Nyberg
- Assistant 1 Mahbod Beigi
- Assistant 2 Andreas Soderqvist (Sweden)
17 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 4.5 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympique Lyonnais | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa FC | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | FC Midtjylland | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Betis Balompié | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 17 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | KRC Genk | 8 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna FC 1909 | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 15 |
| 12 | Ferencvárosi TC | 8 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest FC | 8 | 14 |
| 14 | FC Viktoria Plzeň | 8 | 14 |
| 15 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 14 |
| 16 | RC Celta de Vigo | 8 | 13 |
| 17 | PAOK Thessaloniki FC | 8 | 12 |
| 18 | Lille OSC | 8 | 12 |
| 19 | Fenerbahçe SK | 8 | 12 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos AO | 8 | 12 |
| 21 | Celtic FC | 8 | 11 |
| 22 | PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 10 |
| 24 | SK Brann | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | BSC Young Boys | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | SK Sturm Graz | 8 | 7 |
| 27 | FCSB Bukarest | 8 | 7 |
| 28 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 7 |
| 29 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 8 | 6 |
| 30 | FC Basel 1893 | 8 | 6 |
| 31 | FC Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 6 |
| 32 | Rangers FC | 8 | 4 |
| 33 | OGC Nice | 8 | 3 |
| 34 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 1 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv FC | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 03 May | Tottenham Hotspur FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Apr | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Fulham FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Apr | Sunderland AFC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 16 Apr | Bologna FC 1909 | H | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May | Aston Villa FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 04 May | Chelsea FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Apr | Aston Villa FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Apr | Sunderland AFC | A | 5–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Burnley FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 16 Apr | FC Porto | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Aston Villa FC | Nottingham Forest FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #13 |
| 21 | Points | 14 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 7 / 0 / 1 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 2 |
| 14 | Scored | 15 |
| 6 | Conceded | 7 |
| +8 | GD | +8 |
| 2.63 | PPG | 1.75 |
| 88% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
60%
Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
Aston Villa FC this season
44%
Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season
Nottingham Forest FC this season
Aston Villa FC are 2nd (21 pts). Nottingham Forest FC are 13th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
5/–
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nottingham Forest FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Aston Villa FC
| Ollie Watkins | 5 G | 2 A |
| John McGinn | 5 G | 1 A |
| Emiliano Buendia | 4 G | 5 A |
Nottingham Forest FC
| Igor Jesus | 7 G | 1 A |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 3 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Aston Villa FC have kicked off against Nottingham Forest FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nottingham Forest FC that had 372 games and scored 433 goals.
- 18' It’s gonna be a card for Morato.
- 23' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 28' Nottingham Forest FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 33' The travelling Nottingham Forest FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 36' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ollie Watkins makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 41' Aston Villa FC have won 497 goals from 355 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 45' That is a card for Nottingham Forest FC. Jair Paula will be fuming at that decision.
- 50' Elliot Anderson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 339 appearances.
- 55' The 21-year-old Jair Paula has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 58' Emiliano Buendia is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the .
- 63' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 68' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 73' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 73 minutes.
- 77' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. John McGinn makes it 3-0.
- 80' What composure from John McGinn! The Scotland international strokes it home. 4-0.
- 85' It is a cagey affair so far. Aston Villa FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Nottingham Forest FC's compact 4-4-1-1.
- 90' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Aston Villa FC take all three points.
Lineups
Aston Villa FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 23
- 27
- 12
- 3
- 2
- 10
- 11
- 4
- 7
- 8
- 14
Bench
- 40
- 5
- 18
- 31
- 19
- 21
- 9
- 22
- 26
- 64
- 16
Coach
Unai Emery
Nottingham Forest FC Lineups
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 11
- 27
- 31
- 16
- 4
- 3
- 8
- 24
- 21
- 23
- 19
Bench
- 20
- 22
- 10
- 6
- 26
- 14
- 29
- 5
- 67
- 65
- 61
- 51
Coach
Vítor Pereira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| John McGinn | 4 |
| Tammy Abraham | 4 |
| Ollie Watkins | 3 |
| Douglas Luiz | 2 |
| Lewis Grabban | 2 |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 1 |
| Donyell Malen | 1 |
| Anwar El Ghazi | 1 |
Head to Head
Aston Villa FC Form
Nottingham Forest FC Form
2026-05-07
Aston Villa FC
4–0
Nottingham Forest FC
L
2026-05-04
Chelsea FC
1–3
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2026-04-30
Nottingham Forest FC
1–0
Aston Villa FC
W
2026-04-24
Sunderland AFC
0–5
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2026-04-19
Nottingham Forest FC
4–1
Burnley FC
W
2026-04-16
Nottingham Forest FC
1–0
FC Porto
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.87
Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Aston Villa FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Aston Villa FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
50%
Aston Villa FC or Nottingham Forest FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Aston Villa FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–0 not predicted4 – 0Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.9%
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 0
6.2%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC
| Handicap | Aston Villa FC covers | Push | Nottingham Forest FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 16% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 22% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

