Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Burnley FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 10 May 2026 · 13:00 UTC Turf Moor 21,196 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jaidon Anthony 8' 1–0
1–1 42' Ross Barkley
1–2 56' Ollie Watkins
Zian Flemming 58' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Anthony Taylor
  • Assistant 1 Gary Beswick
  • Assistant 2 Adam Nunn
11 games this season 🟨 3.9/game ⚽ 9.5 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Aston Villa FC H 2–2 D
01 May Leeds United FC A 1–3 L
22 Apr Manchester City FC H 0–1 L
19 Apr Nottingham Forest FC A 1–4 L
11 Apr Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–2 L
21 Mar Fulham FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Burnley FC A 2–2 D
07 May Nottingham Forest FC H 4–0 W
03 May Tottenham Hotspur FC H 1–2 L
30 Apr Nottingham Forest FC A 0–1 L
25 Apr Fulham FC A 0–1 L
19 Apr Sunderland AFC H 4–3 W

Key Stats

90% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Burnley FC and Aston Villa FC get this one started.
  • 5' Aston Villa FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 8' Goal! Jaidon Anthony scores his 24 goal in 341 matches.
  • 13' It looks surprising Aston Villa FC does not make any changes. Youri Tielemans has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 18' Aston Villa FC come into this ranked 5 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 23' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 28' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Aston Villa FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 33' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 38' Assisted by Morgan Rogers with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ollie Watkins makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 42' Ross Barkley doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 47' The home supporters are growing impatient. Burnley FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 49' Tyrone Mings was booked on 49.
  • 54' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 56' Against the run of play, Ollie Watkins has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 58' The deadlock is broken! Zian Flemming gets on the scoresheet on 58 minutes.
  • 60' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Chimuanya Ugochukwu.
  • 65' Victor Nilsson-Lindelof is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burnley FC tonight.
  • 70' With 0 assists to his name this season, Maxime Esteve is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Aston Villa FC.
  • 75' Both keepers have barely been tested. Burnley FC and Aston Villa FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 80' A quiet spell here at Turf Moor. Burnley FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 85' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 90' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ezri Konsa made 349 appearances and scored 17 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 2-2 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.3 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC or Aston Villa FC 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC34% Draw29% Aston Villa FC37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
66%
Burnley FC or Aston Villa FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC25% Draw47% Aston Villa FC28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
8.2%
1 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 18% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 20% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.