Sunday , 16 August 2026

Burnley FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 10 May 2026 · 13:00 UTC Turf Moor 21,196 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jaidon Anthony 8' 1–0
1–1 42' Ross Barkley
1–2 56' Ollie Watkins
Zian Flemming 58' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Aston Villa FCPremier League at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Anthony Taylor
  • Assistant 1 Gary Beswick
  • Assistant 2 Adam Nunn
19 games this season 🟨 2.7/game 8.2 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Aston Villa FC H 2–2 D
01 May Leeds United FC A 1–3 L
22 Apr Manchester City FC H 0–1 L
19 Apr Nottingham Forest FC A 1–4 L
11 Apr Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–2 L
21 Mar Fulham FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Burnley FC A 2–2 D
07 May Nottingham Forest FC H 4–0 W
03 May Tottenham Hotspur FC H 1–2 L
30 Apr Nottingham Forest FC A 0–1 L
25 Apr Fulham FC A 0–1 L
19 Apr Sunderland AFC H 4–3 W

Season Stats

Burnley FC Aston Villa FC
#2 Position #11
22 Points 0
38 Played 0
4 / 10 / 24 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
38 Scored 0
75 Conceded 0
-37 GD +0
0.58 PPG
11% Win %

Key Stats

90% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Burnley FC are 2nd (22 pts). Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Turf Moor will turn into a battlefield for Burnley FC and Aston Villa FC.
  • 5' Youri Tielemans, a Belgium midfielder, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 8' The deadlock is broken! Jaidon Anthony gets on the scoresheet on 8 minutes.
  • 13' The 28-year-old Matty Cash has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 18' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 23' Ian Maatsen is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Burnley FC so far.
  • 28' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 33' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Aston Villa FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 38' GOAL! Ollie Watkins scores on 38. Assisted by Morgan Rogers
  • 42' Ross Barkley puts Aston Villa FC on the lead.
  • 47' A quiet spell here at Turf Moor. Burnley FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 49' That is a card for Aston Villa FC. Tyrone Mings will be fuming at that decision.
  • 54' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 56' Against the run of play, Ollie Watkins has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 58' GOAL! Zian Flemming scores on 58. Assisted by Hannibal Mejbri
  • 60' Chimuanya Ugochukwu picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 65' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 70' Maxime Esteve needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 75' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Loum Tchaouna made 422 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 80' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Aston Villa FC that had 355 games and scored 497 goals.
  • 85' Victor Nilsson-Lindelof is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Aston Villa FC tonight.
  • 90' Burnley FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.65 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 80% + Aston Villa FC or Draw 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC27% Draw37% Aston Villa FC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes29% 0% No71%
Avg goals/match: 1.5
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 75%
25%
± 1.5 45%
55%
± 2.5 20%
80%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
73%
Burnley FC or Aston Villa FC
63%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC15% Draw62% Aston Villa FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
24.8%
0 – 1
17.3%
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
12.8%
0 – 2
7.5%
1 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
4.3%
2 – 1
4%
0 – 3
2.1%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
1.6%
3 – 0
0.9%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 17% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 23% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 9% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
43%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
52%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.