Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Wed 3 Dec 2025 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Madley
5 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 11.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec Aston Villa FC H 3–4 L
30 Nov Nottingham Forest FC A 2–0 W
22 Nov Brentford FC H 2–1 W
09 Nov Crystal Palace FC A 0–0 D
01 Nov Leeds United FC H 3–0 W
25 Oct Manchester United FC A 2–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 4–3 W
30 Nov Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
27 Nov BSC Young Boys H 2–1 W
23 Nov Leeds United FC A 2–1 W
09 Nov AFC Bournemouth H 4–0 W
06 Nov Maccabi Tel Aviv FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion FC Aston Villa FC
#3 Position #16
10 Points 4
5 Played 5
3 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
16 Scored 4
5 Conceded 9
+11 GD -5
2.00 PPG 0.80
60% Win % 20%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Brighton & Hove Albion FC are 3rd (10 pts). Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Brighton & Hove Albion FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
5/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
2/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Pascal Gross 3 G 3 A
Charalampos Kostoulas 2 G 1 A
Jack Hinshelwood 2 G
Malick Yalcouye 2 G
Maxim De Cuyper 1 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Brighton & Hove Albion FC Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
3.42 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Brighton & Hove Albion FC57% Draw19% Aston Villa FC24%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes78% 0% No22%
Avg goals/match: 5.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 96%
4%
± 2.5 87%
13%
± 3.5 73%
27%
± 4.5 56%
44%

Double Chance

Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
43%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Aston Villa FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Brighton & Hove Albion FC53% Draw30% Aston Villa FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
3 – 1
6.7%
2 – 1
6.1%
3 – 2
5.6%
4 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
5.1%
4 – 2
4.8%
1 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
4.1%
5 – 1
3.9%
2 – 0
3.7%
4 – 0
3.4%
5 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Handicap Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 33% — 67%
-2 33% 18% 49%
-1.5 51% — 49%
-1 51% 18% 32%
-0.5 68% — 32%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 9% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 5% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
4% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.