Botafogo FR vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Botafogo FR vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A at Sao Januario.
- Botafogo FR 17 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
- Grêmio FBPA 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Grêmio FBPA | H | 3–4 | L |
| 06 Nov | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Nov | SE Palmeiras | H | 3–4 | L |
| 29 Oct | Cuiaba EC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Oct | CA Paranaense | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | America FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Botafogo FR | A | 4–3 | W |
| 04 Nov | EC Bahia | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | Coritiba FBC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Oct | America FC | A | 4–3 | W |
| 26 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Botafogo FR | Grêmio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #16 |
| 22 | Points | 21 |
| 17 | Played | 18 |
| 6 / 4 / 7 | W / D / L | 5 / 6 / 7 |
| 31 | Scored | 20 |
| 31 | Conceded | 23 |
| +0 | GD | -3 |
| 1.29 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 35% | Win % | 28% |
Key Stats
62%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
Botafogo FR this season
39%
Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
Grêmio FBPA this season
Botafogo FR are 12th (22 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Botafogo FR
0-15
5/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Botafogo FR
| Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira | 7 G | 2 A |
| Arthur Cabral | 7 G | 1 A |
| Edenilson | 4 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Martins | 4 G |
Grêmio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 9 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Grêmio FBPA gets underway.
- 5' Grêmio FBPA seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 6' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Diego Costa makes it 1-0.
- 9' Against the run of play, Everton has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 14' Danilo Barbosa has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 386 appearances.
- 19' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Grêmio FBPA that had 326 games and scored 383 goals.
- 24' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 25' Felipe Carballo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 25.
- 29' Junior Santos has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 29 minutes.
- 34' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 39' Ronald has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 44' Both keepers have barely been tested. Botafogo FR and Grêmio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 46' What a moment for Marlon Freitas! That strike on 46 puts his side firmly in control.
- 46' Franco Cristaldo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Felipe Carballo at the 46 minute mark.
- 50' Magnificent from Luis Suarez! That is 141 goals in 513 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 53' Luis Suarez adds to his 6 season tally! Gremio FBPA lead 3-3 — and this changes everything.
- 58' Lucas Besozzi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Grêmio FBPA so far.
- 63' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 63 minutes.
- 66' Carlos Eduardo gets the nod from Botafogo FR. He replaces Danilo Barbosa and will look to change the dynamic.
- 69' The deadlock is broken! Luis Suarez gets on the scoresheet on 69 minutes.
- 72' It is a substitution in Botafogo FR team. Junior Santos is replaced by Luis Henrique on 72 minute.
- 73' A tactical swap from Botafogo FR — Janderson Costa on, Tche Tche off on 73 minutes.
- 75' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Nathan Ribeiro comes on to replace Everton.
- 77' Hugo Flahaut makes way for Marcal at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from Botafogo FR.
- 79' Diego Costa picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 82' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Joao Pedro Galvao is hanging Luis Suarez on the field on 82 minute.
- 86' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Ronald departs to be replaced by Gustavo Martins.
- Another three points for Grêmio FBPA.
Lineups
Botafogo FR Lineups
Starting XI
- 34
- 12
-
37
Junior Santos ↓ Luis Henrique 72'
- 19
-
6
Tche Tche ↓ Janderson Costa 73'
- 24
- 15
-
7
Joao Victor ↓ Carlos Alberto 46'
- 17
-
5
Danilo Barbosa ↓ Carlos Eduardo 66'
-
16
Hugo Flahaut ↓ Marcal 77'
Bench
-
21
Marcal ↑ 77'
- 14
- 18
- 94
-
11
Luis Henrique ↑ 72'
-
27
Carlos Alberto ↑ 46'
- 1
- –
-
33
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 66'
- 20
- 31
-
39
Janderson Costa ↑ 73'
Grêmio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 34
- 6
-
9
Luis Suarez ↓ Joao Pedro Galvao 82'
- 18
- 20
-
22
Lucas Besozzi ↓ Ferreira 46'
- 12
-
–
Everton ↓ Nathan Ribeiro 75'
- 8
-
35
Ronald ↓ Gustavo Martins 86'
Bench
- 7
- 31
- 14
- 2
-
11
Joao Pedro Galvao ↑ 82'
-
19
Franco Cristaldo ↑ 46'
-
10
Ferreira ↑ 46'
- –
-
53
Gustavo Martins ↑ 86'
- 77
- 54
-
32
Nathan Ribeiro ↑ 75'
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Cuiabano | 3 |
| Luis Suarez | 3 |
| Matheus Henrique | 2 |
| Jael | 2 |
| Jean Pyerre | 2 |
| Junior Santos | 2 |
| Pepe | 2 |
| Alisson | 2 |
Head to Head
Botafogo FR Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.04
Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.23
Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 79% + Botafogo FR or Grêmio FBPA 78%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Grêmio FBPA win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.27
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 3.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 4.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
Double Chance
Botafogo FR or Draw
56%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
67%
Botafogo FR or Grêmio FBPA
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Botafogo FR win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–4 not predicted3 – 4Actual
1 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 3
5.1%
1 – 3
5.1%
3 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.3%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 3
3.5%
2 – 0
3.1%
2 – 4
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR
| Handicap | Botafogo FR covers | Push | Grêmio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 16% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 17% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 13% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

