Thursday , 2 July 2026

Botafogo FR vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Thu 9 Nov 2023 · 23:00 UTC Sao Januario HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Botafogo FR vs Grêmio FBPASerie A at Sao Januario.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Grêmio FBPA H 3–4 L
06 Nov CR Vasco da Gama A 0–1 L
02 Nov SE Palmeiras H 3–4 L
29 Oct Cuiaba EC H 0–1 L
22 Oct CA Paranaense H 1–1 D
18 Oct America FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Botafogo FR A 4–3 W
04 Nov EC Bahia H 1–0 W
01 Nov Coritiba FBC A 2–1 W
28 Oct America FC A 4–3 W
26 Oct CR Flamengo H 3–2 W
21 Oct Sao Paulo FC A 0–3 L

Season Stats

Botafogo FR Grêmio FBPA
#12 Position #16
22 Points 21
17 Played 18
6 / 4 / 7 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 7
31 Scored 20
31 Conceded 23
+0 GD -3
1.29 PPG 1.17
35% Win % 28%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

Botafogo FR are 12th (22 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Botafogo FR
0-15
5/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Botafogo FR
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 7 G 2 A
Arthur Cabral 7 G 1 A
Edenilson 4 G 2 A
Matheus Martins 4 G
Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Grêmio FBPA gets underway.
  • 5' Grêmio FBPA seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 6' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Diego Costa makes it 1-0.
  • 9' Against the run of play, Everton has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 14' Danilo Barbosa has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 386 appearances.
  • 19' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Grêmio FBPA that had 326 games and scored 383 goals.
  • 24' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 25' Felipe Carballo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 25.
  • 29' Junior Santos has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 29 minutes.
  • 34' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 39' Ronald has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 44' Both keepers have barely been tested. Botafogo FR and Grêmio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 46' What a moment for Marlon Freitas! That strike on 46 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 46' Franco Cristaldo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Felipe Carballo at the 46 minute mark.
  • 50' Magnificent from Luis Suarez! That is 141 goals in 513 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 53' Luis Suarez adds to his 6 season tally! Gremio FBPA lead 3-3 — and this changes everything.
  • 58' Lucas Besozzi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Grêmio FBPA so far.
  • 63' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 63 minutes.
  • 66' Carlos Eduardo gets the nod from Botafogo FR. He replaces Danilo Barbosa and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 69' The deadlock is broken! Luis Suarez gets on the scoresheet on 69 minutes.
  • 72' It is a substitution in Botafogo FR team. Junior Santos is replaced by Luis Henrique on 72 minute.
  • 73' A tactical swap from Botafogo FRJanderson Costa on, Tche Tche off on 73 minutes.
  • 75' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Nathan Ribeiro comes on to replace Everton.
  • 77' Hugo Flahaut makes way for Marcal at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from Botafogo FR.
  • 79' Diego Costa picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 82' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Joao Pedro Galvao is hanging Luis Suarez on the field on 82 minute.
  • 86' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Ronald departs to be replaced by Gustavo Martins.
  • Another three points for Grêmio FBPA.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.04 Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.23 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Botafogo FR or Grêmio FBPA 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Botafogo FR33% Draw22% Grêmio FBPA45%
Actual: Grêmio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.27
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 79%
21%
± 3.5 61%
39%
± 4.5 42%
58%

Double Chance

Botafogo FR or Draw
56%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
67%
Botafogo FR or Grêmio FBPA
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Botafogo FR30% Draw37% Grêmio FBPA33%
Actual: Botafogo FR win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 3
5.1%
1 – 3
5.1%
3 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.3%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 3
3.5%
2 – 0
3.1%
2 – 4
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR

Handicap Botafogo FR covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 11% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 16% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 17% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 13% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
12%
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.