Friday , 16 October 2026

Botafogo FR vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Thu 9 Nov 2023 · 23:00 UTC Sao Januario HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Botafogo FR vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Sao Januario.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Gremio FBPA H 3–4 L
06 Nov CR Vasco da Gama A 0–1 L
02 Nov SE Palmeiras H 3–4 L
29 Oct Cuiaba EC H 0–1 L
22 Oct CA Paranaense H 1–1 D
18 Oct America FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Botafogo FR A 4–3 W
04 Nov EC Bahia H 1–0 W
01 Nov Coritiba FBC A 2–1 W
28 Oct America FC A 4–3 W
26 Oct CR Flamengo H 3–2 W
21 Oct Sao Paulo FC A 0–3 L

Season Stats

Botafogo FR Gremio FBPA
#12 Position #18
36 Points 31
30 Played 30
9 / 9 / 12 W / D / L 7 / 10 / 13
43 Scored 32
48 Conceded 40
-5 GD -8
1.20 PPG 1.03
30% Win % 23%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Botafogo FR are 12th (36 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Botafogo FR
0-15
5/5
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/4
46-60
5/4
61-75
4/3
76+
8/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Botafogo FR
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 10 G 2 A
Arthur Cabral 7 G 1 A
Edenilson 4 G 2 A
Matheus Martins 4 G
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Botafogo FR launch into their encounter with Grêmio FBPA.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Grêmio FBPA winning 50% of all matches.
  • 6' Diego Costa has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 6 minutes.
  • 9' What a moment for Everton! That strike on 9 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 14' It’s high time Renato Gaucho made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 19' Luis Suarez is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Botafogo FR tonight.
  • 24' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Renato Gaucho will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 25' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Felipe Carballo.
  • 29' A goal from the Brazil international Junior Santos! He fires home on 29 to make it 2-1!
  • 34' Joao Pedro Galvao has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 39' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 44' Grêmio FBPA are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 46' What a strike from Marlon Freitas! The score is 3-1.
  • 46' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Felipe Carballo has done his job and it is now time for Franco Cristaldo to step up.
  • 50' What a strike from Luis Suarez! The score is 3-2.
  • 53' What a moment for Luis Suarez! That strike on 53 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 58' Botafogo FR is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 63' Botafogo FR seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 66' The whistle greets Danilo Barbosa as he departs to be replaced by Carlos Eduardo.
  • 69' Luis Suarez doubles the advantage! 3-4 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 72' Luis Henrique is replacing Junior Santos for the Botafogo FR side.
  • 73' Janderson Costa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tche Tche at the 73 minute mark.
  • 75' Everton makes way for Nathan Ribeiro at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
  • 77' Marcal is replacing Hugo Flahaut for the Botafogo FR side.
  • 79' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Diego Costa.
  • 82' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Luis Suarez exits the field as Joao Pedro Galvao enters on 82.
  • 86' Gustavo Martins gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Ronald and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 3-4 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.86 Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.11 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Botafogo FR or Gremio FBPA 77% + Over 2.5 goals 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Botafogo FR32% Draw23% Gremio FBPA45%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 3.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

Botafogo FR or Draw
55%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
68%
Botafogo FR or Gremio FBPA
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Botafogo FR28% Draw38% Gremio FBPA34%
Actual: Botafogo FR win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 3
4.9%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
4.1%
0 – 1
3.6%
2 – 0
3.4%
1 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR

Handicap Botafogo FR covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 10% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 16% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 18% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 13% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.