Botafogo FR vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Botafogo FR vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Sao Januario.
- Botafogo FR 24 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 24 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Gremio FBPA | H | 3–4 | L |
| 06 Nov | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Nov | SE Palmeiras | H | 3–4 | L |
| 29 Oct | Cuiaba EC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Oct | CA Paranaense | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | America FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Botafogo FR | A | 4–3 | W |
| 04 Nov | EC Bahia | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | Coritiba FBC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Oct | America FC | A | 4–3 | W |
| 26 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Botafogo FR | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #15 |
| 30 | Points | 28 |
| 24 | Played | 24 |
| 8 / 6 / 10 | W / D / L | 7 / 7 / 10 |
| 37 | Scored | 27 |
| 40 | Conceded | 32 |
| -3 | GD | -5 |
| 1.25 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 33% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
62%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
Botafogo FR this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
Botafogo FR are 12th (30 pts). Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Botafogo FR
0-15
5/5
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
4/3
76+
7/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Botafogo FR
| Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira | 7 G | 2 A |
| Arthur Cabral | 7 G | 1 A |
| Edenilson | 4 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Martins | 4 G |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Sao Januario. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joao Pedro suffering a number of foals already.
- 6' A stunning finish from Diego Costa — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 9' Everton doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 14' It looks surprising Grêmio FBPA does not make any changes. Walter Kannemann has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 19' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Botafogo FR and Grêmio FBPA are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 24' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 25' Felipe Carballo is having his name booked by the referee on 25.
- 29' Goal! Junior Santos scores his 40 goal in 266 matches.
- 34' The travelling Grêmio FBPA supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 39' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 44' Grêmio FBPA come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 46' GOAL! Marlon Freitas fires home to make it 3-1!
- 46' Franco Cristaldo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Felipe Carballo on 46 minute.
- 50' Luis Suarez is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 10 goals this season for the .
- 53' Luis Suarez makes no mistake. The score reads 3-3 and Gremio FBPA are in front.
- 58' It is a cagey affair so far. Botafogo FR in their trying to find a way past Grêmio FBPA's compact .
- 63' Grêmio FBPA fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 66' Carlos Eduardo is replacing Danilo Barbosa for the Botafogo FR side.
- 69' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Luis Suarez makes it 3-4.
- 72' The Botafogo FR bench stirs into life. Junior Santos is withdrawn and Luis Henrique gets his opportunity.
- 73' It is a substitution in Botafogo FR team. Tche Tche is replaced by Janderson Costa on 73 minute.
- 75' The whistle greets Everton as he departs to be replaced by Nathan Ribeiro.
- 77' Marcal has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hugo Flahaut on 77 minute.
- 79' It’s a booking for Botafogo FR player. Diego Costa gets a Yellow card.
- 82' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Luis Suarez is replaced by Joao Pedro Galvao on 82 minute.
- 86' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Ronald by Gustavo Martins on 86 minute.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-4 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Botafogo FR Lineups
Starting XI
- 34
- 12
-
37
Junior Santos ↓ Luis Henrique 72'
- 19
-
6
Tche Tche ↓ Janderson Costa 73'
- 24
- 15
-
7
Joao Victor ↓ Carlos Alberto 46'
- 17
-
5
Danilo Barbosa ↓ Carlos Eduardo 66'
-
16
Hugo Flahaut ↓ Marcal 77'
Bench
-
21
Marcal ↑ 77'
- 14
- 18
- 94
-
11
Luis Henrique ↑ 72'
-
27
Carlos Alberto ↑ 46'
- 1
- –
-
33
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 66'
- 20
- 31
-
39
Janderson Costa ↑ 73'
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 34
- 6
-
9
Luis Suarez ↓ Joao Pedro Galvao 82'
- 18
- 20
-
22
Lucas Besozzi ↓ Ferreira 46'
- 12
-
–
Everton ↓ Nathan Ribeiro 75'
- 8
-
35
Ronald ↓ Gustavo Martins 86'
Bench
- 7
- 31
- 14
- 2
-
11
Joao Pedro Galvao ↑ 82'
-
19
Franco Cristaldo ↑ 46'
-
10
Ferreira ↑ 46'
- –
-
53
Gustavo Martins ↑ 86'
- 77
- 54
-
32
Nathan Ribeiro ↑ 75'
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Cuiabano | 3 |
| Luis Suarez | 3 |
| Matheus Henrique | 2 |
| Jael | 2 |
| Jean Pyerre | 2 |
| Junior Santos | 2 |
| Pepe | 2 |
| Alisson | 2 |
Head to Head
Botafogo FR Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.93
Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.18
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
Botafogo FR or Gremio FBPA 77% + Over 2.5 goals 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gremio FBPA win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.11
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
Botafogo FR or Draw
55%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
68%
Botafogo FR or Gremio FBPA
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Botafogo FR win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–4 not predicted3 – 4Actual
1 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 3
5%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.2%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 3
3.3%
0 – 1
3.2%
2 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR
| Handicap | Botafogo FR covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 10% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 16% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 18% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 13% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

