Sunday , 16 August 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund, DFB-Pokal 2023-24 LAST 16

DFB-Pokal · 2023-24
Wed 6 Dec 2023 · 19:45 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia DortmundDFB-Pokal at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Borussia Dortmund H 2–0 W
02 Dec SV Werder Bremen H 2–0 W
25 Nov Eintracht Frankfurt A 2–1 W
11 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 2–1 W
05 Nov 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–2 L
31 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec VfB Stuttgart A 0–2 L
03 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
28 Nov AC Milan A 3–1 W
25 Nov Borussia Mönchengladbach H 4–2 W
11 Nov VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L
07 Nov Newcastle United FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Mercedes-Benz Arena as VfB Stuttgart face off against Borussia Dortmund in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Edin Terzic might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. VfB Stuttgart is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' Emre Can needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 20' VfB Stuttgart are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Borussia Dortmund backline.
  • 24' Borussia Dortmund make a change. Youssoufa Moukoko trudges off to be replaced by Niclas Fullkrug on 24 minutes.
  • 29' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 34' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 39' Borussia Dortmund seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 44' Both keepers have barely been tested. VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 46' A change in the Borussia Dortmund ranks — Marius Wolf exits the field as Ramy Bensebaini enters on 46.
  • 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
  • 54' Against the run of play, Sehrou Guirassy has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 59' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His VfB Stuttgart side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 64' Waldemar Anton catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 64.
  • 67' Ramy Bensebaini was booked on 67.
  • 71' Deniz Undav makes way for Anthony Rouault at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfB Stuttgart.
  • 76' With 0 assists to his name this season, Atakan Karazor is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Borussia Dortmund.
  • 77' Silas Katompa Mvumpa is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the forward.
  • 78' Borussia Dortmund ring the changes. Salih Ozcan has done his job and it is now time for Marco Reus to step up.
  • 81' The whistle greets Josha Vagnoman as he departs to be replaced by Leonidas Stergiou.
  • 86' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Atakan Karazor.
  • 90' Jamie Leweling is replacing Enzo Millot for the VfB Stuttgart side.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. VfB Stuttgart take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.46 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart46% Draw27% Borussia Dortmund27%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
73%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
54%
VfB Stuttgart or Borussia Dortmund
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart30% Draw47% Borussia Dortmund23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
9.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 21% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
31%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.