Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund, DFB-Pokal 2023-24 LAST 16

DFB-Pokal · 2023-24
Wed 6 Dec 2023 · 19:45 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia DortmundDFB-Pokal at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 6.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Borussia Dortmund H 2–0 W
02 Dec SV Werder Bremen H 2–0 W
25 Nov Eintracht Frankfurt A 2–1 W
11 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 2–1 W
05 Nov 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–2 L
31 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec VfB Stuttgart A 0–2 L
03 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
28 Nov AC Milan A 3–1 W
25 Nov Borussia Monchengladbach H 4–2 W
11 Nov VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L
07 Nov Newcastle United FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund is underway.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' The 29-year-old Atakan Karazor has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 15' VfB Stuttgart are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 24' Time for substitution for Borussia Dortmund. Youssoufa Moukoko is replaced by Niclas Fullkrug.
  • 29' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Enzo Millot suffering a number of foals already.
  • 34' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering VfB Stuttgart that had 438 games and scored 440 goals.
  • 39' Borussia Dortmund has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 44' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 46' Ramy Bensebaini is replacing Marius Wolf for the Borussia Dortmund side.
  • 51' VfB Stuttgart currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 54' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Sehrou Guirassy makes it 1-0.
  • 59' It looks like no one’s ball. VfB Stuttgart is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 64' The referee shows VfB Stuttgart player a card on 64.
  • 67' The referee calls foul for Ramy Bensebaini. He receives a card.
  • 71' Another change for VfB Stuttgart made on 71 minute. Deniz Undav leaves to be changed by Anthony Rouault.
  • 76' Germany international Marius Wolf has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 77' The DR Congo Silas Katompa Mvumpa breaks the deadlock on 77 minutes. 2-0!
  • 78' Marco Reus has so much to prove this time. He replaces Salih Ozcan on 78 minute.
  • 81' VfB Stuttgart make a change. Josha Vagnoman trudges off to be replaced by Leonidas Stergiou on 81 minutes.
  • 86' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 90' That is a card for VfB Stuttgart. Atakan Karazor will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' VfB Stuttgart make a change. Enzo Millot trudges off to be replaced by Jamie Leweling on 90 minutes.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.46 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart46% Draw27% Borussia Dortmund27%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
73%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
54%
VfB Stuttgart or Borussia Dortmund
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart30% Draw47% Borussia Dortmund23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
9.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 21% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
31%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.