Saturday , 14 November 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 11 Nov 2023 · 14:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena 54,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 36' Niclas Fullkrug
Deniz Undav 42' 1–1
Sehrou Guirassy pen 83' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Marcel Unger
  • Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
10 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 2–1 W
05 Nov 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–2 L
31 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–0 W
28 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–3 L
21 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin A 3–0 W
07 Oct VfL Wolfsburg H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L
07 Nov Newcastle United FC H 2–0 W
04 Nov FC Bayern Munchen H 0–4 L
01 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–0 W
29 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–3 D
25 Oct Newcastle United FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart Borussia Dortmund
#8 Position #2
12 Points 21
9 Played 9
4 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 3 / 0
15 Scored 16
15 Conceded 7
+0 GD +9
1.33 PPG 2.33
44% Win % 67%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
56% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

VfB Stuttgart are 8th (12 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/3
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.26 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: VfB Stuttgart or Borussia Dortmund 74% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart33% Draw26% Borussia Dortmund41%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
58%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
67%
VfB Stuttgart or Borussia Dortmund
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart21% Draw44% Borussia Dortmund35%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
7.7%
0 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.8%
1 – 3
5.4%
1 – 0
5.2%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 15% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 21% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.