Sunday , 16 August 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 11 Nov 2023 · 14:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena 54,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 36' Niclas Fullkrug
Deniz Undav 42' 1–1
Sehrou Guirassy pen 83' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Marcel Unger
  • Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
5 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 2–1 W
05 Nov 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–2 L
31 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–0 W
28 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–3 L
21 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin A 3–0 W
07 Oct VfL Wolfsburg H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L
07 Nov Newcastle United FC H 2–0 W
04 Nov FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
01 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–0 W
29 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–3 D
25 Oct Newcastle United FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart Borussia Dortmund
#10 Position #8
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

VfB Stuttgart are 10th (0 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.83 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 73% + VfB Stuttgart or Draw 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart34% Draw33% Borussia Dortmund33%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
67%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
66%
VfB Stuttgart or Borussia Dortmund
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart19% Draw58% Borussia Dortmund23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
19.2%
0 – 1
14.5%
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
12.4%
0 – 2
7.2%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
2.8%
0 – 3
2.3%
1 – 3
2.1%
3 – 1
1.5%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 19% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 22% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
39%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.