Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 11 Nov 2023 · 14:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena 54,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 36' Niclas Fullkrug
Deniz Undav 42' 1–1
Sehrou Guirassy pen 83' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Marcel Unger
  • Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
3 games this season 🟨 5.7/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 2–1 W
05 Nov 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–2 L
31 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–0 W
28 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–3 L
21 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin A 3–0 W
07 Oct VfL Wolfsburg H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L
07 Nov Newcastle United FC H 2–0 W
04 Nov FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
01 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–0 W
29 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–3 D
25 Oct Newcastle United FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart Borussia Dortmund
#15 Position #1
3 Points 12
4 Played 4
1 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 4 / 0 / 0
6 Scored 9
9 Conceded 2
-3 GD +7
0.75 PPG 3.00
25% Win % 100%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

VfB Stuttgart are 15th (3 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.06 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.23 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart26% Draw23% Borussia Dortmund51%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
48%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
74%
VfB Stuttgart or Borussia Dortmund
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart15% Draw40% Borussia Dortmund45%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 3
7%
0 – 3
6.7%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 4
4%
2 – 3
3.8%
0 – 4
3.7%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 10% 84%
-0.5 16% — 84%
+0.5 38% — 62%
+1 38% 22% 40%
+1.5 60% — 40%
+2 60% 19% 22%
+2.5 78% — 22%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.