VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- VfB Stuttgart 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
- Borussia Dortmund 34 games · 73 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Stieler
- Assistant 1 Marcel Unger
- Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
24 games this season
🟨 0.7/game
⚽ 4.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov | Borussia Dortmund | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Nov | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Oct | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Oct | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 3–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Nov | Newcastle United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Nov | FC Bayern München | H | 0–4 | L |
| 01 Nov | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 3–3 | D |
| 25 Oct | Newcastle United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| VfB Stuttgart | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #2 |
| 62 | Points | 73 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 22 / 7 / 5 |
| 71 | Scored | 70 |
| 49 | Conceded | 34 |
| +22 | GD | +36 |
| 1.82 | PPG | 2.15 |
| 53% | Win % | 65% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
44%
Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
Borussia Dortmund this season
VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund get this one started.
- 5' Borussia Dortmund are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' That is a Yellow card for Borussia Dortmund. Gregor Kobel will be fuming at that decision.
- 15' Karim Adeyemi catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 15.
- 20' Marcel Sabitzer is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Borussia Dortmund tonight.
- 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 28' Ramy Bensebaini is replacing Mats Hummels for the Borussia Dortmund side.
- 33' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jamie Leweling made 313 appearances and scored 16 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 36' GOAL! Niclas Fullkrug fires home to make it 0-1!
- 41' The 27-year-old Donyell Malen has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 42' Deniz Undav does the damage! The net is bulging and VfB Stuttgart surge ahead!
- 46' Marco Reus gets the nod from Borussia Dortmund. He replaces Karim Adeyemi and will look to change the dynamic.
- 49' Poor challenge from Marcel Sabitzer. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 54' VfB Stuttgart is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 59' Atakan Karazor picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 63' It is a substitution in Borussia Dortmund team. Felix Kalu Nmecha is replaced by Gio Reyna on 63 minute.
- 66' The supporters are chanting for Sehrou Guirassy. He replaces Jamie Leweling on 66 minute.
- 67' VfB Stuttgart make a change. Chris Fuhrich trudges off to be replaced by Josha Vagnoman on 67 minutes.
- 72' Borussia Dortmund fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 76' The supporters are chanting for Silas Katompa Mvumpa. He replaces Deniz Undav on 76 minute.
- 77' A change in the Borussia Dortmund ranks — Niclas Fullkrug exits the field as Youssoufa Moukoko enters on 77.
- 82' Julian Ryerson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 83' Against the run of play, Sehrou Guirassy has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 88' A tactical swap from VfB Stuttgart — Jeong Wooyeong on, Enzo Millot off on 88 minutes.
- Borussia Dortmund will have plenty to reflect on. VfB Stuttgart were simply the better side today.
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
4-2-2-2Starting XI
- 16
- 23
- 2
- 7
- 33
-
27
Chris Fuhrich ↓ Josha Vagnoman 67'
- 21
- 18
- 26
-
8
Enzo Millot ↓ Jeong Wooyeong 88'
- 6
Bench
-
4
Josha Vagnoman ↑ 67'
- 17
- 15
-
9
Sehrou Guirassy ↑ 66'
- 1
-
10
Jeong Wooyeong ↑ 88'
-
20
Leonidas Stergiou ↑ 88'
- 29
-
14
Silas Katompa Mvumpa ↑ 76'
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
15
Mats Hummels ↓ Ramy Bensebaini 28'
- 25
-
19
Julian Brandt ↓ Donyell Malen 46'
- 14
- 1
- 20
- 6
- 26
-
8
Felix Kalu Nmecha ↓ Gio Reyna 63'
- 4
-
27
Karim Adeyemi ↓ Marco Reus 46'
Bench
-
21
Donyell Malen ↑ 46'
-
5
Ramy Bensebaini ↑ 28'
-
11
Marco Reus ↑ 46'
- 17
- 33
- 9
-
7
Gio Reyna ↑ 63'
-
18
Youssoufa Moukoko ↑ 77'
- 43
Coach
Edin Terzic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Julian Brandt | 5 |
| Sehrou Guirassy | 4 |
| Gio Reyna | 4 |
| Marco Reus | 4 |
| Deniz Undav | 3 |
| Jude Bellingham | 3 |
| Paco Alcacer | 2 |
| Donyell Malen | 2 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
Borussia Dortmund Form
2023-11-11
VfB Stuttgart
2–1
Borussia Dortmund
L
2023-11-07
Borussia Dortmund
2–0
Newcastle United FC
W
2023-11-04
Borussia Dortmund
0–4
FC Bayern München
L
2023-11-01
Borussia Dortmund
1–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2023-10-29
Eintracht Frankfurt
3–3
Borussia Dortmund
D
2023-10-25
Newcastle United FC
0–1
Borussia Dortmund
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.58
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84
Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for:
VfB Stuttgart or Borussia Dortmund 75% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: VfB Stuttgart win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.42
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
62%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
63%
VfB Stuttgart or Borussia Dortmund
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.6%
0 – 1
5.4%
1 – 3
5.1%
0 – 0
4.8%
1 – 0
4.5%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
3.8%
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | Borussia Dortmund covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 16% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 19% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 13% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.