Sunday , 16 August 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs FK Shakhtar Donetsk, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Wed 29 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sehrou Guirassy 17' 1–0
Sehrou Guirassy 44' 2–0
2–1 50' Marlon Gomes
Ramy Bensebaini 79' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs FK Shakhtar DonetskChampions League at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Glenn Nyberg
  • Assistant 1 Mahbod Beigi
  • Assistant 2 Andreas Soderqvist (Sweden)
17 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 4.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan FK Shakhtar Donetsk H 3–1 W
25 Jan SV Werder Bremen H 2–2 D
21 Jan Bologna FC 1909 A 1–2 L
17 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–2 L
14 Jan Holstein Kiel A 2–4 L
10 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan Borussia Dortmund A 1–3 L
22 Jan Stade Brestois 29 H 2–0 W
10 Dec FC Bayern München H 1–5 L
27 Nov PSV A 2–3 L
06 Nov BSC Young Boys H 2–1 W
22 Oct Arsenal FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

86% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 4 G 3 A
Karim Adeyemi 3 G 2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha 3 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.88 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 FK Shakhtar Donetsk xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund50% Draw24% FK Shakhtar Donetsk26%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
74%
Draw or FK Shakhtar Donetsk
50%
Borussia Dortmund or FK Shakhtar Donetsk
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund36% Draw42% FK Shakhtar Donetsk22%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.7%
1 – 2
6.6%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
5.4%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push FK Shakhtar Donetsk covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 21% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
26%
FK Shakhtar Donetsk keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.