Thursday , 2 July 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs FK Shakhtar Donetsk, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Wed 29 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sehrou Guirassy 17' 1–0
Sehrou Guirassy 44' 2–0
2–1 50' Marlon Gomes
Ramy Bensebaini 79' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs FK Shakhtar DonetskChampions League at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Glenn Nyberg
  • Assistant 1 Mahbod Beigi
  • Assistant 2 Andreas Soderqvist (Sweden)
16 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 4.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan FK Shakhtar Donetsk H 3–1 W
25 Jan SV Werder Bremen H 2–2 D
21 Jan Bologna FC 1909 A 1–2 L
17 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–2 L
14 Jan Holstein Kiel A 2–4 L
10 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan Borussia Dortmund A 1–3 L
22 Jan Stade Brestois 29 H 2–0 W
10 Dec FC Bayern München H 1–5 L
27 Nov PSV A 2–3 L
06 Nov BSC Young Boys H 2–1 W
22 Oct Arsenal FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

86% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Signal Iduna Park that hosts another battle between Borussia Dortmund and FK Shakhtar Donetsk.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Shakhtar Donetsk needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' Pedrinho has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 22 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' Ramy Bensebaini needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 59 Yellow cards this season.
  • 17' Goal! Sehrou Guirassy scores his 126 goal in 398 matches.
  • 22' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Valerii Bondar suffering a number of foals already.
  • 25' It’s gonna be a card for Kevin Santos.
  • 27' Maximilian Beier was booked on 27.
  • 32' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 37' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gregor Kobel made 407 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 42' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 44' Goal! Sehrou Guirassy scores his 126 goal in 398 matches.
  • 46' Pascal Gross has so much to prove this time. He replaces Maximilian Beier on 46 minute.
  • 50' GOAL! Marlon Gomes scores on 50.
  • 54' It is a substitution in Borussia Dortmund team. Julian Brandt is replaced by Julien Duranville on 54 minute.
  • 58' It’s a booking for FK Shakhtar Donetsk player. Marlon Gomes gets a card.
  • 63' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Borussia Dortmund that had 521 games and scored 798 goals.
  • 64' Another change for Borussia Dortmund made on 64 minute. Karim Adeyemi leaves to be changed by Gio Reyna.
  • 69' It’s high time Marino Pusic made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 72' Time for substitution for FK Shakhtar Donetsk. Irakli Azarov is replaced by Pedrinho.
  • 77' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 79' What a strike from Ramy Bensebaini! The score is 3-1.
  • 83' FK Shakhtar Donetsk manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Newerton is hanging Pedrinho on the field on 83 minute.
  • 84' Artem Bondarenko is replacing Marlon Gomes for the FK Shakhtar Donetsk side.
  • 85' Yan Couto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jamie Bynoe-Gittens on 85 minute.
  • 89' It is a substitution in FK Shakhtar Donetsk team. Dmytro Kryskiv is replaced by Taras Stepanenko on 89 minute.
  • The final score is 3-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.88 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 FK Shakhtar Donetsk xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund50% Draw24% FK Shakhtar Donetsk26%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
74%
Draw or FK Shakhtar Donetsk
50%
Borussia Dortmund or FK Shakhtar Donetsk
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund36% Draw42% FK Shakhtar Donetsk22%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.7%
1 – 2
6.6%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
5.4%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push FK Shakhtar Donetsk covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 21% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
26%
FK Shakhtar Donetsk keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.