Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Borussia Dortmund 4 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Martin Petersen
- Assistant 1 Alexander Sather
- Assistant 2 Robert Wessel
3 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 26.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan | Borussia Dortmund | H | 4–2 | W |
| 11 Jan | SC Freiburg | A | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Dec | FC Augsburg | H | 5–1 | W |
| 14 Dec | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 1–4 | L |
| 07 Dec | RB Leipzig | H | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Nov | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–4 | L |
| 10 Jan | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Dec | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Dec | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Dec | FC Barcelona | H | 2–3 | L |
| 07 Dec | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
75%
Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
Borussia Dortmund this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Borussia Dortmund
| Sehrou Guirassy | 2 G | 2 A |
| Felix Kalu Nmecha | 2 G | |
| Fabio Silva | 2 G | |
| Ioannis Konstantelias | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Holstein Kiel welcome Borussia Dortmund for this crunch clash at Holstein-Stadion.
- 5' Emre Can is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Borussia Dortmund tonight.
- 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Holstein Kiel and Borussia Dortmund are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 15' Borussia Dortmund have won 813 goals from 527 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Nuri Sahin might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nico Schlotterbeck, as he is very good at scoring at Holstein-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 27' Shuto Machino makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Holstein Kiel are in front.
- 32' Brilliant from the forward! Phil Harres makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 32.
- 37' Holstein Kiel are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 42' Julien Duranville picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 46' Borussia Dortmund make a change. Julian Ryerson trudges off to be replaced by Maximilian Beier on 46 minutes.
- 49' Alexander Bernhardsson has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
- 54' It’s high time Marcel Rapp made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 59' The Borussia Dortmund manager makes a substitution. Marcel Sabitzer departs to be replaced by Gio Reyna.
- 64' Borussia Dortmund seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 68' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Alexander Bernhardsson by Armin Gigovic on 68 minute.
- 71' A stunning finish from Gio Reyna — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 76' A tactical swap from Holstein Kiel — Jann-Fiete Arp on, Phil Harres off on 76 minutes.
- 77' Brilliant from the ! Jamie Bynoe-Gittens makes it 3-2 with a superb finish on 77.
- 81' Finn Porath has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 81.
- 85' Holstein Kiel make a change. Finn Porath trudges off to be replaced by Dominik Javorcek on 85 minutes.
- 86' Lewis Holtby has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 86.
- Borussia Dortmund will have plenty to reflect on. Holstein Kiel were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
18
Shuto Machino ↓ Lewis Holtby 76'
- 1
- 24
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Dominik Javorcek 85'
- 17
-
3
Marco Komenda ↓ Max Geschwill 76'
- 22
-
19
Phil Harres ↓ Jann-Fiete Arp 76'
- 23
- 11
- 26
Bench
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↑ 76'
-
20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↑ 76'
- 9
- 21
-
33
Dominik Javorcek ↑ 85'
-
37
Armin Gigovic ↑ 68'
-
14
Max Geschwill ↑ 76'
- 6
- 16
Coach
Marcel Rapp
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 10
- 1
-
20
Marcel Sabitzer ↓ Gio Reyna 59'
- 9
- 26
- 23
- 8
- 4
- 43
-
16
Julien Duranville ↓ Yan Couto 59'
Bench
-
3
Waldemar Anton ↑ 46'
- 33
-
14
Maximilian Beier ↑ 46'
-
7
Gio Reyna ↑ 59'
-
2
Yan Couto ↑ 59'
- 49
- 38
- 42
- 37
Coach
Nuri Sahin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gio Reyna | 4 |
| Jude Bellingham | 2 |
| Sehrou Guirassy | 1 |
| Marco Reus | 1 |
| Felix Kalu Nmecha | 1 |
| Thorgan Hazard | 1 |
| Jamie Bynoe-Gittens | 1 |
| Jann-Fiete Arp | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
Borussia Dortmund Form
2025-01-14
Holstein Kiel
4–2
Borussia Dortmund
L
2025-01-10
Borussia Dortmund
2–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2024-12-22
VfL Wolfsburg
1–3
Borussia Dortmund
W
2024-12-15
Borussia Dortmund
1–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2024-12-11
Borussia Dortmund
2–3
FC Barcelona
L
2024-12-07
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1–1
Borussia Dortmund
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.96
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84
Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for:
Holstein Kiel or Borussia Dortmund 77% + Over 2.5 goals 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
68%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
56%
Holstein Kiel or Borussia Dortmund
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Holstein Kiel win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–2 not predicted4 – 2Actual
1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
4.4%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.9%
0 – 1
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | Borussia Dortmund covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 18% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 17% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.