Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
- Borussia Dortmund 34 games · 73 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Martin Petersen
- Assistant 1 Alexander Sather
- Assistant 2 Robert Wessel
15 games this season
🟨 0.9/game
⚽ 8.1 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan | Borussia Dortmund | H | 4–2 | W |
| 11 Jan | SC Freiburg | A | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Dec | FC Augsburg | H | 5–1 | W |
| 14 Dec | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 1–4 | L |
| 07 Dec | RB Leipzig | H | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Nov | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–4 | L |
| 10 Jan | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Dec | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Dec | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Dec | FC Barcelona | H | 2–3 | L |
| 07 Dec | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
44%
Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
Borussia Dortmund this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Holstein Kiel and Borussia Dortmund is underway.
- 5' The travelling Borussia Dortmund supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 15' Borussia Dortmund seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Borussia Dortmund is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 27' What a strike from Shuto Machino! The score is 1-0.
- 32' GOAL! Phil Harres scores on 32. Assisted by Lasse Rosenboom
- 37' Holstein Kiel is showing some good football. However, Holstein Kiel are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 42' Borussia Dortmund receives a card for a hard tackle on 42.
- 46' Borussia Dortmund manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Maximilian Beier is hanging Julian Ryerson on the field on 46 minute.
- 49' What a strike from Alexander Bernhardsson! The score is 3-0.
- 54' It’s high time Marcel Rapp made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 59' Gio Reyna has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marcel Sabitzer on 59 minute.
- 64' Magnus Knudsen has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 68' Armin Gigovic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alexander Bernhardsson on 68 minute.
- 71' What a strike from Gio Reyna! The score is 3-1.
- 76' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. Phil Harres departs to be replaced by Jann-Fiete Arp.
- 77' GOAL! Jamie Bynoe-Gittens scores on 77. Assisted by Maximilian Beier
- 81' Holstein Kiel receives a card for a hard tackle on 81.
- 85' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dominik Javorcek is hanging Finn Porath on the field on 85 minute.
- 86' It’s gonna be a card for Lewis Holtby.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Holstein Kiel players.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
18
Shuto Machino ↓ Lewis Holtby 76'
- 1
- 24
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Dominik Javorcek 85'
- 17
-
3
Marco Komenda ↓ Max Geschwill 76'
- 22
-
19
Phil Harres ↓ Jann-Fiete Arp 76'
- 23
- 11
- 26
Bench
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↑ 76'
-
20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↑ 76'
- 9
- 21
-
33
Dominik Javorcek ↑ 85'
-
37
Armin Gigovic ↑ 68'
-
14
Max Geschwill ↑ 76'
- 6
- 16
Coach
Marcel Rapp
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 10
- 1
-
20
Marcel Sabitzer ↓ Gio Reyna 59'
- 9
- 26
- 23
- 8
- 4
- 43
-
16
Julien Duranville ↓ Yan Couto 59'
Bench
-
3
Waldemar Anton ↑ 46'
- 33
-
14
Maximilian Beier ↑ 46'
-
7
Gio Reyna ↑ 59'
-
2
Yan Couto ↑ 59'
- 49
- 38
- 42
- 37
Coach
Nuri Sahin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gio Reyna | 4 |
| Jude Bellingham | 2 |
| Marcel Sabitzer | 1 |
| Sehrou Guirassy | 1 |
| Marco Reus | 1 |
| Felix Kalu Nmecha | 1 |
| Thorgan Hazard | 1 |
| Jamie Bynoe-Gittens | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
Borussia Dortmund Form
2025-01-14
Holstein Kiel
4–2
Borussia Dortmund
L
2025-01-10
Borussia Dortmund
2–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2024-12-22
VfL Wolfsburg
1–3
Borussia Dortmund
W
2024-12-15
Borussia Dortmund
1–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2024-12-11
Borussia Dortmund
2–3
FC Barcelona
L
2024-12-07
Borussia Monchengladbach
1–1
Borussia Dortmund
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.96
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84
Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for:
Holstein Kiel or Borussia Dortmund 77% + Over 2.5 goals 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
68%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
56%
Holstein Kiel or Borussia Dortmund
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Holstein Kiel win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–2 not predicted4 – 2Actual
1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
4.4%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.9%
0 – 1
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | Borussia Dortmund covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 18% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 17% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.