Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Borussia Dortmund 9 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Martin Petersen
- Assistant 1 Alexander Sather
- Assistant 2 Robert Wessel
6 games this season
🟨 3.7/game
⚽ 16.2 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan | Borussia Dortmund | H | 4–2 | W |
| 11 Jan | SC Freiburg | A | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Dec | FC Augsburg | H | 5–1 | W |
| 14 Dec | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 1–4 | L |
| 07 Dec | RB Leipzig | H | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Nov | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–4 | L |
| 10 Jan | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Dec | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Dec | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Dec | FC Barcelona | H | 2–3 | L |
| 07 Dec | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
56%
Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
Borussia Dortmund this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Borussia Dortmund
| Felix Kalu Nmecha | 4 G | |
| Sehrou Guirassy | 3 G | 2 A |
| Fabio Silva | 3 G | 2 A |
| Maximilian Beier | 2 G | 2 A |
| Ioannis Konstantelias | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Holstein-Stadion that hosts another battle between Holstein Kiel and Borussia Dortmund.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Holstein-Stadion. Holstein Kiel seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 15' It’s high time Marcel Rapp made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. Holstein Kiel must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 27' The deadlock is broken! Shuto Machino gets on the scoresheet on 27 minutes.
- 32' Phil Harres doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 37' The travelling Borussia Dortmund supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 42' The referee has no hesitation. Julien Duranville is booked for Borussia Dortmund — card on 42.
- 46' Borussia Dortmund manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Maximilian Beier is hanging Julian Ryerson on the field on 46 minute.
- 49' Against the run of play, Alexander Bernhardsson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 54' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jamie Bynoe-Gittens suffering a number of foals already.
- 59' The Borussia Dortmund bench stirs into life. Marcel Sabitzer is withdrawn and Gio Reyna gets his opportunity.
- 64' Marco Komenda has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 68' Fresh legs for Holstein Kiel! Armin Gigovic comes on to replace Alexander Bernhardsson.
- 71' Gio Reyna does the damage! The net is bulging and Borussia Dortmund surge ahead!
- 76' A change in the Holstein Kiel ranks — Phil Harres exits the field as Jann-Fiete Arp enters on 76.
- 77' Assisted by Maximilian Beier with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jamie Bynoe-Gittens makes no mistake. 3-2!
- 81' The referee has no hesitation. Finn Porath is booked for Holstein Kiel — card on 81.
- 85' It is a substitution in Holstein Kiel team. Finn Porath is replaced by Dominik Javorcek on 85 minute.
- 86' It’s a booking for Holstein Kiel player. Lewis Holtby gets a card.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Borussia Dortmund.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
18
Shuto Machino ↓ Lewis Holtby 76'
- 1
- 24
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Dominik Javorcek 85'
- 17
-
3
Marco Komenda ↓ Max Geschwill 76'
- 22
-
19
Phil Harres ↓ Jann-Fiete Arp 76'
- 23
- 11
- 26
Bench
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↑ 76'
-
20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↑ 76'
- 9
- 21
-
33
Dominik Javorcek ↑ 85'
-
37
Armin Gigovic ↑ 68'
-
14
Max Geschwill ↑ 76'
- 6
- 16
Coach
Marcel Rapp
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 10
- 1
-
20
Marcel Sabitzer ↓ Gio Reyna 59'
- 9
- 26
- 23
- 8
- 4
- 43
-
16
Julien Duranville ↓ Yan Couto 59'
Bench
-
3
Waldemar Anton ↑ 46'
- 33
-
14
Maximilian Beier ↑ 46'
-
7
Gio Reyna ↑ 59'
-
2
Yan Couto ↑ 59'
- 49
- 38
- 42
- 37
Coach
Nuri Sahin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gio Reyna | 4 |
| Jude Bellingham | 2 |
| Marcel Sabitzer | 1 |
| Sehrou Guirassy | 1 |
| Marco Reus | 1 |
| Felix Kalu Nmecha | 1 |
| Thorgan Hazard | 1 |
| Jamie Bynoe-Gittens | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
Borussia Dortmund Form
2025-01-14
Holstein Kiel
4–2
Borussia Dortmund
L
2025-01-10
Borussia Dortmund
2–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2024-12-22
VfL Wolfsburg
1–3
Borussia Dortmund
W
2024-12-15
Borussia Dortmund
1–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2024-12-11
Borussia Dortmund
2–3
FC Barcelona
L
2024-12-07
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1–1
Borussia Dortmund
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.96
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84
Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for:
Holstein Kiel or Borussia Dortmund 77% + Over 2.5 goals 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
68%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
56%
Holstein Kiel or Borussia Dortmund
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Holstein Kiel win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–2 not predicted4 – 2Actual
1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
4.4%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.9%
0 – 1
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | Borussia Dortmund covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 18% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 17% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.