Thursday , 2 July 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 25 Jan 2025 · 14:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sehrou Guirassy 28' 1–0
Marco Friedl og 51' 2–0
2–2 72' Marvin Ducksch

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder BremenBundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Christian Dingert
  • Assistant 1 Benedikt Kempkes
  • Assistant 2 Nikolai Kimmeyer
14 games this season 🟨 0.5/game 3.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan SV Werder Bremen H 2–2 D
21 Jan Bologna FC 1909 A 1–2 L
17 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–2 L
14 Jan Holstein Kiel A 2–4 L
10 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–3 L
22 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Borussia Dortmund A 2–2 D
19 Jan FC Augsburg H 0–2 L
15 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 3–3 D
12 Jan RB Leipzig A 2–4 L
21 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin H 4–1 W
14 Dec FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–0 W

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund SV Werder Bremen
#2 Position #15
73 Points 32
34 Played 34
22 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 8 / 8 / 18
70 Scored 37
34 Conceded 60
+36 GD -23
2.15 PPG 0.94
65% Win % 24%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
18% Clean Sheets
SV Werder Bremen this season

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts). SV Werder Bremen are 15th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SV Werder Bremen
0-15
/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.24 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 SV Werder Bremen xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund58% Draw22% SV Werder Bremen20%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
80%
Draw or SV Werder Bremen
42%
Borussia Dortmund or SV Werder Bremen
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund45% Draw39% SV Werder Bremen16%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.5%
1 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
7%
3 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
4.8%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
4%
4 – 1
3.9%
4 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push SV Werder Bremen covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 18% 61%
-1.5 39% 61%
-1 39% 22% 39%
-0.5 61% 39%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
33%
SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.