Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs FK Shakhtar Donetsk, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Wed 29 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sehrou Guirassy 17' 1–0
Sehrou Guirassy 44' 2–0
2–1 50' Marlon Gomes
Ramy Bensebaini 79' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs FK Shakhtar Donetsk — Champions League at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Glenn Nyberg
  • Assistant 1 Mahbod Beigi
  • Assistant 2 Andreas Soderqvist (Sweden)
10 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 4.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan FK Shakhtar Donetsk H 3–1 W
25 Jan SV Werder Bremen H 2–2 D
21 Jan Bologna FC 1909 A 1–2 L
17 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–2 L
14 Jan Holstein Kiel A 2–4 L
10 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan Borussia Dortmund A 1–3 L
22 Jan Stade Brestois 29 H 2–0 W
10 Dec FC Bayern München H 1–5 L
27 Nov PSV A 2–3 L
06 Nov BSC Young Boys H 2–1 W
22 Oct Arsenal FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

86% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
0% Clean Sheets
FK Shakhtar Donetsk this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Shakhtar Donetsk
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 2 G
FK Shakhtar Donetsk
Gleiker Mendoza 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.88 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 FK Shakhtar Donetsk xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund50% Draw24% FK Shakhtar Donetsk26%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
74%
Draw or FK Shakhtar Donetsk
50%
Borussia Dortmund or FK Shakhtar Donetsk
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund36% Draw42% FK Shakhtar Donetsk22%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.7%
1 – 2
6.6%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
5.4%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push FK Shakhtar Donetsk covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 21% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
FK Shakhtar Donetsk keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.