Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2022-23

Borussia Dortmund

2 – 2

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sat 27 May 2023 · 13:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Raphael Guerreiro 40' Y

Y 71' Edimilson Fernandes

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Borussia Dortmund 34 games · 73 pts (2025/26)
1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Marco Fritz
Referee Dominik Schaal
Referee Justus Zorn
Referee Frank Willenborg
Referee Marcel Pelgrim
Referee Pascal Mueller

5 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

Borussia Dortmund 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2023-05-27 Borussia Dortmund 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-01-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–2 Borussia Dortmund 2022-03-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 Borussia Dortmund 2021-10-16 Borussia Dortmund 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2021-05-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 Borussia Dortmund

Recent Form

Borussia Dortmund

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 May	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	2–2	D
21 May	FC Augsburg	A	3–0	W
13 May	Borussia Monchengladbach	H	5–2	W
07 May	VfL Wolfsburg	H	6–0	W
28 Apr	VfL Bochum 1848	A	1–1	D
22 Apr	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	4–0	W

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 May	Borussia Dortmund	A	2–2	D
21 May	VfB Stuttgart	H	1–4	L
13 May	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	0–3	L
05 May	FC Schalke 04	H	2–3	L
30 Apr	VfL Wolfsburg	A	0–3	L
22 Apr	FC Bayern München	H	3–1	W

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund		1. FSV Mainz 05
#2	Position	#10
73	Points	40
34	Played	34
22 / 7 / 5	W / D / L	10 / 10 / 14
70	Scored	44
34	Conceded	53
+36	GD	-9
2.15	PPG	1.18
65%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund

0-15

2/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

3/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

5/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

4/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/1

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at Signal Iduna Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Borussia Dortmund and 1. FSV Mainz 05.
5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
10' Borussia Dortmund is showing some good football. However, Borussia Dortmund are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
15' What a strike from Andreas Hanche-Olsen! The score is 0-1.
20' Aaron Martin has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
24' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Karim Onisiwo makes no mistake. 0-2!
29' Karim Adeyemi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Borussia Dortmund tonight.
34' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
39' Borussia Dortmund are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against 1. FSV Mainz 05's shape.
40' A moment of madness from Raphael Guerreiro on 40 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Borussia Dortmund will be frustrated.
40' Borussia Dortmund ring the changes. Karim Adeyemi has done his job and it is now time for Marco Reus to step up.
45' Over 45 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
46' Borussia Dortmund make a change. Marius Wolf trudges off to be replaced by Youssoufa Moukoko on 46 minutes.
51' Borussia Dortmund has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
61' 1. FSV Mainz 05 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 61.
62' Julien Duranville is ready to make an impact after coming on for Julian Brandt at the 62 minute mark.
63' Borussia Dortmund make a change. Donyell Malen trudges off to be replaced by Gio Reyna on 63 minutes.
66' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Lee Jaesung is withdrawn and Marcus Ingvartsen gets his opportunity.
69' GOAL! Raphael Guerreiro scores on 69. Assisted by Gio Reyna
71' Controversy at the stadium! Edimilson Fernandes argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
76' Borussia Dortmund currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
80' Anthony Modeste has so much to prove this time. He replaces Julian Ryerson on 80 minute.
85' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bo Svensson might look to freshen things up shortly.
90' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Karim Onisiwo is replaced by Suliman Mustapha.
It finishes all square. Borussia Dortmund and 1. FSV Mainz 05 share the spoils 2-2.

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

Starting XI

21
Donyell Malen ↓ Gio Reyna 63'
15
Mats Hummels
25
Niklas Sule
19
Julian Brandt ↓ Julien Duranville 62'
13
Raphael Guerreiro
17
Marius Wolf ↓ Youssoufa Moukoko 46'
1
Gregor Kobel
9
Sebastien Haller
26
Julian Ryerson ↓ Anthony Modeste 80'
23
Emre Can
27
Karim Adeyemi ↓ Marco Reus 40'

Bench

Coach Edin Terzic

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Svensson

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Marco Reus	4
Jonathan Burkardt	3
Erling Haaland	3
Robin Quaison	3
Jae-sung Lee	3
Jadon Sancho	3
Maximilian Beier	2
Julian Brandt	2

Head to Head

Borussia Dortmund Form

2023-05-27 Borussia Dortmund 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2023-05-21 FC Augsburg 0–3 Borussia Dortmund W 2023-05-13 Borussia Dortmund 5–2 Borussia Monchengladbach W 2023-05-07 Borussia Dortmund 6–0 VfL Wolfsburg W 2023-04-28 VfL Bochum 1848 1–1 Borussia Dortmund D 2023-04-22 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 Eintracht Frankfurt W

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2023-05-27 Borussia Dortmund 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2023-05-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–4 VfB Stuttgart L 2023-05-13 Eintracht Frankfurt 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2023-05-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–3 FC Schalke 04 L 2023-04-30 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2023-04-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 FC Bayern München W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.63 Borussia Dortmund xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.92 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund to win 70% + Over 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Borussia Dortmund70% Draw18% 1. FSV Mainz 0512%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 3.55

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw

88%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

30%

Borussia Dortmund or 1. FSV Mainz 05

82%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Borussia Dortmund54% Draw36% 1. FSV Mainz 0510%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

10%

2 – 1

8.9%

3 – 0

8.5%

3 – 1

7.7%

1 – 1

7.7%

1 – 0

7.4%

4 – 0

5.5%

4 – 1

5.1%

0 – 0

4.1%

2 – 2

Actual

3 – 2

3.6%

1 – 2

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap	Borussia Dortmund covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	31%	—	69%
-2	31%	21%	48%
-1.5	52%	—	48%
-1	52%	21%	28%
-0.5	72%	—	28%
+0.5	90%	—	10%
+1	90%	7%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet

40% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.