Sunday , 16 August 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 27 May 2023 · 13:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Fritz
  • Referee Dominik Schaal
  • Referee Justus Zorn
  • Referee Frank Willenborg
  • Referee Marcel Pelgrim
  • Referee Pascal Mueller
5 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–2 D
21 May FC Augsburg A 3–0 W
13 May Borussia Mönchengladbach H 5–2 W
07 May VfL Wolfsburg H 6–0 W
28 Apr VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–1 D
22 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 May Borussia Dortmund A 2–2 D
21 May VfB Stuttgart H 1–4 L
13 May Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–3 L
05 May FC Schalke 04 H 2–3 L
30 Apr VfL Wolfsburg A 0–3 L
22 Apr FC Bayern München H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund 1. FSV Mainz 05
#8 Position #16
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.49 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.54 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund61% Draw26% 1. FSV Mainz 0513%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes33% 0% No67%
Avg goals/match: 2.03
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
87%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
39%
Borussia Dortmund or 1. FSV Mainz 05
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund39% Draw52% 1. FSV Mainz 059%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
18.7%
0 – 0
15.4%
2 – 0
14.1%
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
7.7%
3 – 0
6.9%
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
2.6%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 19% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 28% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 9% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
59%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.