Sunday , 16 August 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Tue 19 Dec 2023 · 19:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park 80,350 HT 45' · FT 45'
Julian Brandt 29' 1–0
1–1 43' Sepp van den Berg

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Fritz
  • Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
5 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D
16 Dec FC Augsburg A 1–1 D
13 Dec Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–1 D
09 Dec RB Leipzig H 2–3 L
06 Dec VfB Stuttgart A 0–2 L
03 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Dec Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
16 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–1 L
10 Dec 1. FC Köln A 0–0 D
03 Dec SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
26 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
11 Nov SV Darmstadt 98 A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund 1. FSV Mainz 05
#8 Position #16
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Signal Iduna Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. Borussia Dortmund in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 20' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Karim Onisiwo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' With 1 assists to his name this season, Philipp Mwene is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Borussia Dortmund.
  • 29' Julian Brandt is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the attacking midfielder.
  • 34' Dominik Kohr has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 39' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Stefan Bell.
  • 43' Sepp van den Berg is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 46' Borussia Dortmund manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Niklas Sule is hanging Mats Hummels on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 56' 1. FSV Mainz 05 come into this ranked 17 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 61' 1. FSV Mainz 05 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 63' Time for substitution for Borussia Dortmund. Jamie Bynoe-Gittens is replaced by Samuel Bamba.
  • 68' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 69' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Marco Richter has done his job and it is now time for Jonathan Burkardt to step up.
  • 72' Gio Reyna gets the nod from Borussia Dortmund. He replaces Nico Schlotterbeck and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 77' Both keepers have barely been tested. Borussia Dortmund and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 81' Fresh legs for Borussia Dortmund! Marius Wolf comes on to replace Thomas Meunier.
  • 85' Jonathan Burkardt picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 90' The whistle greets Karim Onisiwo as he departs to be replaced by Aymen Barkok.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Tom Krauss. He receives a Yellow card.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.65 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.54 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 87% + Under — clean sheet likely 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund37% Draw40% 1. FSV Mainz 0523%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes22% 0% No78%
Avg goals/match: 1.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 67%
33%
± 1.5 34%
66%
± 2.5 13%
87%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
76%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
63%
Borussia Dortmund or 1. FSV Mainz 05
60%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund18% Draw69% 1. FSV Mainz 0513%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
33.3%
1 – 0
18.1%
0 – 1
14.5%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 2
3.9%
2 – 1
3.7%
1 – 2
3%
3 – 0
1.3%
2 – 2
1.2%
3 – 1
0.8%
0 – 3
0.7%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 22% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 18% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
59%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
52%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.