Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Tue 19 Dec 2023 · 19:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park 80,350 HT 45' · FT 45'
Julian Brandt 29' 1–0
1–1 43' Sepp van den Berg

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Fritz
  • Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
5 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D
16 Dec FC Augsburg A 1–1 D
13 Dec Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–1 D
09 Dec RB Leipzig H 2–3 L
06 Dec VfB Stuttgart A 0–2 L
03 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Dec Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
16 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–1 L
10 Dec 1. FC Köln A 0–0 D
03 Dec SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
26 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
11 Nov SV Darmstadt 98 A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund 1. FSV Mainz 05
#1 Position #6
12 Points 7
4 Played 4
4 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
9 Scored 10
2 Conceded 6
+7 GD +4
3.00 PPG 1.75
100% Win % 50%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 2 G 2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha 2 G
Fabio Silva 2 G
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G
1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.67 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund54% Draw26% 1. FSV Mainz 0520%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
80%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
46%
Borussia Dortmund or 1. FSV Mainz 05
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund38% Draw47% 1. FSV Mainz 0515%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.5%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
10.9%
0 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
6%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 24% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
43% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.