Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2021-22

Borussia Dortmund

3 – 1

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sat 16 Oct 2021 · 13:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Nico Schulz 13' Y

Manuel Akanji 35' Y

Y 50' Stefan Bell

Y 53' Bo Svensson

Y 64' Marcus Ingvartsen

Y 71' Niklas Tauer

Y 89' Moussa Niakhate

Y 90' Moussa Niakhate

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Borussia Dortmund 34 games · 73 pts (2025/26)
1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Patrick Ittrich
Referee Daniel Schlager
Referee Sven Waschitzki
Referee Markus Wollenweber
Referee Arno Blos
Referee Matthias Jollenbeck

16 games this season 🟨 0.8/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

Borussia Dortmund 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2021-10-16 Borussia Dortmund 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2021-05-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 Borussia Dortmund 2021-01-16 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2020-06-17 Borussia Dortmund 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2019-12-14 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–4 Borussia Dortmund

Recent Form

Borussia Dortmund

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Oct	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	3–1	W
02 Oct	FC Augsburg	H	2–1	W
28 Sep	Sporting Clube de Portugal	H	1–0	W
25 Sep	Borussia Monchengladbach	A	0–1	L
19 Sep	1. FC Union Berlin	H	4–2	W
15 Sep	Besiktas JK	A	2–1	W

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Oct	Borussia Dortmund	A	1–3	L
03 Oct	1. FC Union Berlin	H	1–2	L
25 Sep	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	0–1	L
18 Sep	SC Freiburg	H	0–0	D
11 Sep	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	2–0	W
28 Aug	SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903	H	3–0	W

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund		1. FSV Mainz 05
#2	Position	#10
73	Points	40
34	Played	34
22 / 7 / 5	W / D / L	10 / 10 / 14
70	Scored	44
34	Conceded	53
+36	GD	-9
2.15	PPG	1.18
65%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund

0-15

2/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

3/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

5/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

4/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/1

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Borussia Dortmund to score. At the same time, 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
3' Goal! Marco Reus scores his 96 goal in 521 matches.
8' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
13' The referee has no hesitation. Nico Schulz is booked for Borussia Dortmund — Yellow card on 13.
18' Lee Jaesung has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
23' Aaron Martin, a Spain , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
28' Gregor Kobel is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Borussia Dortmund so far.
33' It looks like no one’s ball. Borussia Dortmund is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
35' Manuel Akanji picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
40' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is showing some good football. However, 1. FSV Mainz 05 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marco Rose will be considering his options from the bench.
46' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Anderson Lucoqui is replaced by Aaron Martin.
50' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a Yellow card on 50.
53' Bo Svensson was booked on 53.
54' What composure from Erling Haaland! The Norway international strokes it home. 2-0.
59' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
64' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Marcus Ingvartsen.
66' Thorgan Hazard is replacing Donyell Malen for the Borussia Dortmund side.
67' Another substitution for Borussia Dortmund to replace Donyell Malen by Thorgan Hazard on 67 minute.
69' Jonathan Burkardt gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Stefan Bell and will look to change the dynamic.
71' Niklas Tauer catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 71.
76' Borussia Dortmund has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
78' Borussia Dortmund ring the changes. Julian Brandt has done his job and it is now time for Marius Wolf to step up.
83' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Anton Stach departs to be replaced by Matondo-Merveille Papela.
85' Another substitution for Borussia Dortmund to replace Emre Can by Axel Witsel on 85 minute.
87' What a moment for Jonathan Burkardt! That strike on 87 puts his side firmly in control.
89' Moussa Niakhate was booked on 89.
90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Moussa Niakhate on 90.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

30
Felix Passlack
35
Marwin Hitz
28
Axel Witsel ↑ 85'
39
Marius Wolf ↑ 78'
10
Thorgan Hazard ↑ 66'
34
Marin Pongracic ↑ 67'
20
Reinier ↑ 85'
36
Ansgar Knauff

Coach Marco Rose

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Starting XI

27
Robin Zentner
16
Stefan Bell ↓ Jonathan Burkardt 69'
9
Karim Onisiwo
5
Jean-Paul Boetius
19
Moussa Niakhate
8
Leandro Barreiro Martins ↓ Lee Jaesung 69'
23
Anderson Lucoqui ↓ Aaron Martin 46'
30
Silvan Widmer
11
Marcus Ingvartsen ↓ Alexander Hack 69'
6
Anton Stach ↓ Matondo-Merveille Papela 83'
25
Niklas Tauer

Bench

Coach Bo Svensson

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Marco Reus	4
Jonathan Burkardt	3
Erling Haaland	3
Robin Quaison	3
Jae-sung Lee	3
Jadon Sancho	3
Julian Brandt	2
Raphael Guerreiro	2

Head to Head

Borussia Dortmund Form

2021-10-16 Borussia Dortmund 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2021-10-02 Borussia Dortmund 2–1 FC Augsburg W 2021-09-28 Borussia Dortmund 1–0 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2021-09-25 Borussia Monchengladbach 1–0 Borussia Dortmund L 2021-09-19 Borussia Dortmund 4–2 1. FC Union Berlin W 2021-09-15 Besiktas JK 1–2 Borussia Dortmund W

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2021-10-16 Borussia Dortmund 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2021-10-03 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–2 1. FC Union Berlin L 2021-09-25 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2021-09-18 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 SC Freiburg D 2021-09-11 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2021-08-28 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–0 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.23 Borussia Dortmund xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.88 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Borussia Dortmund65% Draw21% 1. FSV Mainz 0514%

Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 3.11

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	37%	63%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw

86%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

35%

Borussia Dortmund or 1. FSV Mainz 05

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Borussia Dortmund48% Draw40% 1. FSV Mainz 0512%

Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

11%

1 – 1

9.5%

1 – 0

9.5%

2 – 1

9.4%

3 – 0

3 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

4 – 0

4.4%

2 – 2

4.1%

4 – 1

1 – 2

3.7%

0 – 1

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap	Borussia Dortmund covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	24%	—	76%
-2	24%	20%	56%
-1.5	44%	—	56%
-1	44%	23%	33%
-0.5	67%	—	33%
+0.5	87%	—	13%
+1	87%	8%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet

42% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.