Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2020-21
Sun 16 May 2021 · 16:00 UTC Opel Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at Opel Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Christian Gittelmann
  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Referee Alexander Sather
  • Referee Robert Kempter
  • Referee Christian Leicher
  • Referee Benjamin Brand

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May Borussia Dortmund H 1–3 L
09 May Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–1 D
03 May Hertha BSC H 1–1 D
24 Apr FC Bayern München H 2–1 W
21 Apr SV Werder Bremen A 1–0 W
11 Apr 1. FC Koln A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–1 W
13 May RB Leipzig A 4–1 W
08 May RB Leipzig H 3–2 W
01 May Holstein Kiel H 5–0 W
24 Apr VfL Wolfsburg A 2–0 W
21 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin H 2–0 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 Borussia Dortmund
#10 Position #2
40 Points 73
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 5
44 Scored 70
53 Conceded 34
-9 GD +36
1.18 PPG 2.15
29% Win % 65%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! 1. FSV Mainz 05 welcome Borussia Dortmund for this crunch clash at Opel Arena.
  • 5' Borussia Dortmund fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' It’s high time Bo Svensson made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Borussia Dortmund's shape.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Manuel Akanji suffering a number of foals already.
  • 23' Raphael Guerreiro puts Borussia Dortmund on the lead.
  • 28' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 28 minutes.
  • 33' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 38' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 42' Brilliant from the ! Marco Reus makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 42.
  • 43' Brilliant from the ! Marco Reus makes it 0-3 with a superb finish on 43.
  • 46' Danny da Costa makes way for Edimilson Fernandes at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 51' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Borussia Dortmund backline.
  • 56' Mahmoud Dahoud has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 521 appearances.
  • 61' Nico Schulz is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FSV Mainz 05 so far.
  • 66' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 71' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 72' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Jean-Paul Boetius departs to be replaced by Kevin Stoger.
  • 76' Julian Brandt is replacing Gio Reyna for the Borussia Dortmund side.
  • 80' Julian Brandt adds to his 1 season tally! Borussia Dortmund lead 0-4 — and this changes everything.
  • 84' Borussia Dortmund manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Thorgan Hazard is hanging Marco Reus on the field on 84 minute.
  • 85' Another substitution for Borussia Dortmund to replace Jadon Sancho by Reinier on 85 minute.
  • 87' Thomas Delaney is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jude Bellingham at the 87 minute mark.
  • With this win, Borussia Dortmund is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.99 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.15 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Borussia Dortmund to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0521% Draw24% Borussia Dortmund55%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
44%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
79%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0514% Draw41% Borussia Dortmund45%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
0 – 2
9.9%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 1
8.8%
0 – 3
6.9%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
4.7%
2 – 1
4.4%
0 – 4
3.7%
1 – 4
3.7%
1 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 10% 84%
-0.5 16% 84%
+0.5 38% 62%
+1 38% 23% 40%
+1.5 60% 40%
+2 60% 19% 21%
+2.5 79% 21%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
13%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
38%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.