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1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2019-20
Sat 14 Dec 2019 · 14:30 UTC Opel Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at Opel Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Cortus
  • Referee Florian Heft
  • Referee Robert Wessel
  • Referee Mike Pickel
  • Referee Benjamin Brand

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec Borussia Dortmund H 0–4 L
07 Dec FC Augsburg A 1–2 L
02 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W
24 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 5–1 W
09 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin H 2–3 L
02 Nov RB Leipzig A 0–8 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–0 W
10 Dec SK Slavia Praha H 2–1 W
07 Dec TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf H 5–0 W
30 Nov Hertha BSC A 2–1 W
27 Nov FC Barcelona A 1–3 L
22 Nov SC Paderborn 07 H 3–3 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 Borussia Dortmund
#16 Position #8
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Opel Arena. Ninety minutes of football awaits between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Borussia Dortmund needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' Aaron Martin is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FSV Mainz 05 tonight.
  • 23' The referee has no hesitation. Jerry St. Juste is booked for 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Yellow card on 23.
  • 28' Mats Hummels is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Borussia Dortmund so far.
  • 32' What a moment for Marco Reus! That strike on 32 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 37' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Julian Brandt suffering a number of foals already.
  • 42' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ridle Baku, as he is very good at scoring at Opel Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 47' Borussia Dortmund started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 47.
  • 52' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 57' Borussia Dortmund come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 62' Belgium international Thorgan Hazard has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 66' A stunning finish from Jadon Sancho — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 69' The deadlock is broken! Thorgan Hazard gets on the scoresheet on 69 minutes.
  • 73' BV Borussia 09 Dortmund ring the changes. Marco Reus has done his job and it is now time for Mario Gotze to step up.
  • 76' Alexandru Maxim is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jean-Paul Boetius at the 76 minute mark.
  • 80' Fresh legs for BV Borussia 09 Dortmund! Mahmoud Dahoud comes on to replace Julian Brandt.
  • 81' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Adam Szalai exits the field as Jean-Philippe Mateta enters on 81.
  • 84' Goal! Nico Schulz scores his 5 goal in 407 matches.
  • 85' The whistle greets Jadon Sancho as he departs to be replaced by Paco Alcacer.
  • 86' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Pierre Kunde is replaced by Daniel Brosinski.
  • The points are shared — 1. FSV Mainz 05 0-4 Borussia Dortmund. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.48 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0516% Draw29% Borussia Dortmund55%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes30% 0% No70%
Avg goals/match: 1.89
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
45%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
84%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 058% Draw54% Borussia Dortmund38%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
20.3%
0 – 0
17.4%
0 – 2
14.4%
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
7.2%
0 – 3
6.6%
1 – 0
6.1%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 4
Actual
2 – 1
2.3%
2 – 2
1.8%
2 – 0
1.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 2% 98%
-1.5 2% 98%
-1 2% 9% 89%
-0.5 11% 89%
+0.5 41% 59%
+1 41% 29% 30%
+1.5 70% 30%
+2 70% 18% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
25%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
62%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.