Turkey vs Italy, European Championship 2021 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Turkey vs Italy — European Championship at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.
Match Details
- Referee Pol van Boekel
- Referee Hessel Steegstra
- Referee Jan de Vries
- Referee Danny Makkelie
- Referee Kevin Blom
- Referee Stephanie Frappart
4 games this season
🟨 1.8/game
⚽ 5.8 goals/game
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Turkey this season
Turkey this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Italy this season
Italy this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Turkey
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/3
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Turkey
| Merih Demiral | 2 G | |
| Arda Guler | 1 G | 2 A |
| Mert Muldur | 1 G | |
| Muhammed Kerem Akturkoglu | 1 G |
Italy
| Nicolo Barella | 1 G |
| Alessandro Bastoni | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Turkey is hosting Italy for another epic battle.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alessandro Florenzi, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Olimpico, Rome with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Senol Gunes will be considering his options from the bench.
- 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Roberto Mancini might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 20' It is a cagey affair so far. Turkey in their trying to find a way past Italy's compact .
- 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 35' Italy seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 45' Turkey are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Italy's shape.
- 46' Turkey manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Cengiz Under is hanging Yusuf Yazici on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' Domenico Berardi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 45 Yellow cards this season.
- 53' What composure from Merih Demiral! The Turkey international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 58' The 36-year-old Ciro Immobile has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 63' Turkey is showing some good football. However, Turkey are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 64' It is a substitution in Turkey team. Ozan Tufan is replaced by Kaan Ayhan on 64 minute.
- 65' Another change for Turkey made on 65 minute. Ozan Tufan leaves to be changed by Kaan Ayhan.
- 66' What a moment for Ciro Immobile! That strike on 66 puts his side firmly in control.
- 71' Giovanni Di Lorenzo, a Italy , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 74' Italy make a change. Manuel Locatelli trudges off to be replaced by Bryan Cristante on 74 minutes.
- 76' Another change for Turkey made on 76 minute. Kenan Karaman leaves to be changed by Halil Dervisoglu.
- 79' What composure from Lorenzo Insigne! The Italy international strokes it home. 0-3.
- 81' Italy manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Federico Chiesa is hanging Lorenzo Insigne on the field on 81 minute.
- 85' Italy ring the changes. Domenico Berardi has done his job and it is now time for Federico Bernardeschi to step up.
- 88' The referee has no hesitation. Caglar Soyuncu is booked for Turkey — Yellow card on 88.
- 90' It’s a booking for Turkey player. Halil Dervisoglu gets a Yellow card.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-3 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Turkey Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Ozan Tufan ↓ Kaan Ayhan 64'
- 13
- 4
- 2
- 9
- 5
- 10
- 23
-
11
Yusuf Yazici ↓ Cengiz Under 46'
- 17
- 3
Bench
- 19
-
22
Kaan Ayhan ↑ 64'
-
7
Cengiz Under ↑ 46'
- 16
- 8
- 15
- 25
-
21
Irfan Can Kahveci ↑ 65'
- 1
-
26
Halil Dervisoglu ↑ 76'
- 12
- 14
Coach
Senol Gunes
Italy Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 19
- 3
- 18
- 10
- 4
- 24
- 21
-
17
Ciro Immobile ↓ Andrea Belotti 81'
- 5
- 11
Bench
- 13
-
20
Federico Bernardeschi ↑ 85'
- 26
- 12
-
16
Bryan Cristante ↑ 74'
- 1
-
9
Andrea Belotti ↑ 81'
-
14
Federico Chiesa ↑ 81'
- 15
- 23
-
2
Giovanni Di Lorenzo ↑ 46'
- 22
Coach
Roberto Mancini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lorenzo Insigne | 1 |
| Ciro Immobile | 1 |
| Merih Demiral | 1 |
Turkey Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.07
Turkey xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.58
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Turkey or Draw
54%
Draw or Italy
74%
Turkey or Italy
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 1
10.2%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 0
9%
0 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
4.8%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Turkey
| Handicap | Turkey covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 15% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 22% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Turkey keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.