Turkey vs Italy, European Championship 2021 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Turkey vs Italy — European Championship at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.
Match Details
- Referee Pol van Boekel
- Referee Hessel Steegstra
- Referee Jan de Vries
- Referee Danny Makkelie
- Referee Kevin Blom
- Referee Stephanie Frappart
4 games this season
🟨 1.8/game
⚽ 5.8 goals/game
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Turkey this season
Turkey this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Italy this season
Italy this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Turkey
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/3
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Turkey
| Merih Demiral | 2 G | |
| Arda Guler | 1 G | 2 A |
| Mert Muldur | 1 G | |
| Muhammed Kerem Akturkoglu | 1 G |
Italy
| Nicolo Barella | 1 G |
| Alessandro Bastoni | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Stadio Olimpico, Rome that hosts another battle between Turkey and Italy.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' It looks surprising Turkey does not make any changes. Leonardo Bonucci has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Roberto Mancini will be considering his options from the bench.
- 30' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
- 40' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 45' Zeki Celik has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
- 46' Cengiz Under has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yusuf Yazici on 46 minute.
- 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 53' Magnificent from Merih Demiral! That is 9 goals in 392 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 58' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 63' The home supporters are growing impatient. Turkey must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 64' Fresh legs for Turkey! Kaan Ayhan comes on to replace Ozan Tufan.
- 65' The whistle greets Ozan Tufan as he departs to be replaced by Kaan Ayhan.
- 66' Against the run of play, Ciro Immobile has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 71' Manuel Locatelli needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 69 Yellow cards this season.
- 74' The supporters are chanting for Bryan Cristante. He replaces Manuel Locatelli on 74 minute.
- 76' Another change for Turkey made on 76 minute. Kenan Karaman leaves to be changed by Halil Dervisoglu.
- 79' Lorenzo Insigne is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the .
- 81' Lorenzo Insigne makes way for Federico Chiesa at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Italy.
- 85' Italy ring the changes. Domenico Berardi has done his job and it is now time for Federico Bernardeschi to step up.
- 88' Caglar Soyuncu was booked on 88.
- 90' Halil Dervisoglu catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 90.
- Another three points for Italy.
Lineups
Turkey Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Ozan Tufan ↓ Kaan Ayhan 64'
- 13
- 4
- 2
- 9
- 5
- 10
- 23
-
11
Yusuf Yazici ↓ Cengiz Under 46'
- 17
- 3
Bench
- 19
-
22
Kaan Ayhan ↑ 64'
-
7
Cengiz Under ↑ 46'
- 16
- 8
- 15
- 25
-
21
Irfan Can Kahveci ↑ 65'
- 1
-
26
Halil Dervisoglu ↑ 76'
- 12
- 14
Coach
Senol Gunes
Italy Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 19
- 3
- 18
- 10
- 4
- 24
- 21
-
17
Ciro Immobile ↓ Andrea Belotti 81'
- 5
- 11
Bench
- 13
-
20
Federico Bernardeschi ↑ 85'
- 26
- 12
-
16
Bryan Cristante ↑ 74'
- 1
-
9
Andrea Belotti ↑ 81'
-
14
Federico Chiesa ↑ 81'
- 15
- 23
-
2
Giovanni Di Lorenzo ↑ 46'
- 22
Coach
Roberto Mancini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lorenzo Insigne | 1 |
| Ciro Immobile | 1 |
| Merih Demiral | 1 |
Turkey Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.07
Turkey xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.58
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Turkey or Draw
54%
Draw or Italy
74%
Turkey or Italy
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 1
10.2%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 0
9%
0 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
4.8%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Turkey
| Handicap | Turkey covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 15% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 22% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Turkey keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.