Belgium vs Russia, European Championship 2021 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Belgium vs Russia — European Championship at Saint Petersburg Stadium.
Match Details
- Referee Fernando Rapallini
- Referee Joao Pedro Pinheiro
- Referee Alejandro Hernandez
- Referee Antonio Mateu
- Referee Pau Cebrian
- Referee Roberto Diaz
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Belgium this season
Belgium this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Belgium
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Saint Petersburg Stadium as Belgium face off against Russia in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Belgium is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' Brilliant from the forward! Romelu Lukaku makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 10.
- 15' Belgium international Yannick Carrasco has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 25' Magomed Ozdoev is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Belgium tonight.
- 27' Fresh legs for Belgium! Thomas Meunier comes on to replace Timothy Castagne.
- 30' A tactical swap from Russia — Denis Cheryshev on, Daler Kuzyaev off on 30 minutes.
- 34' What a strike from Thomas Meunier! The score is 2-0.
- 39' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Belgium side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 43' Russia ring the changes. Yurii Zhirkov has done his job and it is now time for Vyacheslav Karavaev to step up.
- 46' Another substitution for Russia to replace Dmitrii Barinov by Igor Diveev on 46 minute.
- 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 56' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 61' It looks surprising Russia does not make any changes. Aleksandr Golovin has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 63' Another substitution for Russia to replace Roman Zobnin by Maksim Mukhin on 63 minute.
- 68' With 0 assists to his name this season, Thibaut Courtois is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Belgium.
- 72' Time for substitution for Belgium. Dries Mertens is replaced by Eden Hazard.
- 76' Thomas Vermaelen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jan Vertonghen at the 76 minute mark.
- 77' A change in the Belgium ranks — Yannick Carrasco exits the field as Dennis Praet enters on 77.
- 82' Russia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 87' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Belgium needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 88' Goal! Romelu Lukaku scores his 160 goal in 420 matches.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Belgium take all three points.
Lineups
Belgium Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 2
- 9
- 19
- 8
- 16
- 1
-
14
Dries Mertens ↓ Eden Hazard 72'
- 21
- 4
-
11
Yannick Carrasco ↓ Dennis Praet 77'
Bench
- 12
- 20
-
10
Eden Hazard ↑ 72'
- 22
-
15
Thomas Meunier ↑ 27'
- 18
- 13
- 23
-
3
Thomas Vermaelen ↑ 77'
-
26
Dennis Praet ↑ 77'
- 24
- 25
Coach
Roberto Martínez
Russia Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 5
-
11
Roman Zobnin ↓ Maksim Mukhin 63'
-
23
Daler Kuzyaev ↓ Denis Cheryshev 30'
- 2
- 22
- 14
- 1
-
8
Dmitrii Barinov ↓ Igor Diveev 46'
- 18
- 7
Bench
-
4
Vyacheslav Karavaev ↑ 43'
-
6
Denis Cheryshev ↑ 30'
- 20
- 10
- 15
- 19
-
3
Igor Diveev ↑ 46'
- 12
- 24
- 9
- 16
-
26
Maksim Mukhin ↑ 63'
Coach
Stanislav Cherchesov
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.69
Belgium xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89
Russia xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Belgium win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Belgium or Draw
80%
Draw or Russia
45%
Belgium or Russia
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Belgium win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
11.9%
2 – 0
10.5%
0 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Belgium
| Handicap | Belgium covers | Push | Russia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 17% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 24% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Belgium keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Russia keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.