Italy vs Wales, European Championship 2021 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Italy vs Wales — European Championship at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.
Match Details
- Referee Francois Letexier
- Referee Ovidiu Hategan
- Referee Sebastian Gheorghe
- Referee
- Referee
- Referee Orel Grinfeld
18 games this season
🟨 4.1/game
⚽ 9.7 goals/game
🟥 4 total
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Italy this season
Italy this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Italy
| Nicolo Barella | 1 G |
| Alessandro Bastoni | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Italy vs Wales — let the football do the talking.
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' Wales started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' Chris Gunter has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Roberto Mancini will be considering his options from the bench.
- 25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 30' Dylan Levitt has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 35' David Brooks is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Italy so far.
- 39' Matteo Pessina makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Italy are in front.
- 44' The energy levels are beginning to show. Robert Page might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 46' The crowd applauds Leonardo Bonucci as he leaves the pitch. Francesco Acerbi steps in for Italy.
- 51' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Joe Allen.
- 56' Wales player sees a Red card in front of him.
- 60' The Wales bench stirs into life. Joe Morrell is withdrawn and Kieffer Moore gets his opportunity.
- 65' With 0 assists to his name this season, Neco Williams is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Wales.
- 70' It looks like no one’s ball. Wales is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 75' A change in the Wales ranks — Daniel James exits the field as Harry Wilson enters on 75.
- 79' Controversy at the stadium! Matteo Pessina argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 80' Matteo Pessina was booked on 80.
- 85' It looks surprising Wales does not make any changes. Daniel James has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 86' David Brooks is replacing Gareth Bale for the Wales side.
- 87' Matteo Pessina makes way for Gaetano Castrovilli at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Italy.
- 89' The Italy bench stirs into life. Gianluigi Donnarumma is withdrawn and Salvatore Sirigu gets his opportunity.
- 90' The Italy bench stirs into life. Gianluigi Donnarumma is withdrawn and Salvatore Sirigu gets his opportunity.
- With this win, Italy is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Jorginho ↓ Bryan Cristante 75'
- 13
- 6
- 19
- 20
- 25
- 12
- 21
- 9
- 14
- 23
Bench
-
7
Gaetano Castrovilli ↑ 87'
- 18
- 10
- 26
- 4
-
16
Bryan Cristante ↑ 75'
-
1
Salvatore Sirigu ↑ 89'
- 17
-
15
Francesco Acerbi ↑ 46'
- 5
- 2
-
22
Giacomo Raspadori ↑ 75'
Coach
Roberto Mancini
Wales Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 10
- 12
- 15
-
7
Joe Allen ↓ Dylan Levitt 86'
- 6
-
20
Daniel James ↓ Harry Wilson 75'
- 14
-
16
Joe Morrell ↓ Kieffer Moore 60'
-
11
Gareth Bale ↓ David Brooks 86'
-
3
Neco Williams ↓ Ben Davies 86'
Bench
- 17
- 18
- 1
-
19
David Brooks ↑ 86'
-
4
Ben Davies ↑ 86'
-
8
Harry Wilson ↑ 75'
- 21
-
13
Kieffer Moore ↑ 60'
- 22
- 9
- 5
-
23
Dylan Levitt ↑ 86'
Coach
Robert Page
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.37
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
Wales xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
78%
Draw or Wales
50%
Italy or Wales
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Italy win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
12.7%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
8%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.3%
3 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.9%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Wales covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 24% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 15% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Wales keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.