AFC Ajax vs FC Groningen, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs FC Groningen — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
- AFC Ajax 12 games · 25 pts (2026/27)
- FC Groningen 12 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Allard Lindhout
- Assistant 1 Rogier Honig
- Assistant 2 Dyon Fikkert
9 games this season
🟨 1.7/game
⚽ 6.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct | FC Groningen | H | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Oct | SK Slavia Praha | A | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Sep | RKC Waalwijk | A | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | Beşiktaş JK | H | 4–0 | W |
| 21 Sep | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Sep | Fortuna Sittard | H | 5–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct | AFC Ajax | A | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Sep | Go Ahead Eagles | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Sep | SC Heerenveen | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Aug | Almere City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | AZ | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| AFC Ajax | FC Groningen | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #9 |
| 25 | Points | 15 |
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 7 / 4 / 1 | W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 5 |
| 32 | Scored | 29 |
| 15 | Conceded | 28 |
| +17 | GD | +1 |
| 2.08 | PPG | 1.25 |
| 58% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
8%
Clean Sheets
FC Groningen this season
FC Groningen this season
AFC Ajax are 3rd (25 pts). FC Groningen are 9th (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Groningen
0-15
7/4
16-30
6/3
31-45
4/5
46-60
4/5
61-75
3/5
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 7 G | 1 A |
| Julian Brandt | 6 G | 2 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
FC Groningen
| Brynjolfur Darri Willumsson | 9 G | 1 A |
| Thom van Bergen | 8 G | 3 A |
| David van der Werff | 2 G | 3 A |
| Tygo Land | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and AFC Ajax launch into their encounter with FC Groningen.
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. AFC Ajax and FC Groningen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AFC Ajax and FC Groningen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 20' FC Groningen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 21' The deadlock is broken! Davy Klaassen gets on the scoresheet on 21 minutes.
- 26' Josip Sutalo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 31' The travelling FC Groningen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 36' FC Groningen come into this ranked 10 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 41' It looks surprising FC Groningen does not make any changes. Marco Rente has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 42' FC Groningen player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Luciano Valente. He replaces Stije Resink on 46 minute.
- 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Brian Brobbey, as he is very good at scoring at Johan Cruijff Arena with 24 goals in the last 19 games.
- 56' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 59' A tactical swap from AFC Ajax — Chuba Akpom on, Brian Brobbey off on 59 minutes.
- 64' FC Groningen fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 65' AFC Ajax receives a card for a hard tackle on 65.
- 69' A stunning finish from Jorg Schreuders — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 71' The referee has no hesitation. Tijmen Blokzijl is booked for FC Groningen — card on 71.
- 73' Poor challenge from Youri Baas. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 74' Davy Klaassen makes way for Jordan Henderson at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from AFC Ajax.
- 79' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Francesco Farioli will be considering his options from the bench.
- 80' The supporters are chanting for Finn Stam. He replaces Wouter Prins on 80 minute.
- 83' The referee calls foul for Mika Godts. He receives a card.
- 84' Another substitution for FC Groningen to replace Jorg Schreuders by Joey Pelupessy on 84 minute.
- 89' FC Groningen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. AFC Ajax take all three points.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 18
- 22
- 20
- 21
-
37
Josip Sutalo ↓ Wout Weghorst 84'
- 8
- 2
-
9
Brian Brobbey ↓ Chuba Akpom 59'
- 15
- 4
-
11
Mika Godts ↓ Anton Gaaei 84'
Bench
- 5
-
6
Jordan Henderson ↑ 74'
-
25
Wout Weghorst ↑ 84'
- 24
-
10
Chuba Akpom ↑ 59'
- 40
- 13
- 33
-
29
Christian Rasmussen ↑ 59'
- 49
-
3
Anton Gaaei ↑ 84'
- 50
Coach
Francesco Farioli
FC Groningen Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 7
- 5
- 1
- 29
-
6
Stije Resink ↓ Luciano Valente 46'
- 27
-
26
Thom van Bergen ↓ Thijs Oosting 80'
- 14
- 8
- 3
-
2
Wouter Prins ↓ Finn Stam 80'
Bench
-
4
Joey Pelupessy ↑ 84'
- 21
-
25
Thijs Oosting ↑ 80'
-
10
Luciano Valente ↑ 46'
- 24
- 11
- 23
- 36
- 67
-
22
Finn Stam ↑ 80'
Coach
Dick Lukkien
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Tadic | 4 |
| Klaas-Jan Huntelaar | 4 |
| Steven Bergwijn | 3 |
| Julian Brandt | 2 |
| Jorthy Mokio | 2 |
| Antony | 2 |
| Klaas-Jan Huntelaar | 2 |
| Wout Weghorst | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.51
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18
FC Groningen xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + AFC Ajax to win 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.69
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 4.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
90%
Draw or FC Groningen
24%
AFC Ajax or FC Groningen
86%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
6.8%
4 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
6.1%
4 – 0
5.8%
5 – 1
4.7%
1 – 1
4.5%
3 – 2
4.5%
5 – 0
4.1%
4 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.9%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | FC Groningen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| -2 | 43% | 19% | 38% |
| -1.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| -1 | 62% | 17% | 21% |
| -0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +0.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +1 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
FC Groningen keeps clean sheet
4%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

