Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Groningen vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
2 – 2
Full Time
Wed 14 May 2025 · 18:00 UTC Euroborg 22,525 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 27' Anton Gaaei
Thom van Bergen 52' 1–1
1–2 68' Wout Weghorst
Tijmen Blokzijl 90+10' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

FC Groningen vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Euroborg.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeroen Manschot
  • Assistant 1 Michael Osseweijer
  • Assistant 2 Kevin Bodde
4 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 24.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May AFC Ajax H 2–2 D
11 May AZ A 0–3 L
03 May RKC Waalwijk H 6–1 W
23 Apr Heracles Almelo H 4–1 W
13 Apr FC Utrecht A 1–3 L
05 Apr PSV H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May FC Groningen A 2–2 D
11 May NEC H 0–3 L
27 Apr Sparta Rotterdam H 1–1 D
20 Apr FC Utrecht A 0–4 L
13 Apr Willem II Tilburg A 2–1 W
06 Apr NAC Breda H 3–1 W

Season Stats

FC Groningen AFC Ajax
#8 Position #5
11 Points 14
7 Played 7
3 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 1
15 Scored 21
13 Conceded 9
+2 GD +12
1.57 PPG 2.00
43% Win % 57%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
FC Groningen this season
29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

FC Groningen are 8th (11 pts). AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Groningen
0-15
3/2
16-30
5/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.02 FC Groningen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.58 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Groningen32% Draw23% AFC Ajax45%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes79% 0% No21%
Avg goals/match: 4.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 66%
34%
± 4.5 48%
52%

Double Chance

FC Groningen or Draw
55%
Draw or AFC Ajax
68%
FC Groningen or AFC Ajax
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Groningen26% Draw35% AFC Ajax39%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
6%
1 – 3
5.6%
2 – 3
5.6%
2 – 1
5.3%
3 – 2
4.4%
3 – 3
3.8%
1 – 4
3.6%
2 – 4
3.6%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — FC Groningen

Handicap FC Groningen covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 9% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 14% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 18% 32%
+1.5 68% — 32%
+2 68% 14% 17%
+2.5 83% — 17%

Clean Sheet

FC Groningen keeps clean sheet
8% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.