FC Groningen vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Groningen vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Euroborg.
- FC Groningen 12 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- AFC Ajax 12 games · 25 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jeroen Manschot
- Assistant 1 Michael Osseweijer
- Assistant 2 Kevin Bodde
8 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 19.9 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May | AFC Ajax | H | 2–2 | D |
| 11 May | AZ | A | 0–3 | L |
| 03 May | RKC Waalwijk | H | 6–1 | W |
| 23 Apr | Heracles Almelo | H | 4–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | FC Utrecht | A | 1–3 | L |
| 05 Apr | PSV | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May | FC Groningen | A | 2–2 | D |
| 11 May | NEC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Apr | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | FC Utrecht | A | 0–4 | L |
| 13 Apr | Willem II Tilburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Apr | NAC Breda | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Groningen | AFC Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #3 |
| 15 | Points | 25 |
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 4 / 3 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 4 / 1 |
| 29 | Scored | 32 |
| 28 | Conceded | 15 |
| +1 | GD | +17 |
| 1.25 | PPG | 2.08 |
| 33% | Win % | 58% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
8%
Clean Sheets
FC Groningen this season
FC Groningen this season
25%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
FC Groningen are 9th (15 pts). AFC Ajax are 3rd (25 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Groningen
0-15
7/4
16-30
6/3
31-45
4/5
46-60
4/5
61-75
3/5
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Groningen
| Brynjolfur Darri Willumsson | 9 G | 1 A |
| Thom van Bergen | 8 G | 3 A |
| David van der Werff | 2 G | 3 A |
| Tygo Land | 2 G | 1 A |
AFC Ajax
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 7 G | 1 A |
| Julian Brandt | 6 G | 2 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: AFC Ajax gets underway.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Groningen that had 318 games and scored 268 goals.
- 10' The 23-year-old Youri Regeer has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 15' FC Groningen currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 20' A quiet spell here at Euroborg. FC Groningen seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 27' What a moment for Anton Gaaei! That strike on 27 puts his side firmly in control.
- 32' AFC Ajax have won 846 goals from 491 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 37' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 42' AFC Ajax fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 47' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 52' Thom van Bergen is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 7 goals this season for the .
- 55' That looks like a foul for a card for Leandro Bacuna.
- 56' AFC Ajax manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Wout Weghorst is hanging Brian Brobbey on the field on 56 minute.
- 61' AFC Ajax started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 61.
- 64' Steven Berghuis gets the nod from AFC Ajax. He replaces Bertrand Traore and will look to change the dynamic.
- 68' Wout Weghorst puts AFC Ajax on the lead.
- 72' Poor challenge from Jordan Henderson. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 73' Dave Kwakman makes way for Brynjolfur Darri Willumsson at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Groningen.
- 77' Youri Regeer is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mika Godts at the 77 minute mark.
- 80' Jorg Schreuders makes way for Mats Seuntjens at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Groningen.
- 81' FC Groningen player sees a card in front of him.
- 83' A moment of madness from Anton Gaaei on 83 minutes earns him a card. AFC Ajax will be frustrated.
- 86' Romano Postema is ready to make an impact after coming on for Leandro Bacuna at the 86 minute mark.
- 90' Luciano Valente is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- 2-2 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
FC Groningen Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
7
Leandro Bacuna ↓ Romano Postema 86'
- 5
- 1
- 6
- 10
- 26
- 14
- 4
- 3
- 16
-
2
Wouter Prins ↓ Marvin Peersman 73'
Bench
-
20
Mats Seuntjens ↑ 80'
- 21
- 9
-
29
Romano Postema ↑ 86'
- 25
- 27
- 24
- 11
-
43
Marvin Peersman ↑ 73'
- 18
- 22
- 46
Coach
Dick Lukkien
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 6
- 22
- 20
- 37
- 8
-
9
Brian Brobbey ↓ Wout Weghorst 56'
-
28
Kian Fitz-Jim ↓ Davy Klaassen 56'
- 4
-
11
Mika Godts ↓ Youri Regeer 77'
- 3
-
31
Jorthy Mokio ↓ Owen Wijndal 64'
Bench
-
18
Davy Klaassen ↑ 56'
-
5
Owen Wijndal ↑ 64'
-
23
Steven Berghuis ↑ 64'
-
25
Wout Weghorst ↑ 56'
- 24
- 12
- 13
-
44
Youri Regeer ↑ 77'
- 16
- 2
- 29
- 36
Coach
Francesco Farioli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Tadic | 4 |
| Klaas-Jan Huntelaar | 4 |
| Steven Bergwijn | 3 |
| Jorthy Mokio | 2 |
| Antony | 2 |
| Klaas-Jan Huntelaar | 2 |
| Wout Weghorst | 2 |
| Davy Klaassen | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Groningen Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.08
FC Groningen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.71
AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 81%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.79
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 3.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 4.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
Double Chance
FC Groningen or Draw
54%
Draw or AFC Ajax
69%
FC Groningen or AFC Ajax
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 3
5.7%
1 – 3
5.6%
1 – 1
5.4%
2 – 1
4.9%
3 – 2
4.4%
3 – 3
3.9%
2 – 4
3.9%
1 – 4
3.8%
3 – 1
3.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Groningen
| Handicap | FC Groningen covers | Push | AFC Ajax covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 9% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 14% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +1 | 49% | 18% | 33% |
| +1.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +2 | 67% | 15% | 19% |
| +2.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
Clean Sheet
FC Groningen keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

