Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AFC Ajax vs SC Heerenveen, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
1 – 1
Full Time
Sat 1 Nov 2025 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs SC Heerenveen — Eredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee J. van der Laan
4 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 16.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov SC Heerenveen H 1–1 D
26 Oct FC Twente '65 A 3–2 W
22 Oct Chelsea FC A 1–5 L
18 Oct AZ H 0–2 L
04 Oct Sparta Rotterdam A 3–3 D
30 Sep Olympique de Marseille A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov AFC Ajax A 1–1 D
24 Oct NAC Breda H 3–3 D
19 Oct Telstar 1963 A 3–2 W
04 Oct SBV Excelsior H 2–1 W
28 Sep FC Utrecht A 2–2 D
21 Sep NEC H 3–2 W

Season Stats

AFC Ajax SC Heerenveen
#5 Position #10
14 Points 9
7 Played 7
4 / 2 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 3 / 2
21 Scored 11
9 Conceded 9
+12 GD +2
2.00 PPG 1.29
57% Win % 29%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
43% Clean Sheets
SC Heerenveen this season

AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts). SC Heerenveen are 10th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Heerenveen
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SC Heerenveen
Jacob Trenskow 3 G 1 A
Maxence Rivera 2 G 1 A
Luca Oyen 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

SC Heerenveen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.91 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 SC Heerenveen xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax50% Draw25% SC Heerenveen25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
75%
Draw or SC Heerenveen
50%
AFC Ajax or SC Heerenveen
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax38% Draw42% SC Heerenveen20%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.9%
0 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.9%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push SC Heerenveen covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
SC Heerenveen keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.