1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at An der Alten Forsterei.
- 1. FC Union Berlin 34 games · 39 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Exner
- Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
- Assistant 2 Thomas Gorniak
17 games this season
🟨 1.2/game
⚽ 6.8 goals/game
🟥 3 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Jan | FC Augsburg | H | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Jan | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Dec | SV Werder Bremen | A | 1–4 | L |
| 06 Dec | VfB Stuttgart | A | 2–3 | L |
| 30 Nov | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Jan | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Jan | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Dec | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Dec | FC Bayern München | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Dec | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–4 | L |
Season Stats
| 1. FC Union Berlin | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #10 |
| 39 | Points | 40 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 9 / 15 | W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 14 |
| 44 | Scored | 44 |
| 58 | Conceded | 53 |
| -14 | GD | -9 |
| 1.15 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 29% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
79%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season
1. FC Union Berlin this season
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at An der Alten Forsterei. Ninety minutes of football awaits between 1. FC Union Berlin and 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 1' Benedict Hollerbach has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 1 minutes.
- 5' Goal! Nadiem Amiri scores his 27 goal in 407 matches.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Anthony Caci suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
- 20' Kaishu Sano has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 447 appearances.
- 24' The Denmark Robert Skov breaks the deadlock on 24 minutes. 2-1!
- 26' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Anthony Caci on 26 minutes.
- 31' Janik Haberer, a Germany , has 3 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 32' The referee calls foul for Stefan Bell. He receives a card.
- 37' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 42' Over 42 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 47' With 0 assists to his name this season, Stefan Bell is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FC Union Berlin.
- 52' 1. FC Union Berlin seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 57' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 60' Another substitution for 1. FC Union Berlin to replace Josip Juranovic by Christopher Trimmel on 60 minute.
- 61' The crowd applauds Danny da Costa as he leaves the pitch. Andreas Hanche-Olsen steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 66' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FC Union Berlin and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 71' 1. FC Union Berlin started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 71.
- 72' Time for substitution for 1. FC Union Berlin. Andras Schafer is replaced by Rani Khedira.
- 76' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Stefan Bell trudges off to be replaced by Maxim Leitsch on 76 minutes.
- 81' A quiet spell here at An der Alten Forsterei. 1. FC Union Berlin seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 84' The supporters are chanting for Nikolas Veratschnig. He replaces Philipp Mwene on 84 minute.
- 85' The 1. FC Union Berlin manager makes a substitution. Robert Skov departs to be replaced by Jerome Roussillon.
- 86' A meaty challenge results in booking for Leopold Querfeld on 86.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from 1. FC Union Berlin to claim maximum points.
Lineups
1. FC Union Berlin Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5
-
17
Jordan Siebatcheu ↓ Tim Skarke 60'
- 37
- 19
- 4
-
24
Robert Skov ↓ Jerome Roussillon 85'
- 18
-
13
Andras Schafer ↓ Rani Khedira 72'
- 16
- 36
- 14
Bench
- 29
- 10
-
8
Rani Khedira ↑ 72'
-
26
Jerome Roussillon ↑ 85'
-
20
Laszlo Benes ↑ 85'
-
28
Christopher Trimmel ↑ 60'
-
21
Tim Skarke ↑ 60'
- 25
- 7
Coach
Steffen Baumgart
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Nelson Weiper 61'
- 31
- 2
- 27
-
16
Stefan Bell ↓ Maxim Leitsch 76'
- 18
- 21
- 8
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↓ Silvan Widmer 61'
- 6
- 7
Bench
-
5
Maxim Leitsch ↑ 76'
- 4
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 61'
-
25
Andreas Hanche-Olsen ↑ 61'
- 1
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 61'
- 14
-
22
Nikolas Veratschnig ↑ 84'
- 42
Coach
Bo Henriksen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Behrens | 4 |
| Taiwo Awoniyi | 4 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 3 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 2 |
| Nadiem Amiri | 2 |
| Daniel Brosinski | 2 |
| Sebastian Andersson | 2 |
| Genki Haraguchi | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FC Union Berlin Form
2025-01-19
1. FC Union Berlin
2–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2025-01-15
1. FC Union Berlin
0–2
FC Augsburg
L
2025-01-11
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
2–0
1. FC Union Berlin
L
2024-12-21
SV Werder Bremen
4–1
1. FC Union Berlin
L
2024-12-06
VfB Stuttgart
3–2
1. FC Union Berlin
L
2024-11-30
1. FC Union Berlin
1–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2025-01-19
1. FC Union Berlin
2–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2025-01-14
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2025-01-11
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–0
VfL Bochum 1848
W
2024-12-21
Eintracht Frankfurt
1–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2024-12-14
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–1
FC Bayern München
W
2024-12-08
VfL Wolfsburg
4–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.58
1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
1. FC Union Berlin or 1. FSV Mainz 05 74% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FC Union Berlin win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
71%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
55%
1. FC Union Berlin or 1. FSV Mainz 05
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FC Union Berlin win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.4%
0 – 0
7.2%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin
| Handicap | 1. FC Union Berlin covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 20% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 17% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

