1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at An der Alten Forsterei.
- 1. FC Union Berlin 9 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Exner
- Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
- Assistant 2 Thomas Gorniak
9 games this season
🟨 5.1/game
⚽ 17.0 goals/game
🟥 3 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Jan | FC Augsburg | H | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Jan | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Dec | SV Werder Bremen | A | 1–4 | L |
| 06 Dec | VfB Stuttgart | A | 2–3 | L |
| 30 Nov | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Jan | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Jan | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Dec | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Dec | FC Bayern München | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Dec | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–4 | L |
Season Stats
| 1. FC Union Berlin | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #12 |
| 7 | Points | 10 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 1 / 4 / 4 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 5 |
| 7 | Scored | 18 |
| 21 | Conceded | 19 |
| -14 | GD | -1 |
| 0.78 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 11% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
79%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season
1. FC Union Berlin this season
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FC Union Berlin are 16th (7 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
2/3
16-30
–/3
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
1/6
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FC Union Berlin
| Tim Skarke | 2 G | 1 A |
| Leopold Querfeld | 1 G | 1 A |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | 1 G |
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 6 G | |
| Anthony Caci | 3 G | 3 A |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 4 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: 1. FC Union Berlin gets underway.
- 1' What composure from Benedict Hollerbach! The Germany international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 5' Nadiem Amiri has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 5 minutes.
- 10' 1. FC Union Berlin is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Armindo Sieb is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FC Union Berlin.
- 24' Robert Skov has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 24 minutes.
- 26' Anthony Caci catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 26.
- 31' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bo Henriksen will be considering his options from the bench.
- 32' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Stefan Bell.
- 37' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 42' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 47' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Robin Zentner made 447 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 52' Nelson Weiper has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 447 appearances.
- 57' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 60' 1. FC Union Berlin manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Christopher Trimmel is hanging Josip Juranovic on the field on 60 minute.
- 61' The crowd applauds Danny da Costa as he leaves the pitch. Andreas Hanche-Olsen steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 66' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 71' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 72' The supporters are chanting for Rani Khedira. He replaces Andras Schafer on 72 minute.
- 76' Maxim Leitsch is replacing Stefan Bell for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
- 81' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FC Union Berlin and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 84' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 84 minute. Philipp Mwene leaves to be changed by Nikolas Veratschnig.
- 85' It is a substitution in 1. FC Union Berlin team. Robert Skov is replaced by Jerome Roussillon on 85 minute.
- 86' 1. FC Union Berlin receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
- The final score is 2-1.
Lineups
1. FC Union Berlin Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5
-
17
Jordan Siebatcheu ↓ Tim Skarke 60'
- 37
- 19
- 4
-
24
Robert Skov ↓ Jerome Roussillon 85'
- 18
-
13
Andras Schafer ↓ Rani Khedira 72'
- 16
- 36
- 14
Bench
- 29
- 10
-
8
Rani Khedira ↑ 72'
-
26
Jerome Roussillon ↑ 85'
-
20
Laszlo Benes ↑ 85'
-
28
Christopher Trimmel ↑ 60'
-
21
Tim Skarke ↑ 60'
- 25
- 7
Coach
Steffen Baumgart
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Nelson Weiper 61'
- 31
- 2
- 27
-
16
Stefan Bell ↓ Maxim Leitsch 76'
- 18
- 21
- 8
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↓ Silvan Widmer 61'
- 6
- 7
Bench
-
5
Maxim Leitsch ↑ 76'
- 4
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 61'
-
25
Andreas Hanche-Olsen ↑ 61'
- 1
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 61'
- 14
-
22
Nikolas Veratschnig ↑ 84'
- 42
Coach
Bo Henriksen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Behrens | 4 |
| Taiwo Awoniyi | 4 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 3 |
| Nadiem Amiri | 2 |
| Daniel Brosinski | 2 |
| Sebastian Andersson | 2 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 2 |
| Josip Juranovic | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FC Union Berlin Form
2025-01-19
1. FC Union Berlin
2–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2025-01-15
1. FC Union Berlin
0–2
FC Augsburg
L
2025-01-11
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
2–0
1. FC Union Berlin
L
2024-12-21
SV Werder Bremen
4–1
1. FC Union Berlin
L
2024-12-06
VfB Stuttgart
3–2
1. FC Union Berlin
L
2024-11-30
1. FC Union Berlin
1–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2025-01-19
1. FC Union Berlin
2–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2025-01-14
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2025-01-11
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–0
VfL Bochum 1848
W
2024-12-21
Eintracht Frankfurt
1–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2024-12-14
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–1
FC Bayern München
W
2024-12-08
VfL Wolfsburg
4–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.4
1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.97
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
1. FC Union Berlin or 1. FSV Mainz 05 76% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FC Union Berlin win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.37
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
58%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
66%
1. FC Union Berlin or 1. FSV Mainz 05
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FC Union Berlin win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
5.9%
0 – 0
4.9%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 3
4.2%
1 – 0
4.1%
2 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin
| Handicap | 1. FC Union Berlin covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 14% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 21% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 15% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

