1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

1. FC Union Berlin

2 – 1

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sun 19 Jan 2025 · 14:30 UTC An der Alten Forsterei 21,646 HT 45' · FT 45'

Benedict Hollerbach 1' 1–0

1–1 5' Nadiem Amiri pen

Robert Skov pen 24' 2–1

Y 26' Anthony Caci

Y 32' Stefan Bell

Aljoscha Kemlein 32' Y

Leopold Querfeld 86' Y

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at An der Alten Forsterei.

1. FC Union Berlin 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Florian Exner
Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
Assistant 2 Thomas Gorniak

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
2	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
3	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26
4	FC Schalke 04	0	0
5	SC Paderborn 07	0	0
6	SV 07 Elversberg	0	0
7	FC Bayern München	0	0
8	Borussia Dortmund	0	0
9	RB Leipzig	0	0
10	VfB Stuttgart	0	0
11	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0	0
12	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0	0
13	SC Freiburg	0	0
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0
15	FC Augsburg	0	0
16	1. FSV Mainz 05	0	0
17	1. FC Union Berlin	0	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0
19	Hamburger SV	0	0
20	1. FC Köln	0	0
21	SV Werder Bremen	0	0

Head-to-Head

1. FC Union Berlin 14 games · Avg 3.0 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-19 1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-08-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin 2024-02-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin 2023-08-20 1. FC Union Berlin 4–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-02-04 1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FC Union Berlin

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Jan	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	2–1	W
15 Jan	FC Augsburg	H	0–2	L
11 Jan	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	0–2	L
21 Dec	SV Werder Bremen	A	1–4	L
06 Dec	VfB Stuttgart	A	2–3	L
30 Nov	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	1–2	L

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Jan	1. FC Union Berlin	A	1–2	L
14 Jan	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	0–1	L
11 Jan	VfL Bochum 1848	H	2–0	W
21 Dec	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	3–1	W
14 Dec	FC Bayern München	H	2–1	W
08 Dec	VfL Wolfsburg	A	3–4	L

Season Stats

1. FC Union Berlin		1. FSV Mainz 05
#17	Position	#16
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FC Union Berlin are 17th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. 1. FC Union Berlin get us underway at An der Alten Forsterei.
1' Brilliant from the ! Benedict Hollerbach makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 1.
5' Nadiem Amiri doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
10' Leopold Querfeld has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
20' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FC Union Berlin must find a spark to ignite this game.
24' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Robert Skov makes it 2-1.
26' That is a card for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Anthony Caci will be fuming at that decision.
31' It’s high time Steffen Baumgart made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
32' Stefan Bell was booked on 32.
37' Danny da Costa is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FC Union Berlin tonight.
42' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FC Union Berlin and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
47' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FC Union Berlin in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact 3-4-2-1.
52' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
57' The 33-year-old Silvan Widmer has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
60' Time for substitution for 1. FC Union Berlin. Josip Juranovic is replaced by Christopher Trimmel.
61' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Andreas Hanche-Olsen is hanging Danny da Costa on the field on 61 minute.
66' Danilho Doekhi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
71' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FC Union Berlin and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
72' Time for substitution for 1. FC Union Berlin. Andras Schafer is replaced by Rani Khedira.
76' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Stefan Bell trudges off to be replaced by Maxim Leitsch on 76 minutes.
81' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His 1. FC Union Berlin side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
84' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Nikolas Veratschnig comes on to replace Philipp Mwene.
85' Jerome Roussillon is replacing Robert Skov for the 1. FC Union Berlin side.
86' The referee has no hesitation. Leopold Querfeld is booked for 1. FC Union Berlin — card on 86.
With this win, 1. FC Union Berlin is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

1. FC Union Berlin Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

5
Danilho Doekhi
17
Jordan Siebatcheu ↓ Tim Skarke 60'
37
Alexander Schwolow
19
Janik Haberer
4
Diogo Leite
24
Robert Skov ↓ Jerome Roussillon 85'
18
Josip Juranovic ↓ Christopher Trimmel 60'
13
Andras Schafer ↓ Rani Khedira 72'
16
Benedict Hollerbach ↓ Laszlo Benes 85'
36
Aljoscha Kemlein
14
Leopold Querfeld

Bench

29
Lucas Tousart
10
Kevin Volland
8
Rani Khedira ↑ 72'
26
Jerome Roussillon ↑ 85'
20
Laszlo Benes ↑ 85'
28
Christopher Trimmel ↑ 60'
21
Tim Skarke ↑ 60'
25
Carl Klaus
7
Yorbe Vertessen

Coach Steffen Baumgart

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

19
Anthony Caci ↓ Nelson Weiper 61'
31
Dominik Kohr
2
Philipp Mwene ↓ Nikolas Veratschnig 84'
27
Robin Zentner
16
Stefan Bell ↓ Maxim Leitsch 76'
18
Nadiem Amiri
21
Danny da Costa ↓ Andreas Hanche-Olsen 61'
8
Paul Nebel
11
Armindo Sieb ↓ Silvan Widmer 61'
6
Kaishu Sano
7
Jae-sung Lee

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Behrens	4
Taiwo Awoniyi	4
Marcus Ingvartsen	3
Sebastian Andersson	2
Marcus Ingvartsen	2
Nadiem Amiri	2
Daniel Brosinski	2
Benedict Hollerbach	1

Head to Head

1. FC Union Berlin Form

2025-01-19 1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-01-15 1. FC Union Berlin 0–2 FC Augsburg L 2025-01-11 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 2–0 1. FC Union Berlin L 2024-12-21 SV Werder Bremen 4–1 1. FC Union Berlin L 2024-12-06 VfB Stuttgart 3–2 1. FC Union Berlin L 2024-11-30 1. FC Union Berlin 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-01-19 1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-01-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-01-11 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2024-12-21 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-12-14 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 FC Bayern München W 2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

0.86 1. FC Union Berlin xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.68 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 79% + 1. FC Union Berlin or Draw 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. FC Union Berlin40% Draw35% 1. FSV Mainz 0525%

Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes30% 0% No70%

Avg goals/match: 1.54

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	76%	24%
± 1.5	46%	54%
± 2.5	21%	79%
± 3.5	8%	92%
± 4.5	3%	97%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw

75%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

60%

1. FC Union Berlin or 1. FSV Mainz 05

65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

1. FC Union Berlin22% Draw62% 1. FSV Mainz 0516%

Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

24%

1 – 0

16.8%

1 – 1

13.6%

0 – 1

13%

2 – 0

7.4%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 2

4.6%

1 – 2

4.3%

3 – 0

2.1%

2 – 2

3 – 1

1.6%

0 – 3

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap	1. FC Union Berlin covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	9%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	23%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	18%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	6%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet

51% ✗

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

43% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.