1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

1. FC Union Berlin

2 – 1

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sun 19 Jan 2025 · 14:30 UTC An der Alten Forsterei 21,646 HT 45' · FT 45'

Benedict Hollerbach 1' 1–0

1–1 5' Nadiem Amiri pen

Robert Skov pen 24' 2–1

Y 26' Anthony Caci

Y 32' Stefan Bell

Aljoscha Kemlein 32' Y

Leopold Querfeld 86' Y

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at An der Alten Forsterei.

1. FC Union Berlin 4 games · 1 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Florian Exner
Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
Assistant 2 Thomas Gorniak

5 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 8.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

1. FC Union Berlin 14 games · Avg 3.0 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-19 1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-08-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin 2024-02-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin 2023-08-20 1. FC Union Berlin 4–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-02-04 1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FC Union Berlin

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Jan	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	2–1	W
15 Jan	FC Augsburg	H	0–2	L
11 Jan	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	0–2	L
21 Dec	SV Werder Bremen	A	1–4	L
06 Dec	VfB Stuttgart	A	2–3	L
30 Nov	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	1–2	L

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Jan	1. FC Union Berlin	A	1–2	L
14 Jan	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	0–1	L
11 Jan	VfL Bochum 1848	H	2–0	W
21 Dec	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	3–1	W
14 Dec	FC Bayern München	H	2–1	W
08 Dec	VfL Wolfsburg	A	3–4	L

Season Stats

1. FC Union Berlin		1. FSV Mainz 05
#17	Position	#6
1	Points	7
4	Played	4
0 / 1 / 3	W / D / L	2 / 1 / 1
4	Scored	10
17	Conceded	6
-13	GD	+4
0.25	PPG	1.75
0%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season

50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

1. FC Union Berlin are 17th (1 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin

0-15

1/3

16-30

–/3

31-45

–/2

46-60

–/3

61-75

–/4

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/–

76+

5/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin

Tim Skarke	2 G
Leopold Querfeld	1 G	1 A
Emmanuel Latte Lath	1 G

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	4 G
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	3 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! 1. FC Union Berlin welcome 1. FSV Mainz 05 for this crunch clash at An der Alten Forsterei.
1' Against the run of play, Benedict Hollerbach has scored! This game has turned on its head.
5' What an equalizer from Nadiem Amiri!
10' 1. FC Union Berlin are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FSV Mainz 05 backline.
15' The 28-year-old Maxim Leitsch has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
24' 1. FC Union Berlin is taking the lead after the goal scored by Robert Skov on 24.
26' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Anthony Caci gets a card.
31' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FC Union Berlin and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
32' Stefan Bell is having his name booked by the referee on 32.
37' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
42' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Steffen Baumgart will be considering his options from the bench.
47' Philipp Mwene is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FC Union Berlin tonight.
52' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
57' It’s high time Steffen Baumgart made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
60' Another substitution for 1. FC Union Berlin to replace Josip Juranovic by Christopher Trimmel on 60 minute.
61' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Andreas Hanche-Olsen is hanging Danny da Costa on the field on 61 minute.
66' Armindo Sieb, a Germany forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
71' Josip Juranovic has been relatively quiet despite scoring 15 goals in his last 8 appearances.
72' 1. FC Union Berlin make a change. Andras Schafer trudges off to be replaced by Rani Khedira on 72 minutes.
76' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Maxim Leitsch is hanging Stefan Bell on the field on 76 minute.
81' Diogo Leite has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
84' Nikolas Veratschnig gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Philipp Mwene and will look to change the dynamic.
85' 1. FC Union Berlin manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jerome Roussillon is hanging Robert Skov on the field on 85 minute.
86' It’s gonna be a card for Leopold Querfeld.
Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

1. FC Union Berlin Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

5
Danilho Doekhi
17
Jordan Siebatcheu ↓ Tim Skarke 60'
37
Alexander Schwolow
19
Janik Haberer
4
Diogo Leite
24
Robert Skov ↓ Jerome Roussillon 85'
18
Josip Juranovic ↓ Christopher Trimmel 60'
13
Andras Schafer ↓ Rani Khedira 72'
16
Benedict Hollerbach ↓ Laszlo Benes 85'
36
Aljoscha Kemlein
14
Leopold Querfeld

Bench

29
Lucas Tousart
10
Kevin Volland
8
Rani Khedira ↑ 72'
26
Jerome Roussillon ↑ 85'
20
Laszlo Benes ↑ 85'
28
Christopher Trimmel ↑ 60'
21
Tim Skarke ↑ 60'
25
Carl Klaus
7
Yorbe Vertessen

Coach Steffen Baumgart

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

19
Anthony Caci ↓ Nelson Weiper 61'
31
Dominik Kohr
2
Philipp Mwene ↓ Nikolas Veratschnig 84'
27
Robin Zentner
16
Stefan Bell ↓ Maxim Leitsch 76'
18
Nadiem Amiri
21
Danny da Costa ↓ Andreas Hanche-Olsen 61'
8
Paul Nebel
11
Armindo Sieb ↓ Silvan Widmer 61'
6
Kaishu Sano
7
Jae-sung Lee

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Behrens	4
Taiwo Awoniyi	4
Marcus Ingvartsen	3
Marcus Ingvartsen	2
Nadiem Amiri	2
Daniel Brosinski	2
Sebastian Andersson	2
Ridle Baku	1

Head to Head

1. FC Union Berlin Form

2025-01-19 1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-01-15 1. FC Union Berlin 0–2 FC Augsburg L 2025-01-11 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 2–0 1. FC Union Berlin L 2024-12-21 SV Werder Bremen 4–1 1. FC Union Berlin L 2024-12-06 VfB Stuttgart 3–2 1. FC Union Berlin L 2024-11-30 1. FC Union Berlin 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-01-19 1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-01-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-01-11 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2024-12-21 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-12-14 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 FC Bayern München W 2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.31 1. FC Union Berlin xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

3.36 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

1. FC Union Berlin23% Draw17% 1. FSV Mainz 0560%

Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 4.67

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	94%	6%
± 2.5	83%	17%
± 3.5	67%	33%
± 4.5	48%	52%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw

40%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

77%

1. FC Union Berlin or 1. FSV Mainz 05

83%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

1. FC Union Berlin12% Draw30% 1. FSV Mainz 0558%

Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–1 not predicted

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 3

7.6%

1 – 2

1 – 4

6.3%

0 – 3

0 – 2

5.6%

0 – 4

4.9%

2 – 3

4.9%

1 – 1

4.8%

2 – 2

4.5%

1 – 5

4.3%

2 – 4

4.2%

0 – 5

3.3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap	1. FC Union Berlin covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	3%	95%
-1.5	5%	—	95%
-1	5%	7%	89%
-0.5	11%	—	89%
+0.5	25%	—	75%
+1	25%	18%	57%
+1.5	43%	—	57%
+2	43%	19%	38%
+2.5	62%	—	38%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet

4% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.