Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 2 Mar 2024 · 14:30 UTC An der Alten Forsterei HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 41' Karim Adeyemi
0–2 90' Ian Maatsen

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at An der Alten Forsterei.

Match Details

  • Referee Christian Dingert
  • Assistant 1 Benedikt Kempkes
  • Assistant 2 Nikolai Kimmeyer
14 games this season 🟨 0.5/game 3.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
24 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–2 D
17 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–0 W
10 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
07 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
04 Feb RB Leipzig A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–0 W
25 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–3 L
20 Feb PSV A 1–1 D
17 Feb VfL Wolfsburg A 1–1 D
09 Feb SC Freiburg H 3–0 W
02 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–0 D

Season Stats

1. FC Union Berlin Borussia Dortmund
#11 Position #2
39 Points 73
34 Played 34
10 / 9 / 15 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 5
44 Scored 70
58 Conceded 34
-14 GD +36
1.15 PPG 2.15
29% Win % 65%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.89 1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Union Berlin21% Draw25% Borussia Dortmund54%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
46%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
79%
1. FC Union Berlin or Borussia Dortmund
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin14% Draw44% Borussia Dortmund42%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
0 – 1
10.9%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
7.9%
0 – 3
6.8%
1 – 3
6.1%
1 – 0
4.6%
2 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 4
3.3%
1 – 4
3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap 1. FC Union Berlin covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 11% 84%
-0.5 16% 84%
+0.5 40% 60%
+1 40% 24% 36%
+1.5 64% 36%
+2 64% 19% 18%
+2.5 82% 18%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
16%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.