SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Nurnberg, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Nurnberg — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FC Nurnberg 34 games · 46 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Nicolas Winter
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preussen Munster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov | 1. FC Nurnberg | H | 1–3 | L |
| 05 Nov | Karlsruher SC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | SC Freiburg | A | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Oct | Hertha BSC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Oct | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Oct | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 3–1 | W |
| 04 Nov | FC Schalke 04 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Nov | FC Hansa Rostock | H | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Oct | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | Hertha BSC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 07 Oct | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 1–5 | L |
Season Stats
| SC Paderborn 07 | 1. FC Nurnberg | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #8 |
| 62 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 12 |
| 59 | Scored | 47 |
| 45 | Conceded | 45 |
| +14 | GD | +2 |
| 1.82 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 53% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season
SC Paderborn 07 this season
15%
Clean Sheets
1. FC Nurnberg this season
1. FC Nurnberg this season
SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts). 1. FC Nurnberg are 8th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SC Paderborn 07
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Nurnberg
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Home Deluxe Arena as SC Paderborn 07 face off against 1. FC Nurnberg in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 8' What composure from Jens Castrop! The South Korea international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 13' 1. FC Nurnberg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 18' Both keepers have barely been tested. SC Paderborn 07 and 1. FC Nurnberg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 23' SC Paderborn 07 has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 28' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 33' A quiet spell here at Home Deluxe Arena. 1. FC Nurnberg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 38' Supporters expect more eagerness from Erik Wekesser, as he is very good at scoring at Home Deluxe Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 39' GOAL! Kanji Okunuki fires home to make it 0-2!
- 44' What a moment for Lukas Schleimer! That strike on 44 puts his side firmly in control.
- 46' SC Paderborn 07 make a change. Laurin Curda trudges off to be replaced by Marcel Hoffmeier on 46 minutes.
- 51' 1. FC Nurnberg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 56' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 61' Jens Castrop catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 61.
- 63' Visar Musliu catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 63.
- 63' Tim Handwerker gets the nod from 1. FC Nurnberg. He replaces Can Uzun and will look to change the dynamic.
- 68' With 0 assists to his name this season, Adriano Grimaldi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FC Nurnberg.
- 71' SC Paderborn 07 ring the changes. Kai Klefisch has done his job and it is now time for Sirlord Conteh to step up.
- 72' Another substitution for 1. FC Nurnberg to replace Lukas Schleimer by Daichi Hayashi on 72 minute.
- 77' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 78' GOAL! Adriano Grimaldi fires home to make it 1-3!
- 82' Erik Wekesser is replacing Kanji Okunuki for the 1. FC Nurnberg side.
- 85' Ilyas Ansah is ready to make an impact after coming on for Visar Musliu at the 85 minute mark.
- 89' That is a card for 1. FC Nurnberg. Christian Mathenia will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' Poor challenge from Marcel Hoffmeier. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- With this win, 1. FC Nurnberg is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 21
-
13
Robert Leipertz ↓ Niclas Nadj 46'
- 36
- 39
-
27
Kai Klefisch ↓ Sirlord Conteh 71'
-
16
Visar Musliu ↓ Ilyas Ansah 85'
- 23
- 7
-
17
Laurin Curda ↓ Marcel Hoffmeier 46'
-
22
Mattes Hansen ↓ Sebastian Klaas 46'
Bench
- 1
- 15
- 6
-
26
Sebastian Klaas ↑ 46'
-
40
Niclas Nadj ↑ 46'
-
11
Sirlord Conteh ↑ 71'
-
33
Marcel Hoffmeier ↑ 46'
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↑ 85'
- 28
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
1. FC Nurnberg Lineups
Starting XI
- 38
- 28
- 26
- 14
- 6
- 36
- 15
- 17
- 27
-
42
Can Uzun ↓ Tim Handwerker 63'
-
11
Kanji Okunuki ↓ Erik Wekesser 82'
Bench
-
29
Tim Handwerker ↑ 63'
-
3
Ahmet Gurleyen ↑ 72'
- 10
- 22
- 8
- 7
-
13
Erik Wekesser ↑ 82'
- 1
-
9
Daichi Hayashi ↑ 72'
Coach
Cristian Fiel
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Adriano Grimaldi | 3 |
| Mahir Emreli | 2 |
| Calvin Brackelmann | 1 |
| Sven Michel | 1 |
| Lukas Schleimer | 1 |
| Ilyas Ansah | 1 |
| Jens Castrop | 1 |
| Tjark Scheller | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Paderborn 07 Form
1. FC Nurnberg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.57
SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.98
1. FC Nurnberg xG
I would bet for:
SC Paderborn 07 or 1. FC Nurnberg 75% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FC Nurnberg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.55
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
57%
Draw or 1. FC Nurnberg
68%
SC Paderborn 07 or 1. FC Nurnberg
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FC Nurnberg win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
8.5%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.6%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.4%
0 – 0
4.2%
1 – 0
3.9%
0 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07
| Handicap | SC Paderborn 07 covers | Push | 1. FC Nurnberg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 9% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 15% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 20% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 14% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
1. FC Nurnberg keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

