Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Nurnberg, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Fri 22 Nov 2024 · 17:30 UTC Home Deluxe Arena 13,799 HT 45' · FT 45'
Adriano Grimaldi 6' 1–0
1–1 8' Danilo Soares
1–2 51' Stefanos Tzimas
Raphael Obermair pen 55' 2–2
Calvin Brackelmann 90+6' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Nurnberg2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
  • Assistant 1 Lasse Koslowski
  • Assistant 2 Fynn Kohn
25 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 4.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov 1. FC Nurnberg H 3–2 W
09 Nov TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf A 1–1 D
03 Nov Eintracht Braunschweig H 0–0 D
30 Oct SV Werder Bremen H 0–1 L
25 Oct 1. FC Koln A 2–1 W
19 Oct 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov SC Paderborn 07 A 2–3 L
08 Nov 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 0–0 D
03 Nov Hamburger SV A 1–1 D
30 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–2 L
25 Oct SSV Jahn Regensburg H 8–3 W
20 Oct SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 A 4–0 W

Season Stats

SC Paderborn 07 1. FC Nurnberg
#3 Position #8
62 Points 46
34 Played 34
18 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 12 / 10 / 12
59 Scored 47
45 Conceded 45
+14 GD +2
1.82 PPG 1.35
53% Win % 35%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season
15% Clean Sheets
1. FC Nurnberg this season

SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts). 1. FC Nurnberg are 8th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Paderborn 07
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Nurnberg
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Home Deluxe Arena will turn into a battlefield for SC Paderborn 07 and 1. FC Nurnberg.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 6' The deadlock is broken! Adriano Grimaldi gets on the scoresheet on 6 minutes.
  • 8' GOAL! Danilo Soares scores on 8. Assisted by Mahir Emreli
  • 13' SC Paderborn 07 currently sit 2 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 18' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 21' It’s gonna be a card for Felix Gotze.
  • 26' It is a cagey affair so far. SC Paderborn 07 in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past 1. FC Nurnberg's compact 3-4-3.
  • 31' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 36' Danilo Soares picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 41' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Paderborn 07 that had 316 games and scored 227 goals.
  • 46' 1. FC Nurnberg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 51' Brilliant from the ! Stefanos Tzimas makes it 1-2 with a superb finish on 51.
  • 55' Assisted by Filip Bilbija with the perfectly-timed delivery and Raphael Obermair makes no mistake. 2-2!
  • 59' Berkay Yilmaz is ready to make an impact after coming on for Danilo Soares at the 59 minute mark.
  • 64' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 66' Another change for 1. FC Nurnberg made on 66 minute. Ondrej Karafiat leaves to be changed by Nick Seidel.
  • 70' Luca Herrmann has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luis Engelns on 70 minute.
  • 72' That is a card for SC Paderborn 07. Santiago Castaneda will be fuming at that decision.
  • 77' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Lukas Kwasniok will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 78' Adriano Grimaldi was booked on 78.
  • 79' The SC Paderborn 07 manager makes a substitution. Sven Michel departs to be replaced by Ilyas Ansah.
  • 84' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 86' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Berkay Yilmaz.
  • 90' David Kinsombi gets the nod from SC Paderborn 07. He replaces Filip Bilbija and will look to change the dynamic.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for 1. FC Nurnberg.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.79 SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 1. FC Nurnberg xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Paderborn 0748% Draw25% 1. FC Nurnberg27%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
72%
Draw or 1. FC Nurnberg
52%
SC Paderborn 07 or 1. FC Nurnberg
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Paderborn 0734% Draw43% 1. FC Nurnberg23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
7%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
0 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07

Handicap SC Paderborn 07 covers Push 1. FC Nurnberg covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 20% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
25%
1. FC Nurnberg keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.