SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Nurnberg, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Nurnberg — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FC Nurnberg 34 games · 46 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Sven Jablonski
- Assistant 1 Lasse Koslowski
- Assistant 2 Fynn Kohn
25 games this season
🟨 0.6/game
⚽ 4.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preussen Munster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov | 1. FC Nurnberg | H | 3–2 | W |
| 09 Nov | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Nov | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Oct | SV Werder Bremen | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | 1. FC Koln | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 2–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Nov | Hamburger SV | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Oct | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | SSV Jahn Regensburg | H | 8–3 | W |
| 20 Oct | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | A | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| SC Paderborn 07 | 1. FC Nurnberg | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #8 |
| 62 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 12 |
| 59 | Scored | 47 |
| 45 | Conceded | 45 |
| +14 | GD | +2 |
| 1.82 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 53% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season
SC Paderborn 07 this season
15%
Clean Sheets
1. FC Nurnberg this season
1. FC Nurnberg this season
SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts). 1. FC Nurnberg are 8th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SC Paderborn 07
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Nurnberg
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Home Deluxe Arena will turn into a battlefield for SC Paderborn 07 and 1. FC Nurnberg.
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 6' The deadlock is broken! Adriano Grimaldi gets on the scoresheet on 6 minutes.
- 8' GOAL! Danilo Soares scores on 8. Assisted by Mahir Emreli
- 13' SC Paderborn 07 currently sit 2 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 18' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 21' It’s gonna be a card for Felix Gotze.
- 26' It is a cagey affair so far. SC Paderborn 07 in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past 1. FC Nurnberg's compact 3-4-3.
- 31' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 36' Danilo Soares picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 41' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Paderborn 07 that had 316 games and scored 227 goals.
- 46' 1. FC Nurnberg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 51' Brilliant from the ! Stefanos Tzimas makes it 1-2 with a superb finish on 51.
- 55' Assisted by Filip Bilbija with the perfectly-timed delivery and Raphael Obermair makes no mistake. 2-2!
- 59' Berkay Yilmaz is ready to make an impact after coming on for Danilo Soares at the 59 minute mark.
- 64' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 66' Another change for 1. FC Nurnberg made on 66 minute. Ondrej Karafiat leaves to be changed by Nick Seidel.
- 70' Luca Herrmann has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luis Engelns on 70 minute.
- 72' That is a card for SC Paderborn 07. Santiago Castaneda will be fuming at that decision.
- 77' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Lukas Kwasniok will be considering his options from the bench.
- 78' Adriano Grimaldi was booked on 78.
- 79' The SC Paderborn 07 manager makes a substitution. Sven Michel departs to be replaced by Ilyas Ansah.
- 84' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 86' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Berkay Yilmaz.
- 90' David Kinsombi gets the nod from SC Paderborn 07. He replaces Filip Bilbija and will look to change the dynamic.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for 1. FC Nurnberg.
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 20
- 30
- 39
-
11
Sven Michel ↓ Ilyas Ansah 79'
- 23
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ David Kinsombi 90'
- 4
- 32
- 5
- 25
-
46
Luis Engelns ↓ Luca Herrmann 70'
Bench
-
8
David Kinsombi ↑ 90'
- 1
-
19
Luca Herrmann ↑ 70'
- 42
- 17
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↑ 79'
- 9
- 10
- 21
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
1. FC Nurnberg Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 31
-
3
Danilo Soares ↓ Berkay Yilmaz 59'
- 30
- 1
- 2
- 10
-
44
Ondrej Karafiat ↓ Nick Seidel 66'
- 17
- 20
- 4
- 9
Bench
- 23
- 26
- 7
- 6
- 18
- 35
- 32
-
21
Berkay Yilmaz ↑ 59'
-
33
Nick Seidel ↑ 66'
Coach
Miroslav Klose
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Adriano Grimaldi | 3 |
| Mahir Emreli | 2 |
| Danilo Soares | 1 |
| Stefanos Tzimas | 1 |
| Raphael Obermair | 1 |
| Calvin Brackelmann | 1 |
| Sven Michel | 1 |
| Lukas Schleimer | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2024-11-22
SC Paderborn 07
3–2
1. FC Nurnberg
W
2024-11-09
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
1–1
SC Paderborn 07
D
2024-11-03
SC Paderborn 07
0–0
Eintracht Braunschweig
D
2024-10-30
SC Paderborn 07
0–1
SV Werder Bremen
L
2024-10-25
1. FC Koln
1–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2024-10-19
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3–0
SC Paderborn 07
L
1. FC Nurnberg Form
2024-11-22
SC Paderborn 07
3–2
1. FC Nurnberg
L
2024-11-08
1. FC Nurnberg
0–0
1. FC Kaiserslautern
D
2024-11-03
Hamburger SV
1–1
1. FC Nurnberg
D
2024-10-30
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–1
1. FC Nurnberg
L
2024-10-25
1. FC Nurnberg
8–3
SSV Jahn Regensburg
W
2024-10-20
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
0–4
1. FC Nurnberg
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.79
SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41
1. FC Nurnberg xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
72%
Draw or 1. FC Nurnberg
52%
SC Paderborn 07 or 1. FC Nurnberg
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
7%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
0 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07
| Handicap | SC Paderborn 07 covers | Push | 1. FC Nurnberg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 20% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 16% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
1. FC Nurnberg keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

