SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Nürnberg, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Nurnberg — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FC Nurnberg 2 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Sven Jablonski
- Assistant 1 Lasse Koslowski
- Assistant 2 Fynn Kohn
7 games this season
🟨 0.0/game
⚽ 1.9 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Hertha BSC | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Energie Cottbus | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 2 |
| 13 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 2 | 2 |
| 14 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2 | 2 |
| 15 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Hannover 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | VfL Osnabrück | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov | 1. FC Nürnberg | H | 3–2 | W |
| 09 Nov | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Nov | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Oct | SV Werder Bremen | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | 1. FC Köln | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 2–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Nov | Hamburger SV | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Oct | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | SSV Jahn Regensburg | H | 8–3 | W |
| 20 Oct | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | A | 4–0 | W |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
1. FC Nürnberg this season
1. FC Nürnberg this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FC Nürnberg
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: SC Paderborn 07 gets underway.
- 5' Luis Engelns has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 6' The Germany Adriano Grimaldi breaks the deadlock on 6 minutes. 1-0!
- 8' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Danilo Soares makes it 1-1.
- 13' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 18' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Miroslav Klose will be considering his options from the bench.
- 21' Felix Gotze is having his name booked by the referee on 21.
- 26' Germany international Sven Michel has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 31' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 36' Poor challenge from Danilo Soares. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 41' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Robin Knoche suffering a number of foals already.
- 46' Jens Castrop has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 51' Magnificent from Stefanos Tzimas! That is 12 goals in 295 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 55' Raphael Obermair adds to his 0 season tally! SC Paderborn 07 lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
- 59' Another substitution for 1. FC Nurnberg to replace Danilo Soares by Berkay Yilmaz on 59 minute.
- 64' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Paderborn 07 that had 316 games and scored 227 goals.
- 66' The crowd applauds Ondrej Karafiat as he leaves the pitch. Nick Seidel steps in for 1. FC Nurnberg.
- 70' Fresh legs for SC Paderborn 07! Luca Herrmann comes on to replace Luis Engelns.
- 72' SC Paderborn 07 receives a card for a hard tackle on 72.
- 77' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 78' That is a card for SC Paderborn 07. Adriano Grimaldi will be fuming at that decision.
- 79' SC Paderborn 07 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ilyas Ansah is hanging Sven Michel on the field on 79 minute.
- 84' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 86' That is a card for 1. FC Nurnberg. Berkay Yilmaz will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' SC Paderborn 07 ring the changes. Filip Bilbija has done his job and it is now time for David Kinsombi to step up.
- SC Paderborn 07 celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 20
- 30
- 39
-
11
Sven Michel ↓ Ilyas Ansah 79'
- 23
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ David Kinsombi 90'
- 4
- 32
- 5
- 25
-
46
Luis Engelns ↓ Luca Herrmann 70'
Bench
-
8
David Kinsombi ↑ 90'
- 1
-
19
Luca Herrmann ↑ 70'
- 42
- 17
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↑ 79'
- 9
- 10
- 21
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
1. FC Nurnberg Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 31
-
3
Danilo Soares ↓ Berkay Yilmaz 59'
- 30
- 1
- 2
- 10
-
44
Ondrej Karafiat ↓ Nick Seidel 66'
- 17
- 20
- 4
- 9
Bench
- 23
- 26
- 7
- 6
- 18
- 35
- 32
-
21
Berkay Yilmaz ↑ 59'
-
33
Nick Seidel ↑ 66'
Coach
Miroslav Klose
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Adriano Grimaldi | 3 |
| Mahir Emreli | 2 |
| Raphael Obermair | 1 |
| Calvin Brackelmann | 1 |
| Sven Michel | 1 |
| Lukas Schleimer | 1 |
| Ilyas Ansah | 1 |
| Jens Castrop | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2024-11-22
SC Paderborn 07
3–2
1. FC Nürnberg
W
2024-11-09
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
1–1
SC Paderborn 07
D
2024-11-03
SC Paderborn 07
0–0
Eintracht Braunschweig
D
2024-10-30
SC Paderborn 07
0–1
SV Werder Bremen
L
2024-10-25
1. FC Köln
1–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2024-10-19
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3–0
SC Paderborn 07
L
1. FC Nurnberg Form
2024-11-22
SC Paderborn 07
3–2
1. FC Nürnberg
L
2024-11-08
1. FC Nürnberg
0–0
1. FC Kaiserslautern
D
2024-11-03
Hamburger SV
1–1
1. FC Nürnberg
D
2024-10-30
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–1
1. FC Nürnberg
L
2024-10-25
1. FC Nürnberg
8–3
SSV Jahn Regensburg
L
2024-10-20
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
0–4
1. FC Nürnberg
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.53
SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33
1. FC Nurnberg xG
I would bet for:
SC Paderborn 07 or 1. FC Nurnberg 74% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
71%
Draw or 1. FC Nurnberg
55%
SC Paderborn 07 or 1. FC Nurnberg
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–2 not predicted3 – 2Actual
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
7.5%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07
| Handicap | SC Paderborn 07 covers | Push | 1. FC Nurnberg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 20% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
1. FC Nurnberg keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

