Vitoria SC vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Vitoria SC vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga at Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques.
- Vitoria SC 5 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- CD Nacional 5 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Pedro Ramalho
- Assistant 1 Diogo Pereira (Portugal)
- Assistant 2 Francisco Pereira (Portugal)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | CD Santa Clara | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente FC | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | CS Maritimo | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Academico de Viseu FC | 5 | 5 |
| 11 | Vitoria SC | 5 | 4 |
| 12 | Moreirense FC | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | CD Nacional | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | FC Famalicao | 5 | 3 |
| 15 | Rio Ave FC | 5 | 3 |
| 16 | FC Alverca | 5 | 2 |
| 17 | GD Estoril Praia | 5 | 2 |
| 18 | Casa Pia AC | 5 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug | CD Nacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Aug | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 2–3 | L |
| 08 Aug | FC Arouca | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 May | CD Nacional | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 May | Casa Pia AC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 May | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug | Vitoria SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | GD Estoril Praia | H | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | CD Santa Clara | A | 2–2 | D |
| 16 May | Vitoria SC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 11 May | CD Santa Clara | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 May | AVS | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Vitoria SC | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #13 |
| 4 | Points | 4 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 1 / 1 / 3 | W / D / L | 1 / 1 / 3 |
| 3 | Scored | 6 |
| 5 | Conceded | 8 |
| -2 | GD | -2 |
| 0.80 | PPG | 0.80 |
| 20% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
Vitoria SC this season
Vitoria SC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
Vitoria SC are 11th (4 pts). CD Nacional are 13th (4 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Vitoria SC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Vitoria SC
| Samu | 1 G |
| Gustavo Silva | 1 G |
| Alioune Ndoye | 1 G |
CD Nacional
| Liziero | 1 G | 1 A |
| Leo Santos | 1 G | |
| Miguel Baeza | 1 G | |
| Ze Vitor | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Vitoria SC and CD Nacional get this one started.
- 4' Against the run of play, Gustavo Silva has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 9' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 14' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 19' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Wesley made 266 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 24' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 28' Vitoria SC receives a card for a hard tackle on 28.
- 33' It looks like no one’s ball. Vitoria SC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 38' Miguel Nogueira has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 38.
- 39' Goncalo Nogueira catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 39.
- 44' Goncalo Nogueira needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 49' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Vitoria SC and CD Nacional are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 54' The 30-year-old Samu has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 56' Wesley makes way for Daniel De la Cruz at the 56 minute mark. A tactical switch from CD Nacional.
- 61' Both keepers have barely been tested. Vitoria SC and CD Nacional are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 63' Vitoria SC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Beni is hanging Lohann Doucet on the field on 63 minute.
- 68' With 0 assists to his name this season, Renato Marin is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Vitoria SC.
- 69' Time for substitution for CD Nacional. Liziero is replaced by Stavros Gavriel.
- 72' The Vitoria SC manager makes a substitution. Goncalo Nogueira departs to be replaced by Matija Mitrovic.
- 77' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Vitoria SC that had 397 games and scored 372 goals.
- 78' Vitoria SC ring the changes. Gustavo Silva has done his job and it is now time for Telmo Arcanjo to step up.
- 80' Another change for CD Nacional made on 80 minute. Markus Jensen leaves to be changed by Allen Obando.
- 85' Miguel Nogueira has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 90' A moment of madness from Daniel Jr. on 90 minutes earns him a card. CD Nacional will be frustrated.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Vitoria SC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 20
- 48
- 13
- 44
- 8
- 23
- 4
- 11
- 17
- 24
- 28
Bench
- 18
- 2
- 16
- 98
- 29
- 7
- 22
- 6
- 5
- 82
- 56
CD Nacional Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 34
-
28
Liziero ↓ Stavros Gavriel 69'
- 22
-
52
Wesley ↓ Daniel De la Cruz 56'
-
8
Miguel Baeza ↓ William Kokolo 56'
- 38
-
6
Matheus Dias ↓ Matchoi Djalo 80'
- 10
- 1
- 99
-
7
Markus Jensen ↓ Allen Obando 80'
Bench
-
20
Matchoi Djalo ↑ 80'
- 13
-
21
William Kokolo ↑ 56'
- 33
-
11
Stavros Gavriel ↑ 69'
- 23
-
9
Allen Obando ↑ 80'
- 88
-
2
Daniel De la Cruz ↑ 56'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tiago Silva | 2 |
| Chuchu | 2 |
| Pedro Mendes | 1 |
| Joao Camacho | 1 |
| Nuno Santos | 1 |
| Toze | 1 |
| Joao Aurelio | 1 |
| Florent Hanin | 1 |
Head to Head
Vitoria SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.03
Vitoria SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
CD Nacional xG
I would bet for:
Vitoria SC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Vitoria SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.91
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 1.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 2.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Vitoria SC or Draw
72%
Draw or CD Nacional
60%
Vitoria SC or CD Nacional
68%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Vitoria SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.4%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
11.7%
2 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
3.1%
3 – 0
2.5%
3 – 1
2.4%
1 – 3
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Vitoria SC
| Handicap | Vitoria SC covers | Push | CD Nacional covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 22% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 18% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Vitoria SC keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

