Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfB Lubeck vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, DFB-Pokal 2022-23 ROUND 2

DFB-Pokal · 2022-23
Tue 18 Oct 2022 · 16:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Lubeck vs 1. FSV Mainz 05DFB-Pokal .

Head-to-Head

1
VfB Lubeck 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L
30 Jul FC Hansa Rostock H 1–0 W
11 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct VfB Lubeck A 3–0 W
15 Oct SV Werder Bremen A 2–0 W
08 Oct RB Leipzig H 1–1 D
01 Oct SC Freiburg A 1–2 L
16 Sep Hertha BSC H 1–1 D
10 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–4 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.01 VfB Lubeck xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Lubeck25% Draw27% 1. FSV Mainz 0548%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

VfB Lubeck or Draw
52%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
75%
VfB Lubeck or 1. FSV Mainz 05
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Lubeck17% Draw45% 1. FSV Mainz 0538%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
0 – 1
10.2%
0 – 2
9.5%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 3
5.6%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
5.4%
2 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
4.8%
2 – 0
3.1%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — VfB Lubeck

Handicap VfB Lubeck covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 13% 80%
-0.5 20% 80%
+0.5 46% 54%
+1 46% 23% 31%
+1.5 69% 31%
+2 69% 17% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

VfB Lubeck keeps clean sheet
18%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.