UD Almería vs Real Sporting de Gijon, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Segunda Division · 2025-26

UD Almería

2 – 1

Full Time

Real Sporting de Gijon

Sat 20 Sep 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

UD Almería vs Real Sporting de Gijon — Segunda Division .

UD Almería 42 games · 75 pts (2026/27)
Real Sporting de Gijon 42 games · 61 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Real Racing Club de Santander	42	82
2	RC Deportivo La Coruna	42	77
3	UD Almería	42	75
4	Malaga CF	42	73
5	UD Las Palmas	42	73
6	CD Castellon	42	72
7	Burgos CF	42	72
8	SD Eibar	42	67
9	Real Sporting de Gijon	42	61
10	Cordoba CF	42	61
11	Albacete Balompie	42	59
12	AD Ceuta FC	42	59
13	Andorra CF	42	58
14	Granada CF	42	48
15	Real Sociedad B	42	47
16	CD Leganes	42	46
17	Real Valladolid CF	42	46
18	Cadiz CF	42	43
19	CD Mirandes	42	40
20	SD Huesca	42	38
21	Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa	42	37
22	Real Zaragoza	42	36

Head-to-Head

UD Almería 4 games · Avg 2.8 goals Real Sporting de Gijon

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-20 UD Almería 2–1 Real Sporting de Gijon 2025-02-22 Real Sporting de Gijon 1–1 UD Almería 2024-08-31 UD Almería 1–1 Real Sporting de Gijon

Recent Form

UD Almería

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Sep	Real Sporting de Gijon	H	2–1	W
13 Sep	Real Valladolid CF	A	1–3	L
07 Sep	Real Racing Club de Santander	H	2–3	L
29 Aug	Real Sociedad B	A	2–2	D
24 Aug	Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa	A	1–0	W
18 Aug	Albacete Balompie	H	4–4	D

Real Sporting de Gijon

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Sep	UD Almería	A	1–2	L
14 Sep	Burgos CF	H	2–3	L
06 Sep	RC Deportivo La Coruna	A	0–1	L
29 Aug	Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa	H	1–0	W
23 Aug	AD Ceuta FC	A	1–0	W
18 Aug	Cordoba CF	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

UD Almería		Real Sporting de Gijon
#3	Position	#9
75	Points	61
42	Played	42
22 / 9 / 11	W / D / L	18 / 7 / 17
80	Scored	60
61	Conceded	54
+19	GD	+6
1.79	PPG	1.45
52%	Win %	43%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

UD Almería are 3rd (75 pts). Real Sporting de Gijon are 9th (61 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Real Sporting de Gijon gets underway.
Another three points for UD Almeria.

Lineups

UD Almería Lineups

Real Sporting de Gijon Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Juan Ferney Otero	2
Alex Centelles	1
Campuzano	1
Luis Suarez	1
Jordy Caicedo	1
Miguel De la Fuente	1
Pablo Vazquez	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.92 UD Almería xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.44 Real Sporting de Gijon xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

UD Almería50% Draw24% Real Sporting de Gijon26%

Actual: UD Almería win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.36

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

UD Almería or Draw

74%

Draw or Real Sporting de Gijon

50%

UD Almería or Real Sporting de Gijon

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

UD Almería36% Draw41% Real Sporting de Gijon23%

Actual: Real Sporting de Gijon win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.5%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

6.7%

2 – 0

6.4%

2 – 2

6.3%

1 – 0

6.1%

3 – 1

5.7%

0 – 0

0 – 1

4.3%

3 – 2

4.1%

3 – 0

0 – 2

3.6%

Asian Handicap — UD Almería

Handicap	UD Almería covers	Push	Real Sporting de Gijon covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	15%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	20%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	15%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

UD Almería keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Real Sporting de Gijon keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.