Monday , 10 August 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo Alavés, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Tue 21 Apr 2026 · 19:30 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 61,468 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kylian Mbappe 30' 1–0
Vinicius Junior 50' 2–0
2–1 90+3' Toni Martinez

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo AlavésLa Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Martinez Munuera (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Miguel Martinez Munuera (Spain)
6 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 2.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Deportivo Alavés H 2–1 W
15 Apr FC Bayern München A 3–4 L
10 Apr Girona FC H 1–1 D
07 Apr FC Bayern München H 1–2 L
04 Apr RCD Mallorca A 1–2 L
22 Mar Club Atlético de Madrid H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
11 Apr Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 3–3 D
05 Apr CA Osasuna H 2–2 D
22 Mar RC Celta de Vigo A 4–3 W
13 Mar Villarreal CF H 1–1 D
08 Mar Valencia CF A 2–3 L

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Deportivo Alavés
#2 Position #14
86 Points 43
38 Played 38
27 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 11 / 10 / 17
77 Scored 44
35 Conceded 56
+42 GD -12
2.26 PPG 1.13
71% Win % 29%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). Deportivo Alavés are 14th (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo Alaves — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Alvaro Carreras needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 10' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 5-3-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' Lucas Boye, a Argentina , has 3 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Denis Suarez made 513 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' Jon Guridi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Real Madrid CF tonight.
  • 30' Kylian Mbappe puts Real Madrid CF on the lead.
  • 35' Poor challenge from Aurelien Tchouameni. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 45' The crowd applauds Eder Militao as he leaves the pitch. Antonio Rudiger steps in for Real Madrid CF.
  • 50' Vinicius Junior is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 5 goals this season for the .
  • 55' Both keepers have barely been tested. Real Madrid CF and Deportivo Alaves are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 58' Brahim Diaz is replacing Jude Bellingham for the Real Madrid CF side.
  • 63' Real Madrid CF make a change. Trent Alexander-Arnold trudges off to be replaced by Dani Carvajal on 63 minutes.
  • 66' Deportivo Alaves make a change. Lucas Boye trudges off to be replaced by Ibrahim Diabate on 66 minutes.
  • 71' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 75' Ander Guevara has so much to prove this time. He replaces Antonio Blanco on 75 minute.
  • 80' The 29-year-old Ander Guevara has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 85' Real Madrid CF currently sit 2 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 90' Angel Perez is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • 2-1 the final result. Deportivo Alaves will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.49 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Deportivo Alavés xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Real Madrid CF to win 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF64% Draw20% Deportivo Alavés16%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.63
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
84%
Draw or Deportivo Alavés
36%
Real Madrid CF or Deportivo Alavés
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF48% Draw37% Deportivo Alavés15%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
6.7%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.1%
4 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
4.1%
0 – 0
3.9%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Deportivo Alavés covers
-2.5 25% 75%
-2 25% 19% 56%
-1.5 44% 56%
-1 44% 21% 35%
-0.5 65% 35%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 9% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
33%
Deportivo Alavés keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.